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Category Archive for ‘UT-Sen’ at Campaign Diaries
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Archive for the 'UT-Sen' Category


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Senate polls find GOP in strong position in Arkansas, Delaware

Whenever a Republican manages to receive the support of 20% of those who approve of Barack Obama’s performance, Democrats have reason to worry. And that’s exactly what they’re facing in the Delaware Senate race, where the latest PPP poll finds that Mike Caste really is as formidable a Republican candidate as the GOP could have hoped for. Pitted against Beau Biden - the only match-up with which Democrats have a chance of staying competitive - Castle leads 45% to 39%.

Back in March, Castle was up by 8%, so this is not an example of Democratic fortunes collapsing as 2009 has gone by. Biden isn’t helped by the decline of Obama’s approval rating (from 63% to 53%), though in the spring Castle was already enjoying strong support among independents and a solid crossover support. Now, he leads 52-23 among independents and 79-10 among Republicans; Biden only manages a 65-20 advantage among Democrats. While both candidates enjoy a positive favorability rating, Castle is very popular (55-28) whereas voters are ambivalent towards the vice-president’s son (43-35).

The good news for Biden (if he intends to run, of course) is that the internals suggest this is as low as it can get for him: It’s hard to see him receiving any less than 65% of Democrats and 23% of independents. In fact, convincing the remaining undecided Democrats should be enough for him to close the gap in a state with a wide partisan unbalance. Yet, that might not be easy since a plurality of Democratic voters say Castle is ideologically “about right.” The DSCC will spend most the next year airing anything that might make the congressman look right-wing (starting with his votes against most of Obama’s legislative priorities), but Delawareans have been living with this man since 1980; they won’t easily be convinced that he is not the person they seem to think he is.

If Democrats are at a risk of losing Delaware’s Senate seat, the situation is far more urgent in Arkansas. Two new polls were released today, and both of them confirm that Blanche Lincoln is one of the most endangered incumbents in the country.

First, Rasmussen found catastrophic results for the senator. Weighed down by a 43-52 favorability rating and by Obama’s 34-65 approval rating, she trails all four of her potential Republican rivals: 46-39 against Kim Hendren, 47-41 against Gilbert Baker, 44-40 against Curtis Coleman and 43-40 against Tom Cox. In short, most voters who do not have a favorable opinion of Lincoln are eager to vote for her challenger - no matter who he is; for a two-term incumbent to trail someone as low-profile as Cox suggests voters are desperate to get rid of her.

Research 2000 has Lincoln in a stronger position - not in terms of her favorability rating, which is again negative (41-50) but certainly in terms of direct match-ups: She leads all four trial heats, some of them by decisive margins. She’s up 42-41 on Baker, 44-39 against Coleman, 45-31 against Cox and 46-30 against Hendren.

The disparity between Rasmussen and Research 2000 is stark, but Democrats don’t have that much comfort to glean from the latter. For one, the big leads she pulls against Cox and Hendren are primarily due to the fact that, in these match-ups, there are far more undecided Republicans and undecided independents than they are undecided Democrats. Second, a 1% lead against Baker is nothing to boast about given that the name recognition differential. Third, trendlines are worrisome for Lincoln, who led Baker by 7% in Research 2000’s September poll.

Interestingly, Research 2000 tested a potential Democratic primary between Lincoln and Lieutenant Governor Brian Halter: Lincoln leads 42% to 27%, a showing that’s more than weak given that the advantage of incumbency is far more dominant in a primary context. This not only indicates Halter might have a path to the nomination, but it’s also a sign of general election trouble for Lincoln: 32% of her party have an unfavorable view of her, so she certainly cannot rely on heavy Democratic turnout next year.

(In the general election, Halter trails Baker 42% to 34% and Coleman 40% to 35%; he leads Hendren 36% to 31% and Cox 36% to 32%. The disparity between Lincoln and Halter’s results is significant, but it can partly be explained by the fact that far more Democrats than Republicans are undecided in the first two match-ups.)

Rasmussen’s poll also confirms I was right to categorize Arkansas as one of only 5 states that are hosting uncompetitive gubernatorial races: Democratic Mike Beebe is a rare governor whose approval rating remains strong in the current economic conditions, 70% to 28%.

Utah’s Bob Bennett highly unpopular, but hard to see how Democrats take advantage

A new poll finds another senator who is highly unpopular: Utah Senator Bob Bennett. Deseret News finds that only 27% of respondents think Bennett deserves a fourth term, while a massive 58% desire someone new. That’s a dismal showing, and in most states it would be reason for the opposing party to celebrate - but this is Utah we’re talking about: Much of the dissatisfaction over Bennett is coming from his own party’s right. (I wrote a post about why Bennett is finding himself in trouble last month.)

In an atypical poll question, respondents were asked who they would want as senator among a list of 7 candidates - 6 Republicans and 1 Democrat (Sam Granato, who is the state Liquor Control Commission Chairman). Only 31% chose Bennett, underscoring just how low a base of support the senator has; 14% went with Granato; 17% divided themselves between the 5 remaining Republicans: Cherilyn Eagar, Tim Bridgewater, Fred Lampropoulos, Mike Lee and James Russell Williams. (I wish they had tested Jason Chaffetz, who might have been a more familiar name to respondents.)

Remember that the first step of the nominating process is a state convention. If the senator is receiving the support of only 31% of the electorate at large, he should seriously be worrying about where he might end up when his fate will be in the hands of party activists, a group that is far more conservative.


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Why is Senator Bob Bennett in trouble?

Bob Bennett is not the first Republican who comes to mind when we think of centrists who might be endangered in intraparty fights. Yet, the 3-term Utah Senator is at risk of losing the GOP nomination next year, making him one of only 3 incumbents (along with Arlen Specter and Michael Bennet) who are in serious danger of not making it to the general election ballot.

In most states, Bennett’s voting record would place him far to the right of the political spectrum. But in Utah, the few issues on which he has bucked conservatives have been enough to turn some of the base against him, which has in turn allowed conservative politicians to think they could defeat him in 2010. Bennett’s most consequential vote might have been his opposition to the constitutional ban on flag-burning: Had he not been one of just 3 Republicans to vote “no” in 2006, the amendment would have passed the Senate (it received 66 votes).

Many conservatives also resent Bennett for supporting George W. Bush’s immigration plan, in particular the guest worker program. This is obviously a defining issue for many in the Republican base, as was confirmed in 2007 when the immigration issue nearly derailed John McCain’s quest for the presidential nomination. That Bennett supported the bailout in the fall of 2008 did not help his cause, nor does his willingness to entertain the possibility of some type of health care reform, with a liberal senator like Ron Wyden no less: The two Senators are the leading sponsors of the Healthy Americans Act.

Bennett’s seniority could also be used against him: Utah Republicans are as hostile to the federal government as any group in the country, so they are unlikely to look kindly on a politician who has served 18 years in Congress. While 3-term senators typically tout their ability to bring back federal funds to their home state, that argument would massively backfire on Bennett; if anything, it’s his opponents who are bringing up the amount of earmarks he has managed to secure for Utah as a bad thing.

All these factors would not have been enough to endanger Bennett if it was not for Utah’s nominating procedure. If a candidate wins the support of 60% of delegates at a Republican Convention, he wins the nomination outright. Otherwise, the top two vote-getters face off in a closed primary.

Convention delegates obviously tilt even more to the right than the Republican electorate at large. Just imagine what would happen in Florida, where Marco Rubio is crushing Charlie Crist in county straw poll after county straw poll, if the nominating process was in the hands to a party convention! Similarly, moderate Republican Tom Davis passed on Virginia’s 2008 Senate race after the state party changed the rules and convened a nominating convention (even then, former Governor Jim Gilmore almost lost the GOP nod against a little-known conservative activist).

Bennett might be more conservative than Crist, but Utah’s Republican electorate is to the right of Florida’s. As such, a conservative could very well reach 60% at the convention. Even if that does not happen, he could at least come out ahead and thus enter the primary period with momentum; Republican voters would read about convention delegates not trusting Bennett to represent them and it could be hard for the incumbent to right the ship. This is what happened in a House race in 2008. At the convention, Jason Chaffetz fell a few delegates short of the 60% threshold he needed to wrestle the GOP nomination away from Rep. Joe Cannon. But that only proved a temporary delay: after a short campaign dominated by Cannon’s supposed moderation on immigration, Chaffertz crushed the incumbent in the June primary.

Chaffetz is now considering challenging Bennett, which would surely be the worst-case scenario for the Senator: Chaffetz could rely on the network of activists that served him so well in 2008, and convention delegates would likely be very receptive to his bid. That Chaffetz has for now refused to ask for earmarks has dismayed local mayors, but it should win him points among conservative activists.

If Chaffetz does not run, Bennett will have to dispatch businessman Fred Lampropoulos and Mike Lee. Neither might sound like the type of candidate who can ordinarily topple an 18-year incumbent, but both have extensive ties to local conservatives: Lampropoulos had some success in the 2004 gubernatorial race (eventually won by Huntsman) while Lee is the son of a former U.S. Solicitor General under Reagan and of a former president of BYU. Their absence of elected experience allows them to position themselves as purer conservatives than could Attorney General Mark Shurtleff, who had to drop out last week after Tea Party groups signaled they could not support him because he wasn’t far enough to the right on immigration.

A multitude of opponents would not help Bennett in the primary, since only the top two vote-getters make it to the June ballot, but it would hurt one challenger’s prospects of reaching 60% at the convention. As such, local conservatives organization and Tea Party groups are in discussion to rally behind a single candidate. If such unity were to be achieved, the Club for Growth has signaled it would strongly consider getting involved.

Unfortunately for Democrats, they are for now in no position to benefit from Republican infighting: While state Liquor Control Commission Chairman Sam Granato is in the race, the few Democrats who would be in any position to win statewide (Rep. Jim Matheson, Salt Lake County Mayor Peter Corroon) have expressed no interest in running for Senate - and even if they did Utah is too conservative a state for whoever the GOP nominates not to be heavily favored to win the general election.


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Weekly 2010 update: Connecticut’s landscape is shuffled as North Carolina’s gets clearer

The past week brought us a radically altered landscape in Connecticut, where Jodi Rell’s abrupt retirement created yet another highly competitive gubernatorial race and triggered a flurry of questions - the most important of which (will Richard Blumenthal jump in?) has already been answered. The second state to be the focus of attention was North Carolina, where Bob Etheridge and Cal Cunningham’s announcements that they would not challenge Richard Burr finally brings some clarity to the Senate race: While there are still some Democrats who are considering jumping in and while attorney Kenneth Lewis is also in the race, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall can now position herself as the party’s front-runner.

In Vermont, the fate of the gubernatorial race continues to be in the hands of independent politicians. The surprise is that the first third-party entrant might not be a candidate for the Progressive Party but a former Republican state Senator: Michael Bernhardt is now saying he will decide what to do by the beginning of 2010, and that he is not impressed with the probable GOP nominee, Lieutenant Governor Brian Dubie. Meanwhile, Progressive Party head Anthony Pollina, who came in front of the Democratic candidate in the 2008 race, is now considering seeking the Democratic nomination next year; that would sure be a major twist.

In Utah, Senator Bob Bennett continues to feel the heat from the right. A week after Attorney General Mark Shurtleff dropped out, 2 new challengers emerged: businessman Fred Lampropoulos, who had some limited success in a prior gubernatorial run, and Mike Lee, the son of Rex Lee (U.S. Solicitor General under Reagan and a former president of BYU). Remember that the large number of challengers does not necessarily help Bennett survive, quite the contrary it makes it likely that the senator will fail to clear 60% of delegates at the state convention, which would force him in a primary only against one opponent.

In New York, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s inability to build a solid approval rating is apparently making some Democrats nervous enough that talk of a possible primary challenge has not died down. Jonathan Tasini and Jon Cooper are the only declared candidates left, but two new names were brandied around this week: state Comptroller Bill DiNapoli and New York City Comptroller William Thompson, whose unexpectedly close loss to Michael Bloomberg is making him look like a far stronger politician than he was ever portrayed during the mayoral race. Neither DiNapoli nor Thompson have directly voiced any interest, however.

In Minnesota, we got yet another drop out: state Senator Michael Jungbauer is the second Republican this month who is leaving the gubernatorial race. After months of just about any ambitious politician jumping in, the time has come in which candidates assess their chances and strength. That said, I am surprised that it is the GOP field that’s getting smaller: While there are a number of prominent Democrats who are running, no Republican front-runner has emerged. With Jungbauer’s exit, there are 5 declared candidates left - 4 of them state legislators and the fifth a former state Auditor.

As always, I list all the changes I have logged in during the week to the “retirement watch” and recruitment pages. Written in red are those politicians who announced their definite plans rather than simply expressed interest or stroke speculation. First, updates to Retirement Watch:

Will retire Governor Jodi Rell
Will not retire Rep. Danny Davis (IL-07)
Rep. Judy Biggert (IL-13)
Rep. Bob Etheridge (NC-02)

Second, updates to the Senate recruitment page:

IL-Sen, Dem Greenville city councilman Willie Boyd is running
businessman Corey Dabney is running
attorney Jacob Meister is running
Robert Marshall is running
IL-Sen, Green former alderman John Arrington is running
former judge Don Lowery is running
Thomas Kuna is running
Andy Martin is running
school board member Kathleen Thomas is running
former financial director Bob Zadek is running
IL-Sen, Green Jones LeAlan is running
NC-Sen, Dem former state Sen. Cal Cunningham rules out run
Rep. Bob Etheridge rules out run
NH-Sen, GOP Ovide Lamontagne announced run
NV-Sen, GOP former Board of Education member Greg Dagani announced run
NY-Sen, Dem state Comptroller Bill DiNapoli added to list
NYC Comptroller William Thompson added to list
UT-Sen, GOP businessman Fred Lampropoulos added to list
lawyer Mike Lee added to list

Third, updates to gubernatorial races: state

CO-Gov, GOP state Senate Minority Leader Josh Penry dropped out
CT-Gov, Dem Attorney General Richard Blumenthal will not run
CT-Gov, GOP Lieutenant Governor Michael Fedele is running
former Rep. Rob Simmons will not run
IL-Gov, Dem attorney Ed Scanlan is running
community activist William Walls is running
IL-Gov, GOP Adam Andrzejewski is running
DuPage County State’s Attorney Joe Birkett will not run
businessman Ron Gidwitz will not run
former party chair Andy McKenna is running
Attorney General Jim Ryan is running
DuPage Co. Board chair Robert Schillerstrom is running
former Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka will not run
former Chamber of Commerce CEO Doug Whitley will not run
IL-Gov, Green Rich Whitney is running
MN-Gov, GOP state Senator Michael Jungbauer dropped out
TN-Gov, Dem state Senate Minority Leader Jim Kyle is running
VT-Gov, Dem Anthony Pollina added to list
VT-Gov, Indie former state Rep. Michael Bernhardt added to list

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Primary trouble for 3 Senators

Senator Bennett is in trouble: Shurtleff jumps in

For those of us who do not live in Utah, Bob Bennett seems like a reliably conservative Senator - far from the party’s Snowe/Collins axis. But conservatives in Utah look dissatisfied enough with him that Attorney General Mark Shurtleff has just announced a Senate run. Pointing in particular to Bennett’s voice in favor of the financial bailout plan in the fall, Shurtleff attacked him for promoting socialism. “Instead of promoting principles of individual responsibility, he let us down and looked upon government as the solution,” he charged.

It remains to be seen whether this primary will catch conservative imagination as Specter/Toomey had earlier this year and as Crist/Rubio and Blunt/Steelman are doing now. With so many other primaries to focus on, can defeating Bennett emerge as a priority for those who want to fight for the soul of the party? The good news for Shurtleff is that he will not need to mobilize conservatives nationwide because his strategy will be focused on staging a coup at the Republican convention rather than in the party’s primary.

If a candidate secures the support of 60% of the convention’s delegates, he wins the nomination outright. These delegates are ultra-conservative and Shurtleff has been working them for long enough that he can have hope to at least come in front of Bennett in the delegate’s vote. That would give him enough momentum that would carry nicely in the primary campaign.

Could Democrats take advantage of Republican divisions? It’s very doubtful considering how reliably red the state is but the race could become interesting if the DSCC manages to convince a top candidate. If they decide that a risky statewide run is worth it, Rep. Matheson and Salt Lake Mayor Baker are more likely to jump in the gubernatorial race; but perhaps they will take a look at the Senate campaign if the Bennett-Shurtleff showdown heats up.

New York: Serrano’s name pops up in Senate race

In the same week that Steve Israel and Scott Stringer announced they would not run, a new Democrat’s name has popped up as a potential challenger to Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: Rep. Jose Serrano, who represents one of the bluest districts in the country, is now saying that he is considering the Senate race. “If Rahm Emanuel is making calls, he has a few more to make,” he said, referring to the White House’s attempts to clear the primary field for Gillibrand.

I am surprised at Serrano’s interest in the race: A 19-year incumbent, he is one of the most powerful members of the House because he is a chairman of an appropriations subcommittee (the Subcommittee on Financial Services and General Government) - which makes him a “cardinal.” Given that he is still relatively young and that he occupies as safe a seat as is possible, his influence is bound to continue rising. Does he really want to endanger such a promising trajectory for a difficult primary race; after all, even if he wins the election, he would find himself at the bottom of the seniority ladder.

(I almost suspect that a number of powerful New York Democrats might now purposefully entertain buzz that they are considering a Senate race in order to get the White House’s attention and be in a position to broker some sort of deal in exchange for their withdrawal. The fact that Serrano explicitly invited Emanuel to give him a call suggests that as well.)

If Serrano does run, he could be a formidable candidate. As a cardinal, he has extensive connections and is in a position to raise a lot of money. As a Latino, he is in a position to motivate Hispanic voters which has always looked like Gillibrand’s weakest point because of her harsh rhetoric on immigration issues. And he is from New York City, the area a Gillibrand opponent needs to win big (remember that New York City alone represents more than half of the electorate in the Democratic primary); he is based in the Bronx and his very liberal politics would motivate left-wing voters throughout the city.

Louisiana: Might Vitter face a primary after all?

Tony Perkins and John Cooksey ruled out a primary challenge to David Vitter and the buzz surrounding Jay Dardenne doesn’t seem to be going very far. But a new name suddenly popped up in the list of potential Republican candidates: former state Elections commissioner Suzanne Haik Terrell, who was the GOP’s Senate nominee against Mary Landrieu in 2002. (She narrowly lost a December runoff.)

Frankly, I am growing increasingly skeptical that Vitter is vulnerable. Polls show him popular among Republicans and while a primary challenger could revisit all the dirty laundry of the first half of his term, the evidence appears clear that his party’s base has not turned against him. By becoming one of the Senate’s most reliably conservative votes, Vitter has also closed the door to anyone running credibly to his right. On the other hand, Terrell is a credible enough opponent that she would force Vitter to address issues he would rather stay forgotten.


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GOP’s internal war: Steelman already blasts Blunt as “another white guy in a suit”

The Republican primary for Missouri’s Senate race looks like it will hold its promise. Former state Treasurer Sarah Steelman is already taking very tough shots at Rep. Roy Blunt, and she hasn’t even entered the contest yet!

Reacting to Blunt’s launching his campaign yesterday, Steelman told Politico: “Roy Blunt is another white guy in a suit, and I think the public wants change. There’s a good old boys’ network out there that’s hard to penetrate… and it’s not always in the best interest of the party or for conservative principles.” In the same interview, Steelman confirmed her interest without making a definite announcement. “I’m definitely strongly leaning towards doing this,” she said, explaining that she is “in the process of laying the groundwork.”

That Steelman is willing to take on Blunt to such an extent with 18 months to go before the primary suggests this is a contest that could become very nasty. If she is already blasting him as “another white guy in a suit” today, what will she be calling him in the campaign’s last stretch?

If Steelman jumps in the race, the GOP primary would be marked by an uncharacteristically pure opposition, and that’s precisely a Blunt-Steelman showdown could become the NRSC’s nightmare. Their battle would fit perfectly in the ready-made narrative of the GOP’s civil war - movement conservatives take on the Republican establishment.

More than an ideological opposition, this is a process-oriented one - but that shouldn’t make the conflict any less bruising. With Jim Talent announcing that he would not run for Senate, any potential complications to that tableau were removed. Are only left two contenders who can be easily be portrayed as caricatural embodiments of their respective camps. On one side, Blunt looked like the ultimate Washington insider; on the other, Steelman is a fiery crusader who has built her recent career around anti-establishment rhetoric.

Her latest comments suggest that she would not pull any punches. Delighted at the clarity of the narrative, the media would make a big deal out of the fight, which is a recipe for disaster. The winner would only have three months to mend the wounds and convince the former opponent’s voters that he/she is not the symbol of everything that is wrong with the Republican Party.

As is to be expected from a party that is locked out of power at the federal level and in most state capitals, the Republicans’ civil war is manifesting itself well beyond Missouri. In a sign of the tensions within the GOP, a number or bruising primaries are taking form elsewhere in the country. (On the other hand, these other examples should have little impact on the general election since Democrats are not expect to put up much opposition in any of them.)

The most high-profile battle could occur in Texas’s gubernatorial race as less conservative Kay Bailey Hutchison is looking to challenge the incumbent, conservative darling Rick Perry. Sarah Palin has already taken sides in this primary, endorsing the incumbent in a major test of her credibility. We will surely talk about this primary more in the future.

Second, we learned yesterday that Utah’s reliably conservative Senator Robert Bennet could face a challenge from the right next year. The Salt Lake Tribune reports that David Leavitt, the brother of Utah’s former Governor Mike Leavitt and a former county attorney, could run for Senate. Leavitt is not a very threatening candidate (he lost his re-election race for the Juab County attorney position), but there are still other Republicans who are rumored as potential challengers to the well-entrenched incumbent.

As for Kansas, Rep. Jerry Moran and Rep. Todd Tiahrt are both reliable conservatives, and no one would venture to argue that there is much separating them. Yet, their primary battle is sure to take on ideological overtones, as both congressmen try to out-conservative each other. This is a dynamic I have described recently here; for those who are interested in this race, The Hill has an interesting description of its early dynamics.



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  • All good things must come to an end

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  • What remains on the table

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  • Confusion in Connecticut (Updated)

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  • Results thread, part 2: Dems suffer staggering losses in House and legislatives races, limit damage in statewide races

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    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election Night results thread: Rep. Boucher’s fall first surprise of the night

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election night cheat sheet

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Final ratings: Democrats brace for historic losses

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • What to watch for down-ballot

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

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