Comments for Campaign Diaries

Comment on Ratings update: The landscape isn’t done shifting away from Dems by Jan

Jan — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 20:14:19 +0000

Thanks a lot for being back. I hope you’ll find the time for a weekly analysis. I appreciate what you do here for all of us.

Comment on Ratings update: The landscape isn’t done shifting away from Dems by Cliff

Cliff — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 18:58:57 +0000

IN-08, if anything other then a tossup, is leans R. Bush won over 60% both times. “Random R” beats “Good D” this year. They wouldn’t beat “Great, incumbent D”, but they will beat a merely “Good D”.

Anyhow, I also think you’re understating NY-29. I think it’s leans R, if not likely R. The D’s don’t even have a candidate, it’s an R leaning district that McCain won, and the R’s have a decent candidate who’s already got some money and operation. I don’t think it’ll even be close.

Comment on Ratings update: The landscape isn’t done shifting away from Dems by Maurice

Maurice — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 02:22:27 +0000

Good to know you’re still there…

But I can’t agree with one change, anyway.

I’ll give you that FL-25 isn’t a tossup yet, but IN-08 certainly isn’t. The heart surgeon has some hope of getting 45% in the general, but that means getting past the richer guy in the primary.

Overall, though, pretty realistic.

Comment on Ratings update: The landscape isn’t done shifting away from Dems by Patrician

Patrician — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 00:30:48 +0000

Thanks for the excellent analysis and it’s great to see you back. Hope you can work out a weekly post…

Comment on Ratings update: The landscape isn’t done shifting away from Dems by Guy

Guy — Tue, 16 Mar 2010 17:21:17 +0000

Thanks for posting again and having a detailed review of changes. I am surprised that John Kasich is held in such high regard since he has been out of office quite a few years and had some unsubstantiated rumors about his private life - which may have been part of the reason he declined to seek the Republican nomination for President in the past even though he had started to gear up. Of course trying to jump from being a congressman to Presidental nominee is very hard (ask Duncan Hunter or Tancredo!)

What is interesting about Ohio is how two reputable firms have clearly different results. One has the GOP winning comfortable, the other the Democrat. This election could be very important for refining polls and their turnout models (same happened in the UK General Election in 1992 after most polling companies called the wrong result, or Florida in 2000).

Anyway good to see you back Taniel.

Comment on NV: Heck’s decision testifies to Reid’s improving fortunes and Gibbons’s worsening state by Fahimerss

Fahimerss — Tue, 16 Mar 2010 03:12:28 +0000

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Comment on As three congressmen mull leaving House, a former member wants to return by Andrey

Andrey — Tue, 16 Mar 2010 00:27:20 +0000

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Comment on Congress: New round of DCCC expenditures, Lunsford invokes McCain by Why it’s tough to be a Democrat in 2010 | TheThunderbird.ca

Why it’s tough to be a Democrat in 2010 | TheThunderbird.ca — Mon, 15 Mar 2010 19:08:31 +0000

[...] isn’t popular in Kentucky. Indeed, in 2008 Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford infamously aligned himself with John McCain in his race against Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, the other member of Kentucky’s Senate [...]

Comment on All good things must come to an end by Trevor

Trevor — Sat, 13 Mar 2010 17:57:06 +0000

Again, another silent dedicated reader of your posts. I found a deep analysis of facts rather than speculation on campaign diaries.
Thanks for writing,
Trevor

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