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Comments on: House ‘08 http://campaigndiaries.com Obsessive political analysis Sat, 23 Sep 2017 21:51:31 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: dsimon http://campaigndiaries.com/reliving-2008/house/comment-page-1/#comment-4589 dsimon
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Tue, 07 Oct 2008 14:00:54 +0000
http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?page_id=926#comment-4589 Yesterday, Swing State Project cited a SUSA poll for NY-29 done for Roll Call that has Massa up 51-44, so there's now more to go on than the internal poll for that district, though still perhaps not enough to recategorize it. On a technical note, it's Ashwin Madia, not Media, in MN-03. Yesterday, Swing State Project cited a SUSA poll for NY-29 done for Roll Call that has Massa up 51-44, so there’s now more to go on than the internal poll for that district, though still perhaps not enough to recategorize it.

On a technical note, it’s Ashwin Madia, not Media, in MN-03.

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By: Taniel http://campaigndiaries.com/reliving-2008/house/comment-page-1/#comment-4591 Taniel
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Mon, 29 Sep 2008 21:03:03 +0000
http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?page_id=926#comment-4591 Mat, All polls do not show double-digit leads for Markey. Two polls have been released of this race, one of them an internal Democratic poll, and <a href="http://campaigndiaries.com/polls/#CO-04" rel="nofollow">neither shows</a> a double-digit race. And while I agree that the race looks to be narrowly tilting Democratic and will likely go to the lean take-over category in my next update, these ratings were last updated end of August, just before either poll came out. Also, the DCCC has not spent any money on this race for now. And though it certainly will soon do so, it has invested big amounts on other races. So let's not jump to conclusions too quickly. Mat,

All polls do not show double-digit leads for Markey. Two polls have been released of this race, one of them an internal Democratic poll, and neither shows a double-digit race. And while I agree that the race looks to be narrowly tilting Democratic and will likely go to the lean take-over category in my next update, these ratings were last updated end of August, just before either poll came out. Also, the DCCC has not spent any money on this race for now. And though it certainly will soon do so, it has invested big amounts on other races. So let’s not jump to conclusions too quickly.

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By: Mat http://campaigndiaries.com/reliving-2008/house/comment-page-1/#comment-4592 Mat
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Mon, 29 Sep 2008 18:35:41 +0000
http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?page_id=926#comment-4592 I keep looking as I am sure many do for CO-04. All polls show this a clear takeover for dems. There is such high interest in the race since Musgrave is rated the most conservative member of congress. What is your basis for a "toss-up" rating since all polls show double digit leads for Markey and the DCCC has committed tons of money as well as outside groups? I keep looking as I am sure many do for CO-04. All polls show this a clear takeover for dems. There is such high interest in the race since Musgrave is rated the most conservative member of congress. What is your basis for a “toss-up” rating since all polls show double digit leads for Markey and the DCCC has committed tons of money as well as outside groups?

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By: Tim http://campaigndiaries.com/reliving-2008/house/comment-page-1/#comment-4590 Tim
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Sat, 20 Sep 2008 02:31:11 +0000
http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?page_id=926#comment-4590 You might want to take a new look at Md.1. Latest poll shows it a tie. You might want to take a new look at Md.1.
Latest poll shows it a tie.

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