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Category Archive for ‘OR-Gov’ at Campaign Diaries
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Archive for the 'OR-Gov' Category


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Greg Walden and Tom Tancredo rule out gubernatorial runs

Late last week, Rep. Greg Walden announced that he would run for re-election, a blow to Republican chances of contesting Oregon’s gubernatorial race. In his absence, the GOP primary will be headlined by entrepreneur Allen Alley and by former state Senator John Lim; former NBA player Chris Dudley has formed an exploratory committee, so he could still jump in.

Walden had long since entertained the possibility that he could run for statewide, which would have given the GOP a high-profile recruit against the Democratic primary’s all-star cast: former Secretary of State Bill Bradbury and former Governor John Kitzhaber are going head-to-head, while Rep. Peter DeFazio has yet to rule out jumping in the race. (Conventional wisdom is still one of skepticism that DeFazio might abandon his relatively safe and increasingly influential position in the House for such a difficult tough primary; but every time state observers are preparing to cross him out, the progressive Democrat is reiterating his interest in the race and insisting he could still jump in.)

Whoever Democrats nominate will now be clearly favored in the general election. That’s not to say that Republicans won’t have a shot at victory, but it will be an uphill climb. Lim is now 73 (rarely an age at which a candidate can be so gripping as to get voters to go against their traditional allegiances), while Dudley will have to demonstrate he has the political skills necessary to be taken seriously by voters (there are plenty of examples of sports player successfully entering politics, but such a transition can never be taken for granted). That leaves us with Alley, who actually performed well in his 2008 campaign for state Treasurer: He lost 51% to 45%, which means he significantly outperformed John McCain.

Walden’s decision has little consequence in the battle for the House: OR-02 is a heavily Republican district (it voted for Bush by 23% in 2004 and it went for McCain by 11% last year). Had Walden retired in a 2006-like environment and Democrats might have had a shot at winning it, but for him to leave the seat open next year wouldn’t have been a big headache for the NRCC.

Meanwhile, another Republican bowed out of a Governor’s race but this time, Democrats are the one who are disappointed.

Two weeks ago, the news that former Rep. Tom Tancredo was preparing to jump in Colorado’s gubernatorial race had threatened to completely alter the way race’s outlook. At worst for the GOP, Tancredo would have won the primary, transforming the general election on a referendum on his controversial persona and extremist rhetoric rather than on Governor Bill Ritter’s record; at best, the establishment would have powered former Rep. Scott McInnis through, but he would have emerged wounded, bruised up and unsure of benefiting from a united base.

But those worries dissipated as quickly as they appeared: McInnis’s nemeses rallied by his side this week-end. First, state Senator John Penry (who just dropped out of the Governor’s race two weeks ago) endorsed him; then, we learned that Tancredo was not only pulling the plug on a statewide run, but that he was preparing to back McInnis as well!

We can now be all but certain that the general election will pit Ritter to McInnis, a highly competitive match-up since the challenger has been narrowly ahead in recent polls.

These unexpected developments occurred after Penry and Tancredo convinced McInnis to adhere to a conservative platform (entitled “Platform for Prosperity”) that the three politicians devised with the help of other Republicans. In an unlikely show of party unity given how divided Colorado Republicans looked recently (and to some level have looked for years), the platform’s unveiling was also attended by former Governor Bill Owens.

As such, Colorado’s intraparty fight will have had the most ideal resolution the Republican establishment can dream of: It got its choice pick, it did so peacefully and the party’s conservative wing emerged satisfied since it got some concession. Perhaps McInnis will get a call from Jane Norton in the days ahead; she surely would like such a resolution to the tough Senate primary that’s shaping up between her, Ken Buck and Tom Wiens.

Since we’re on the subject of Governor’s races: I shall have new gubernatorial rankings out shortly, probably early next week.


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Weekly 2010 update: In statewide races, recruitment season is winding down

As has been the case since early this summer, the political focus remains the health-care debate. Reports on the Senate’s merger negotiations and on Harry Reid’s unlikely emergence as a progressive counter to Barack Obama’s cool take on the public option have dominated conversation. While that does not mean major midterm stories did not unfold - in particular Sharron Angle’s entrance in Nevada’s Senate race - it is also noticeable that recruitment season in statewide contests is slowly winding down.

One of the few races in which both parties’ fields is still unsettled is Oregon’s open Governor’s race. On the Republican side, Rep. Greg Walden is not looking likely to jump in, and it looks increasingly unlikely that the GOP will manage to mount a top campaign here. This week, state Senator Jason Atkinson announced he was withdrawing from the race for personal reasons. That could in some ways help the GOP, as he is a social conservative who would have had trouble winning statewide in a blue state. But as a former statewide candidate, he had advantages over other Republicans in the race, whether entrepreneur Allen Alley and former state Senator Lim, who is 73. Atkinson’s withdrawal could lead to another conservative contender’s emergence, so the GOP field could change quite a bit; on the Democratic side, of course, we wait for Rep. Peter DeFazio’s decision.

In Massachussetts, Canton Selectman Robert Burr dropped out of the special election to fill Teddy Kennedy’s seat. That leaves state Senator Scott Brown as the presumptive GOP nominee, so whoever emerges out of December’s Democratic primary should prepare to face Brown. I am somewhat surprised that other Republicans did not enter the race: Sure, the state GOP has a thin bench, but there were some people who could have ran without wasting too much of their time since the election’s schedule is so compressed.

In Wisconsin, businessman Terrence Wall’s decision to challenge Senator Russ Feingold is a reminder that this is one Senate seat in which the NRSC hasn’t had much recruitment success, with far more prominent candidates passing on the race. In Maine, another Republican businessman (Les Otten) announced he would run for Governor; the GOP has no top-tier candidate for this open seat race, so Otten could very well emerge as the party’s nominee. He would be an underdog in the general election, but a Research 2000 poll released in September did find Otten performing better than other Republicans.

One race in which neither party is in need of contenders is Minnesota’s Governor’s race: The candidacy announcements of two state legislators (one from each party) pushes the number of those in the running to 15 - 8 Democrats and 7 Republicans! And we are still waiting to hear from former Senator Norm Coleman and Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak.

As always, I list all the changes I have logged in during the week to the “retirement watch” and recruitment pages. Written in red are those politicians who announced their definite plans rather than simply expressed interest or stroke speculation. First, updates to Retirement Watch:

Will retire No one
Will not retire No one

Second, updates to the Senate recruitment page:

AZ-Sen, Dem Tucson City councilman Rodney Glassman added
CO-Sen, GOP former state Sen. Tom Wiens added
MA-Sen, GOP Canton Selectman Robert Burr dropped out
NV-Sen, GOP former Assemblywoman Sharron Angle announced run
UT-Sen, GOP Tim Bridgewater announced run
WI-Sen, GOP developer Terrence Wall announced run

Third, updates to gubernatorial recruitment: state Sen. Jason Atkinson

ME-Gov, GOP businessman Les Otten announced run
MN-Gov, Dem former state Senator Steve Kelley announced run
MN-Gov, GOP state Rep. Mary Seifert announced run
OR-Gov, GOP state Sen. Jason Atkinson dropped out
former Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley added to list
state Senator Frank Morse added to list
RI-Gov, GOP businessman Rory Smith announced run

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Oregon’s post-Kitzhaber landscape

Former Governor John Kitzhaber might not be the most popular of politicians, but his entry in Oregon’s gubernatorial race is sure to shuffle the race in a way no other candidate could have. He now has to be considered the favorite to win a third term. This is due as much to the advantage he’ll hold over any GOP rival - a June poll found Kitzhaber posting healthy leads against the state’s highest-profile Republicans - as to the fact that he might not even face much of a contest at all.

In this open race (Ted Kulongoski is barred from seeking a third term), it was anyone’s guess as to who would even run, with Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio and GOP Rep. Greg Walden signaling their interest. Both of them looks popular statewide and either of them would have been formidable candidates; had they entered in the race, it would have led to major consequences at the House level as well. DeFazio’s district is closely divided so the GOP would have had a good chance at picking-it up; his departure would also have been a major blow to the left, as DeFazio is one of the chamber’s most progressive members - surprisingly so given how swing a district he represents.

We have not heard anything from either congressmen since Kitzhaber declared his candidacy but it looks to me highly unlikely that either will want to give up their powerful House positions for such a difficult race. DeFazio is a 22-year incumbent who is now the chairman of the Highways and Transit subcommittee. The last thing such a powerful politician wants is to find himself an underdog in any race - but that’s exactly what he would be by the very nature of the contrast between Kitzhaber’s statewide background and DeFazio’s more localized fame.

As such, Kitzhaber’s decision to run might be a blessing for the DCCC’s hopes of holding on to OR-04 (by the way: this is the district in which the GOP has been sabotaging itself in recent weeks) and more specifically for progressives hoping to keep DeFazio in the House.

As for Walden, he is far less senior than his Democratic colleague - and the fact that his party is in the minority does not make Washington as appealing a place for him. Yet, it too him much tribulations before he was finally able to make it to the House, so this is not a position he should easily want to give up; he is also the ranking member on a subcommittee of the Energy and Commerce Committee. Since he was already not looking committed to the race, I am doubtful he’ll be that interested in jumping in now that he has to face a former governor.

(Note that whatever he decides will be less consequential at the House level, since OR-02 is reliably Republican. On the other hand, there are here again ideological undertones: Walden is a member of the moderate Republican Main Street Partnership, and the right could hope to get a more reliably conservative congressman out of a district that gave McCain a double-digit victory.

So with DeFazio and Walden more likely than not out of the race (though both could certainly surprise us), where does that leave us? Well, besides Kitzhaber 3 candidates are also in the race: former Democratic Secretary of State Bill Bradbury, Republican high-tech entrepreneur Allen Alley and Republican state Senator Jason Atkinson.

Both Alley and Atkinson should make credible general election candidates. Alley in particular just ran for state Treasurer in 2008; while he lost, he did so by a relatively competitive 51% to 45%, substantially outperforming John McCain and running almost as well as incumbent Senator Gordon Smith. Atkinson also has run a statewide race, gathering 22% in the GOP’s gubernatorial primary in 2006; he might not have that much experience, but if 2010 ends up being a tough cycle for Democrats he could certainly keep Republicans competitive.

Yet, Oregon has taken a left-ward enough turn that the Democratic nominee should be heavily favored to win the general election, which means that Kitzhaber’s main worry will undoubtedly be winning the primary. Bradbury’s intentions are unknown at this point. While he said he was “90% in” just a day before Kitzhaber announced his candidacy, many speculate that he will not want to run face the former governor. On the other hand, Bradbury no longer holds public office (he was forced out by term limits in 2008) and as such does not have that much to lose in a run against Kitzhaber.

A primary between Bradbury and Kitzhaber would not be as obvious a race to call as you might think listening to the commentary on how formidable the former governor should be. Sure, he will start favored, but Bradbury would certainly have a shot to make the race competitive. Beyond the fact that he has extensive statewide experience - winning two statewide races for Secretary of State and running against Gordon Smith in the 2002 Senate race, which is bound to count for something - Bradbury could play the freshness card, urging voters not to go back to their old leadership. Of course, that strategy has not been working so well for Gavin Newsom in California’s gubernatorial primary, but Jerry Brown has reached yet another level of political stardom.


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Good poll results for Republicans in FL, for Democrats in OR and for Sestak in PA

Good results for Florida Republicans

Rasmussen’s first visit to the Sunshine State finds good results for Republicans in both major statewide contests:

  • In the Governor’s race, Bill McCollum tops Alex Sink 42% to 34%. McCollum’s favorability rating (53-26) is also stronger than Sink’s (50-32).
  • In the Senate race, Charlie Crist dominates both of his potential Democratic opponents: He tops Rep. Kendrick Meek 46% to 28% and Corrine Brown 50% to 29%; Rubio does not appear to have been tasted. Both Democrats have mediocre-to-bad favorability ratings: 36-38 for Brown, 37-36 for Meek. Crist’s rating is much stronger, but so is his name recognition: 57 have a favorable view of him, versus 36%.

I believe this is the first poll to find McCollum clearly ahead. But these results’ most surprising feature is that there is no name recognition differential between the two politicians. Earlier polls released by Quinnipiac and Mason Dixon showed that voters were much more familiar with McCollum than they were with Sink. That does suggest that Sink has more room to grow than this poll leaves her.

There is no question that Crist is the overwhelming favorite but Democrats shouldn’t lose all hope as long as the Governor is around or below the 50% mark. In fact, I believe this 18% margin is the closest Meek has ever gotten to Crist. He could at least make the race look more competitive once he increases his name recognition and if he improves his favorability rating: As much as Crist’s stature, Meek’s biggest problem is that many who know him don’t like him. But remember that, as long as Brown does not jump in the race, Meek will have time to improve his image while Crist is distracted by Rubio’s attacks.

Too much is unclear in Oregon’s Governor’s race

Once a swing state, Oregon took a decisively leftward turn in 2008, and that is allowing Democrats to breath easier about next year’s open gubernatorial race, which they have to defend. A new Research 2000 survey confirms that they have the early edge in this contest, but there is still a long way to go:

  • The biggest Democratic names - Rep. Peter DeFazio, Rep. John Kitzhaber and former Secretary of State Bill Bradbury - have very good favorability ratings (+25, +17 and +18, respectively). On the Republican side, former Senator Gordon Smith stands at a poor 39-48, while Rep. Greg Walden’s positive rating (+11%) could make him an attractive contender.
  • In head-to-head match-ups, Kitzhaber leads Smith 46% to 37% and Walden 44% to 38%. DeFazio is ahead 47% to 37% and 45% to 38%. Bradbury doesn’t look as good - 42%-38% and 40%-39% - but his name recognition is also lower. Two lower-profile politicians - Democrat Steve Novick and Republican state Senator Jason Atkinson - trail by larger margins.

Complicating matters is that it is still very unclear what the field will look like - on either side. Of the seven candidates listed by Research 2000, Bradbury is the only one who is already in the race. DeFazio, Kitzhaber and Walden have all expressed an interest, while Smith is considered unlikely to jump in now that he has a lucrative job at a lobbying firm (see Porter, Ron). Nor does Smith look like a particularly attractive candidate, as his poor head-to-head numbers and his negative favorability rating indicate he has not recovered from his failed 2008 re-election bid.

Depending on who ends up running, then, the race could be more or less competitive. On the Republican side, it certainly looks like Walden would be a highly credible candidate - especially if DeFazio and Kitzhaber do not run - but the GOP might not have another candidate to turn to. Gordon Smith’s match-up numbers and his favorability rating suggest he has not recovered from his failed 2008 re-election bid; and however credible a candidate like Jason Atkinson might be, he probably lacks the stature to overcome Oregon’s blue lean.

Specter’s plunge

A new Franklin & Marshall poll of Pennsylvania finds quite a plunge in Arlen Specter’s numbers compared to their previous March survey, which was conducted before the Senator switched parties:

  • Specter’s approval rating has dropped from 52% to 34%; his re-elect from 40% to 28%.
  • This is largely fueled by Republicans deserting Specter - his approval rating drops from 49% to 18% - but the least we can say is that Democrats have not warned to their newest Senator. Not only has Specter’s approval rating among Dems dropped from 57% to 46% but his re-elect marker has barely increased, going from 41% to 43%.
  • In a primary match-up with Joe Sestak, Specter leads 33% to 13%, with 48% undecided.

These numbers are remarkable: Approximately the same share of Democrats wanted to see Specter re-elected when he was still a Republican than they do now that he is a Democrat! In other words, they did not see the Senator as their enemy when he was part of the opposition and they do not see him as a friend now that he has joined their camp. That dynamic might have allowed Specter to win crossover support in his past general elections, but it now suggests that it could be difficult for him to survive the Democratic primary. Sure, it’s surprising to see such a large proportion of undecided voters - other pollsters have pushed respondents more - but keep in mind that a 30-year incumbent can’t have that much room to grow.


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2010: Gordon Smith could be out of midterm play, Arlen Specter draws first GOP opponent

The GOP has a weak bench in Oregon, making it unclear how credible a campaign they will be able to mount for 2010’s statewide races: Democratic Senator Ron Wyden is expected to run for re-election and the gubernatorial contest will be open because of term-limit laws. One of the only Republicans mentioned for either contest is former Senator Gordon Smith, who narrowly lost his re-election race last year. Smith was dragged down by his party’s unpopularity in 2008, and some believed he might attempt a comeback in a more favorable environment.

Yet, Smith has just taken a job as a senior adviser in a lobbying firm, Covington & Burling. Given that Smith would need to start to mount a statewide campaign in the months ahead, this news suggests that he is not considering a challenge to Senator Wyden or a run for Oregon’s governorship. That is great news for Democrats, as it leaves the GOP with no obvious candidate for either race. (Rep. Walden, the only Republican in the state delegation, is sometimes mentioned.)

Smith also adds his name to the list of former Senators who were rumored to be looking for their old job back but who appear to have backtracked. Jim Talent announced he would not run for Missouri’s open seat, Ohio’s Mike DeWine is said to be leaning towards the Attorney General race, and Bob Smith will not attempt a comeback in New Hampshire (though he might still run in Florida). Remains John Sununu, about whom we are hearing very little rumors.

Also, TPM notes that this “senior adviser” title is a shady way for outgoing congressmen to circumvent the 2007 law requiring them to wait a year before become lobbyists. Others who used the “senior adviser” path to get lucrative jobs at the top lobbying firms before that year-long period is over: Dennis Hastert, Conrad Burns and Tom Daschle, who made millions as a lobbyist without ever registering as one.

Daschle’s status provoked some controversy in the early weeks of his appointment to Obama’s Cabinet, before the furor over unpaid taxes forced him to withdraw his nomination - a cautionary tale for all politicians that taking the revolving door from Congress to K Street will make it difficult to mount a political comeback.

While Oregon Republicans look to have lost a potential candidate, Pennsylvania’s Arlen Specter just drew his first primary challenger! Meet Larry Murphy, who announced last week that he would run in the GOP’s  Senate primary. In an interview with the Sharon Herald, he outlined his conservative principles on a variety of issues ranging from abortion (”We can no longer support mothers killing their children”) to the bailout (”It has to be the law of Darwinism in the business community”).

His name might not be Toomey, nor is he one of the many prominent Pennsylvania Republicans who are said to be looking into a Senate race Arlen Specter’s vote in support of the stimulus bill. But that is no reason not to take him seriously. Murphy already challenged Specter in 1998, and he received 18% - a decent foundation.

That said, there is no question that Murphy does not have the stature required to defeat a five-term incumbent. In fact, Murphy could help the incumbent survive: Conservatives might be angry at Specter, but they will need to be unified against a single candidate if they want to finally unseat the Republican. If a more prominent candidate like Toomey jumps in the race, Murphy’s presence on the ballot would boost Specter by drawing votes away from the leading conservative contender.

Just a couple of percentage points spoiled could make the difference - Specter survivedy by only 2% in 2004, and Murphy did get 18% in the past.



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  • All good things must come to an end

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  • What remains on the table

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  • Confusion in Connecticut (Updated)

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  • Results thread, part 2: Dems suffer staggering losses in House and legislatives races, limit damage in statewide races

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    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election Night results thread: Rep. Boucher’s fall first surprise of the night

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election night cheat sheet

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Final ratings: Democrats brace for historic losses

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • What to watch for down-ballot

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

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