First, a look at the senatorial and gubernatorial picture:

Those who have announced their retirement Missouri’s Kit Bond
Kansas’s Sam Brownback
Kentucky’s Jim Bunning
Illinois’s Roland Burris
Connecticut’s Chris Dodd
Delaware’s Ted Kaufman
Florida’s Mel Martinez
New Hampshire’s Judd Gregg
North Dakota’s Byron Dorgan
Ohio’s George Voinovich

Colorado’s Bill Ritter
Connecticut’s Jodi Rell
Florida’s Charlie Crist
Wisconsin’s Jim Doyle
Minnesota’s Tim Pawlenty
Vermont’s Jim Douglas

Those who might retire or resign Nevada’s John Ensign
California’s Diane Feinstein
Texas’s Kay Bailey Hutchison
Those who say they will not retire but we are monitoring anyway Hawaii’s Daniel Inouye
Maryland’s Barbara Mikulski

Now, here is a database of potential House retirements. I colored in red those districts in which an open seat is expected to be competitive:

Open seats D (14) Artur Davis (AL-07): running for Governor
Marion Berry (AR-01): retiring
Vic Snyder (AR-02): retiring
Diane Watson (CA-33): retiring (story)
Kendrick Meek (FL-17): running for Senate (story)
Neil Abercombie (HI-01): resigning to run for Governor (story)
Dennis Moore (KS-03): retiring
Charlie Melancon (LA-03): running for Senate (story)
Paul Hodes (NH-01): running for Senate
Joe Sestak (PA-07): running for Senate (story)
Patrick Kennedy (RI-01): retiring
Bart Gordon (TN-06): retiring (story)
John Tanner (TN-08): retiring (story)
Brian Baird (WA-03): retiring (story)
R  (19) John Boozman (AR-03): potential retirement
John Shadegg (AZ-03): potential retirement
George Radanovich (CA-19): retiring (story)
Mike Castle (DE-AL): running for Senate
Adam Putnam (FL-12): running for Agriculture Commissioner (story)
Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL-21): retiring
Mario Diaz-Balart (FL-25): retiring
Nathan Deal (GA-09): running for Governor
Mark Kirk (IL-10): running for Senate
Steve Buyer (IN-04): retiring
Jerry Moran (KS-01): running for Senate
Todd Tiahrt (KS-04): running for Senate (story)
Pete Hoekstra (MI-02): retiring (story)
Vern Ehlers (MI-03): retiring (story)
Roy Blunt (MO-07): running for Senate
Mary Fallin (OK-05): running for Governor (story)
Henry Brown (SC-01): retiring (story)
Gresham Barrett (SC-03): running for Governor (story)
Zach Wamp (TN-03): running for Governor (story)
Those we are watching closely D Ike Skelton (MO-04): potential retirement
Peter DeFazio (OR-04): potential run for Governor
R Bill Young (FL-10): potential retirement
Those whose retirement is unlikely but plausible D Mike Ross (AR-04): potential retirement
Sanford Bishop (GA-02): potential retirement
Leonard Boswell (IA-03): has ruled out retirement but worth watching
Bill Delahunt (MA-10): potential retirement
John Dingell (MI-15): potential retirement
Collin Peterson (MN-07): has ruled retirement out but worth watching
Charlie Rangel (NY-15): potential retirement
Paul Kanjorski (PA-11): has ruled retirement out but worth watching
Tim Holden (PA-17): potential retirement
John Spratt (SC-05): has ruled retirement out but worth watching
Rick Boucher (VA-09): has ruled retirement out but worth watching
R Elton Gallegly (CA-24): potential retirement
David Dreier (CA-26): potential retirement
Vern Ehlers (MI-03): potential retirement
Denny Rehberg (MT-AL): potential retirement
Dean Heller (NV-02): potential gubernatorial race
Frank Lucas (OK-03): potential run for Governor
Frank Wolf (VA-10): potential retirement
Dave Reichert (WA-08): potential Senate run
Those who were on retirement watch but have ruled out retirement D Bobby Bright (AL-02): ruled out statewide run
Gabrielle Giffords (AZ-08): will not run statewide
Rep. Jackie Speier (CA-12): will not run statewide
Allen Boyd (FL-02): ruled out Senate run
Corinne Brown (FL-03): ruled out Senate run
Bob Etheridge (NC-02): ruled out Senate run
Ron Klein (FL-22): ruled out Senate run
Bruce Braley (IA-01): will not run for Senate
Danny Davis (IL-07): dropped out of race for Cook County President
Jan Schakowsky (IL-09): ruled out Senate run
Ben Chandler (KY-06): ruled out Senate run
Burt Stupak (MI-01): potential run for Governor
Mike McIntyre (NC-07): ruled out Senate run
Heath Shuler (NC-11): ruled out Senate run
Carol Shea-Porter (NH-02): ruled out Senate run
Earl Pomeroy (ND-AL): will not run for Senate
Steve Israel (NY-02): ruled out Senate run
Carolyn McCarthy (NY-04): ruled out Senate run
Jerrold Nadler (NY-08): will not run for Senate
Caroline Maloney (NY-14): ruled out Senate run
Jose Serrano (NY-16): ruled out Senate run
Tim Ryan (OH-17): ruled out Senate and Lieutenant Governor run
Betty Sutton (OH-13): will not run for Senate
Zach Space (OH-18): ruled out Senate run
Patrick Murphy (PA-08): ruled out Senate run
Allison Schwarz (PA-13): ruled out Senate run
Stephanie Herseth Slandin (SD-AL): ruled out Senate/Governor’s race
Lincoln Davis (TN-04): ruled out running for Governor
Ron Kind (WI-03): ruled out Governor’s race
Alan Mollohan (WV-01): filing deadline has passed
Nick Rahall (WV-03): filing deadline has passed
R Jo Bonner (AL-01): ruled out running for Governor
Mike Rogers (AL-03): will not run for Governor
Don Young (AK-AL): ruled out retirement
Vern Buchanan (FL-13): ruled out statewide run
Jack Kingston (GA-01): ruled out running for Governor
Connie Mack (FL-14): ruled out Senate run
Steve King (IA-05): ruled out running for Governor
Lynn Westmoreland (GA-03): ruled out gubernatorial run
Peter Roskam (IL-06): will not run for Senate
Judy Biggert (IL-13): will not retire
Roscoe Bartlett (MD-06): ruled out retirement
Fred Upton (MI-06): ruled out retirement
Mike Rogers (MI-08): ruled out running for Governor
Jo Ann Emerson (MO-08): ruled out Senate run
Frank LoBiondo (NJ-02): ruled out Lieutenant Governor run
Peter King (NY-03): considering Senate run
Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): will not retire
John Sullivan (OK-01): ruled out retirement
Greg Walden (OR-02): ruled out running for Governor
Jim Gerlach (PA-06): dropped bid for Governor
Mike McCaul (TX-10): ruled out statewide run
Paul Ryan (WI-01): ruled out Senate run

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