First, a look at the senatorial and gubernatorial picture:
| Those who have announced their retirement | Missouri’s Kit Bond Kansas’s Sam Brownback Kentucky’s Jim Bunning Illinois’s Roland Burris Connecticut’s Chris Dodd Delaware’s Ted Kaufman Florida’s Mel Martinez New Hampshire’s Judd Gregg North Dakota’s Byron Dorgan Ohio’s George Voinovich Colorado’s Bill Ritter |
| Those who might retire or resign | Nevada’s John Ensign California’s Diane Feinstein Texas’s Kay Bailey Hutchison |
| Those who say they will not retire but we are monitoring anyway | Hawaii’s Daniel Inouye Maryland’s Barbara Mikulski |
Now, here is a database of potential House retirements. I colored in red those districts in which an open seat is expected to be competitive:
| Open seats | D (14) | Artur Davis (AL-07): running for Governor Marion Berry (AR-01): retiring Vic Snyder (AR-02): retiring Diane Watson (CA-33): retiring (story) Kendrick Meek (FL-17): running for Senate (story) Neil Abercombie (HI-01): resigning to run for Governor (story) Dennis Moore (KS-03): retiring Charlie Melancon (LA-03): running for Senate (story) Paul Hodes (NH-01): running for Senate Joe Sestak (PA-07): running for Senate (story) Patrick Kennedy (RI-01): retiring Bart Gordon (TN-06): retiring (story) John Tanner (TN-08): retiring (story) Brian Baird (WA-03): retiring (story) |
| R (19) | John Boozman (AR-03): potential retirement John Shadegg (AZ-03): potential retirement George Radanovich (CA-19): retiring (story) Mike Castle (DE-AL): running for Senate Adam Putnam (FL-12): running for Agriculture Commissioner (story) Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL-21): retiring Mario Diaz-Balart (FL-25): retiring Nathan Deal (GA-09): running for Governor Mark Kirk (IL-10): running for Senate Steve Buyer (IN-04): retiring Jerry Moran (KS-01): running for Senate Todd Tiahrt (KS-04): running for Senate (story) Pete Hoekstra (MI-02): retiring (story) Vern Ehlers (MI-03): retiring (story) Roy Blunt (MO-07): running for Senate Mary Fallin (OK-05): running for Governor (story) Henry Brown (SC-01): retiring (story) Gresham Barrett (SC-03): running for Governor (story) Zach Wamp (TN-03): running for Governor (story) |
|
| Those we are watching closely | D | Ike Skelton (MO-04): potential retirement Peter DeFazio (OR-04): potential run for Governor |
| R | Bill Young (FL-10): potential retirement |
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| Those whose retirement is unlikely but plausible | D | Mike Ross (AR-04): potential retirement Sanford Bishop (GA-02): potential retirement Leonard Boswell (IA-03): has ruled out retirement but worth watching Bill Delahunt (MA-10): potential retirement John Dingell (MI-15): potential retirement Collin Peterson (MN-07): has ruled retirement out but worth watching Charlie Rangel (NY-15): potential retirement Paul Kanjorski (PA-11): has ruled retirement out but worth watching Tim Holden (PA-17): potential retirement John Spratt (SC-05): has ruled retirement out but worth watching Rick Boucher (VA-09): has ruled retirement out but worth watching |
| R | Elton Gallegly (CA-24): potential retirement David Dreier (CA-26): potential retirement Vern Ehlers (MI-03): potential retirement Denny Rehberg (MT-AL): potential retirement Dean Heller (NV-02): potential gubernatorial race Frank Lucas (OK-03): potential run for Governor Frank Wolf (VA-10): potential retirement Dave Reichert (WA-08): potential Senate run |
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| Those who were on retirement watch but have ruled out retirement | D | Bobby Bright (AL-02): ruled out statewide run Gabrielle Giffords (AZ-08): will not run statewide Rep. Jackie Speier (CA-12): will not run statewide Allen Boyd (FL-02): ruled out Senate run Corinne Brown (FL-03): ruled out Senate run Bob Etheridge (NC-02): ruled out Senate run Ron Klein (FL-22): ruled out Senate run Bruce Braley (IA-01): will not run for Senate Danny Davis (IL-07): dropped out of race for Cook County President Jan Schakowsky (IL-09): ruled out Senate run Ben Chandler (KY-06): ruled out Senate run Burt Stupak (MI-01): potential run for Governor Mike McIntyre (NC-07): ruled out Senate run Heath Shuler (NC-11): ruled out Senate run Carol Shea-Porter (NH-02): ruled out Senate run Earl Pomeroy (ND-AL): will not run for Senate Steve Israel (NY-02): ruled out Senate run Carolyn McCarthy (NY-04): ruled out Senate run Jerrold Nadler (NY-08): will not run for Senate Caroline Maloney (NY-14): ruled out Senate run Jose Serrano (NY-16): ruled out Senate run Tim Ryan (OH-17): ruled out Senate and Lieutenant Governor run Betty Sutton (OH-13): will not run for Senate Zach Space (OH-18): ruled out Senate run Patrick Murphy (PA-08): ruled out Senate run Allison Schwarz (PA-13): ruled out Senate run Stephanie Herseth Slandin (SD-AL): ruled out Senate/Governor’s race Lincoln Davis (TN-04): ruled out running for Governor Ron Kind (WI-03): ruled out Governor’s race Alan Mollohan (WV-01): filing deadline has passed Nick Rahall (WV-03): filing deadline has passed |
| R | Jo Bonner (AL-01): ruled out running for Governor Mike Rogers (AL-03): will not run for Governor Don Young (AK-AL): ruled out retirement Vern Buchanan (FL-13): ruled out statewide run Jack Kingston (GA-01): ruled out running for Governor Connie Mack (FL-14): ruled out Senate run Steve King (IA-05): ruled out running for Governor Lynn Westmoreland (GA-03): ruled out gubernatorial run Peter Roskam (IL-06): will not run for Senate Judy Biggert (IL-13): will not retire Roscoe Bartlett (MD-06): ruled out retirement Fred Upton (MI-06): ruled out retirement Mike Rogers (MI-08): ruled out running for Governor Jo Ann Emerson (MO-08): ruled out Senate run Frank LoBiondo (NJ-02): ruled out Lieutenant Governor run Peter King (NY-03): considering Senate run Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): will not retire John Sullivan (OK-01): ruled out retirement Greg Walden (OR-02): ruled out running for Governor Jim Gerlach (PA-06): dropped bid for Governor Mike McCaul (TX-10): ruled out statewide run Paul Ryan (WI-01): ruled out Senate run |
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Tiahrt should retire. he has been bad for Kansas and will hurt Kansas as senator.
I live in Florida and see a few names listed who are retiring. I guess ‘change’ can be good. Everything is relative. We know what we have now, we don’t know what we will get.
Everyone gives promises. It’s who will deliver.
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