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Category Archive for ‘NY-03’ at Campaign Diaries
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Archive for the 'NY-03' Category


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As three congressmen mull leaving House, a former member wants to return

Two resignations

Neil Abercrombie and Robert Wexler both announced this winter that they would resign in the coming months, the former to run for Governor full-time and the latter to take a job at the Center for Middle East Peace and Economic Cooperation.

On Sunday, Wexler finally made his resignation effective so the House now has 434 members. Since the special election will not be held until April 13th, this means that Democrats will have one less seat in the upcoming health-care vote than they did back in November, when they pushed the bill through on a 219-212 roll call. While some Democrats who voted no are likely to support the final bill, many will not - and they could be joined by progressives angry at the compromises centrists Senators imposed. It’s very highly unlikely this will do anything to derail the bill, but it does mean Nancy Pelosi has slightly less room to maneuver; in particular, it means one less vulnerable Democrat can be allowed to vote ‘no.’

FL-17 is a heavily Democratic seat, so we were expecting a crowded primary. Yet, not only are state Senator Ted Deutch and former Broward County Commissioner Ben Graber the only candidates in the race but the former has snatched so many endorsements that he positioned himself as the clear front-runner with surprising ease. The primary is on February 2nd.

Also this week, Abercrombie tried to create some semblance of order in the bizarre chaos that is surrounding the organization of the HI-01 special election by announcing that he will resign effective February 28th. Hawaii law requires a vacancy to be filled within 70 days, which would mean that the chief election officer would have to call an election some time before May 11th. (A reminder: Hawaii has one-round special elections with no primary, which could give the GOP candidate an opening because there are two Democrats in the race.) But election officials have still not ruled out trying to circumvent the law because of financial problems; they’re also talking about proceeding with a mail-only voting system, but I have trouble believing that such a change in electoral procedures could be implemented over the course of just a few months.

Three potential retirements

While we might still get surprise retirement announcements, there are few congressmen left who have been signaling that they are looking into not running for re-election next year.

One congressman who remained conspicuously silent as the DCCC rounded up longtime Democrats to get them to announce they were running is Rep. Paul Kanjorski (PA-11). That obviously created some retirement buzz around him; after all, this 72-year old is facing tough rematch against Lou Barletta but will also have to get through a viable primary challenge. Yet, the fact that his spokesperson is publicizing the congressman’s new campaign-centric Twitter account suggests that Kanjorski is leaning towards seeking another term. (Note that Pennsylvania’s filing deadline is coming up in February, so Kanjorski would really have to make an announcement right around now if he was retiring.)

While there is room for debate as to which party would be help by a Kanjorski retirement, there is no doubt that it would be a major blow for the GOP if 79 year-old Rep. Bill Young were to not seek re-election in swing FL-10. While we haven’t heard much about Young in recent months, the buzz that he might be looking to call it quits is now picking-up: The St. Petersburg Times cites speculation that he will announce that he is retiring as early as at a luncheon on January 11th.

Finally, Rep. Peter King is aggressively promoting himself as a potential challenger to Kirsten Gillibrand. We’ll talk about the impact he could have on the Senate race if he gets in, but what’s clear is that the NRCC would rather not have to worry about an open seat in NY-03. While on paper the GOP should be slightly favored (Bush and McCain both won it by 5%), New York has been a disaster for Republicans over the past four years - and the streak continued with two 2009 special elections.

One attempt at a comeback

To the horror of environmental groups who targeted him like no other in 2006, former Rep. Richard Pombo’s name was floated in the hours that followed George Radanovich’s retirement announcement. (Pombo used to represent CA-11 rather than CA-19, but such district switches aren’t rare in California.) Less than a week later, the former congressman has officially entered the race, joining a state Senator and a former Club for Growth-protege to set up an explosive GOP primary that could still get more crowded.

While in the House, he rose to a position of power since he served as the chairman of the House Resources Committee from 2002 to 2006. His crusades to ease forest thinning and to rewrite the Endangered Species Act made him environmental groups’ main enemy in Congress, and his 2006 loss against Jerry McNerny was to a great extent due to the millions they poured against him. It looks like these same groups will do all they can to keep him out of the House, even if this time it means providing help to a Republican rather than to a Democrat. Said the Defenders of Wildlife Action Fund spokesperson: “Anything to keep Pombo out of Congress. He is simply too much of a threat to meaningful, common sense conservation policy to do otherwise.”

Pombo has also been ensnared in extensive ethical issues, including connections to the Abramoff scandal and shady payments from his campaign PAC to family members, which contributed to his 2006 defeat. In short: If Pombo emerges as the GOP nominee, Democrats could very well have a stronger opening than they expected… provided, of course, they find a candidate of their own, which they haven’t done yet. Now that it looks Republicans might nominate Pombo, will the DCCC pay more attention to recruiting in this district?


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In forgoing Senate run, Peter King denies Dems a shot at conquering Long Island

Yet another of Kirsten Gillibrand’s potential 2010 rivals announced he would not jump in the race. This time, however, we’re talking about a Republican: Rep. Peter King, who had long declared his interest in a Senate run, ruled out a statewide bid today, saying he will seek a 9th term in the House instead.

Back in January 2009, King declared that he would be a sure candidate if appointed Caroline Kennedy to Hillary Clinton’s seat. Citing her lack of qualifications, he also touted the contrast between their upbringings and prepared to play the white ethnic card. But Gillibrand’s selection made all of this more difficult. The campaign narrative King was already preparing would not have fit against her, and the Republican acknowledged today that this also would lead to fundraising problems:

[Kennedy's] candidacy would have generated the media coverage and financial contributions necessary for me to run a competitive race. That’s all I would have hoped for. Once the race became competitive, it would have been up to me to win it by contrasting my blue collar conservatism with her Manhattan liberalism. That race was not to be. Senator Gillibrand generates neither strong support nor opposition. This makes it virtually impossible for me to raise the campaign funds I would need

It’s hard for me to decide whether Democrats should be disappointed or relieved by King’s decision. On the one hand, King would have been a credible enough candidate to at least put New York on the map; in the event of as significant a red wave as some Republicans are hoping for, might that not be enough to result in an upset - especially if Gillibrand has to share the top of the ballot  with the unpopular David Paterson? With King one of only two Republicans who can legitimately claim to have any hope of winning this race, the odds of the DSCC having to worry about New York just plummeted.

Remains George Pataki. The former Governor would be a good catch for the NRSC, and his proven ability to win statewide makes him a stronger prospect than King ever could have been - not to mention that some polls have shown Pataki with a narrow lead against Gillibrand. That said, there is no indication that Pataki is even seriously considering a run while we knew that King was thinking about his options.

So why would King’s decision be disappointing to Democrats? King is far from being threatening enough for them to have been fearing his entry in the race. Sure, he would have allowed Republicans to dream of an upset, but it would truly have required wave-like conditions that for now seem unlikely. In fact, what would be far more certain than King’s ability to turn the Senate competitive would be Democrats’ ability to contest the House race he would leave open!

Only 3 New York districts are still in GOP hands, as state Republicans’ slow agony and laughable incompetence (see NY-13 in the 2008 cycle) have made the party increasingly unelectable. That is especially the case downstate: Long Island might have once been a Republican stronghold, but King is now the only Republican left representing any part of it. While NY-3 took a rightward swing after 9/11 (it gave Al Gore an 8% victory but George W. Bush and John McCain both prevailed by 5%), an open seat here would have immediately become one of the Democrats’ top priorities nationwide.

Beyond the prospect of picking-up a Republican seat, Democrats would surely have been delighted to get rid of King. While the congressman has some moderate streaks on issues like labor law (he was one of 13 Republicans to vote for EFCA in 2007) he is generally a staunch and outspoken conservative. He became a YouTube sensation last month when he released a video statement blasting coverage of Michael Jackson’s death in an effort to “knock out the psychobabble.” In September 2007, he declared “There are too many mosques in this country… There are too many people sympathetic to radical Islam. We should be looking at them more carefully and finding out how we can infiltrate them.”

And just last week, he went after Attorney General Holder’s decision to investigate of CIA interrogators by wondering “which side they’re on.” “You will have thousands of lives that will be lost, and the blood will be on Eric Holder’s hands,” he warned, lamenting that “they’ve declared war on the CIA. We should resist and fight back as hard as we can. It should be a scorched earth policy.” He also offered defended interrogation practices:

When Holder was talking about being ’shocked’ [before the report's release], I thought they were going to have cutting guys’ fingers off or something — or that they actually used the power drill.

Of course, some of King’s politics would have been hard to translate statewide. But King has managed to easily hold on to his still red-leaning district for every cycle since his first victory in 1992, so don’t expect to see Democrats trying much against him in 2010. The consolation could come in the next round of redistricting: The need to significantly redraw congressional maps could help state Democrats make NY-3 much less favorable to King - if it even exists at all.


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House roundup: DCCC launches new radio ads, recruitment buzz picks-up in LA and FL

A new round of DCCC targets

This week, the DCCC launched radio ads against six Republican incumbents, attacking them for opposing the stimulus. As I explained in May when the NRCC ran ads against entrenched Blue Dogs, it makes more sense for a national committee to spend its money this early trying to soften incumbents who are not obvious targets - which is what Democrats are now doing.

3 of the 6 are representatives no one doubts would be endangered if they faced a strong recruit - but Democrats are having trouble landing a candidate. In AK-AL, Alaska Democrats don’t have enough of a bench to guarantee another challenger to Rep. Don Young. MI-11 is a blue-trending district but Democrats are having clear difficulties finding someone willing to challenge Rep. Thad McCotter. The same goes in Charlie Dent’s PA-15. Why run ads in these districts if there are no candidates yet? The DCCC might be wanting to reassure potential challengers that they can count on the backing of the national party.

A fourth target is Rep. Brian Bilbray, against whom Democrats already have two candidates, but CA-50 remains a difficult district for them so it makes sense for them to try and go after Bilbray early. The fifth target is Rep. Peter King in NY-03, which belongs to yet another category: It is relatively doubtful that the district will be that contested if King runs for re-election, but the DCCC might be showing their determination to challenge him in order to get him to vacate his seat. (Of course, that would please House Democrats but it would be bad news for the DSCC, as it would probably mean that King is running for Senate.)

Targeting Florida

The sixth district targeted in this wave of ads is FL-16, which means that the DCCC looks more serious about the possibility of challenging Rep. Tom Rooney than I expected. Not only is FL-16 a red-leaning district John McCain won by 5%, but Rooney was considered a top-tier GOP recruit last year even before Rep. Tim Mahoney’s campaign exploded under the weight of harassment scandals. Yet, under the laudable belief that testing a freshman can always yields surprises, the DCCC looks set to make a push for the seat.

On the other hand, the DCCC just lost one of the candidates it was courting for this race. Via Swing State Project, state Senator Dave Aronberg just announced that he would run for Attorney General - a seat that is open because of Bill McCollum’s gubernatorial run. This might be good news for those looking to bolster Democratic control in Tallahassee but not those who are hoping to get Rooney ousted. Another potential challenger could be St. Lucie County Commissioner Chris Craft.

Elsewhere in Florida, there is some southern Florida buzz in FL-25, held by Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart. In 2008, Democrats ultimately proved unsuccessful in dislodging any of Miami’s Republican incumbents. Might a solution be recruiting the Miami Mayor himself, Manny Diaz? In office since 2001, Mayor Diaz is term-limited out of a job this fall and The City Debate reports that he is considering a congressional run. One problem: Diaz is currently an independent. Though he is a former Democrat who attended this year’s Jefferson, that could cause some problems if he faces a primary. 2008 nominee and Dade County Democratic Chairman Joe Garcia is said to be mulling a rematch.

LA-03: A challenger to Melancon?

Earlier in this post, I noted that the DCCC’s attempt to scare Rep. King out of a re-election race could end up damaging the DSCC. The same situation is occurring in Louisiana - on the Republican side. Ever since he was elected in 2004, Democrat Charlie Melancon has not faced a competitive race and the NRCC is looking to change that by recruiting state Rep. Nickie Monica. She He would be a strong contender by the very fact that this is a staunchly conservative district (McCain received 62%).

But this news could have repercussions on the Senate race as well: The DSCC is trying to convince Melancon to challenge Senator David Vitter. If Melancon’s re-election prospects look strong, it makes him less likely to run for Senate since he would be giving up a safe position for a difficult statewide run; if a credible challenger suddenly emerges, however, Melancon would have to choose between two competitive races - making him more likely to go after Vitter.

No open seat in MD-06

Back in February, the DCCC ran a radio ad against Rep. Roscoe Bartlett. That was viewed as a surprise since Bartlett, who has served in the House since 1992, is too entrenched to envision Democrats mounting any sort of challenge against him. The most likely explanation was that the DCCC wanted to scare Bartlett, who just turned 83, into retirement but even that wasn’t convincing: An open race here isn’t anything for the DCCC to pine after as MD-06 is staunchly conservative (Bush won by 25% and 31%, McCain by 18%). In any case, it looks like we won’t get to find out whether the DCCC had any trump card prepared if the seat opened up as Bartlett just announced that he would run for re-election.

Note that MD-06 is the state’s only seat (out of 8) held by a Republican. One reason for that is that, in the last round of redistricting, state Democrats packed as many Republican precincts as possible in the 1st and 6th districts - the only ones in which McCain cracked 40%, let alone won. If anything, the upcoming redistricting will make MD-06 even more conservative: Democrats somehow managed to pick-up MD-01 last fall so they might try to shore up their strength in that district - which could mean even more packing in the first district (if that’s possible)!


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As Kennedy’s popularity takes a hit, NRSC hopes to contest New York

Democrats should not expect an easy ride in the election to fill the reminder of Hillary Clinton’s term. New York Republicans have been moribund over the past decade, but they could muster just enough strength to make this race competitive.

This is especially the case if Governor David Paterson appoints a vulnerable Senator, and Caroline Kennedy is certainly high on the GOP’s wish list. The AP reported last week that Paterson had already made up his mind to appoint Kennedy, but her roll out over the past month was so rough that it would have been enough to eliminate anyone but JFK’s daughter.

In a sad echo of Sarah Palin’s struggles in September, Kennedy showed herself unprepared to step under the spotlight, unengaged with policy debates. She struggled to keep an even tone in her public appearances and press interviews, with a testy exchange with The New York Times and some bizarre upstate incidents. The Mayor of Rochester, for instance, expressed his surprise at Kennedy’s silence during her visit to Democratic headquarters; that is certainly not a disqualifying factor, but it certainly puts in question Kennedy’s campaigning skills.

The result is brutal: A new poll taken by Public Policy Polling shows a dramatic drop in Kennedy’s popularity. On December 9th, 75% of New York Democrats had a favorable opinion of the former first daughter, and 11% had an unfavorable view; in this new survey, her favorability rating has dropped to 57% and her unfavorability has risen to 35%.

Worse still, a head-to-head match-up with Andrew Cuomo shows that 54% of Democrats want Cuomo to be appointed Senator, while 34% want Kennedy; a month ago, Kennedy led 44% to 23%. That’s a stunning turn-around of 41% - and things get even worse among New Yorkers at large (not just Democrats): There, 58% prefer Cuomo and 27% choose Kennedy. Similarly, 44% of respondents say their opinion of Kennedy has declined since she announced her interest in the Senate seat; only 23% say it has improved.

Just like with a certain Governor from a Northern state, Kennedy is becoming less popular the more voters hear from her. This might not matter one bit for the purpose of becoming Senator (only David Paterson’s opinion matters, and the Governor isn’t necessarily interested in what polls have to say), but it does matter a great deal for the 2010 Senate race. If Kennedy is selected and has a rough 2009, these numbers suggest that it would leave an opening for a credible Republican to make her sweat. (This would especially be the case if Kennedy commits any blunder in her trips to upstate New York.)

Of course, for the GOP to have a chance first requires them to find a credible candidate who can raise sufficient funds, and they have a particularly thin bench in New York. The first name that is being floated is that of Rudy Giuliani, the former Mayor and failed presidential candidate. Giuliani is keeping his name in the news, but he is considered more likely to jump in the gubernatorial race than in a Senate contest. Furthermore, Giuliani’s past two electoral campaigns have been disastrous, and I am not at all convinced he could mount a strong challenge for either office.

The second name is that of Rep. Peter King, one of the last three Republicans in New York’s House delegation. King has said that he would declare his intentions shortly after Paterson announces his decision, and the NRSC is now in full lobbying mode. New NRSC Chair John Cornyn just met with King yesterday, trying to convince him to jump in the Senate race; the topic that is discussed the most at such meeting is financial commitment, and it looks like King would be likely to jump in if he gets some assurance that the NRSC will back his candidacy.

King would start a general election as the clear underdog, but he could make the race competitive by playing the card of the white ethnic Catholic populism that has helped other Republicans win in New York (starting with Rudy Giuliani) and that could especially help him upstate. That card could be especially effective against Kennedy if Republicans manage to portray her appointment as a mixture of nepotism, elitism and incompetence.

(King’s candidacy is a fascinating case in which the NRSC and NRCC are expected to clash, as it would be bad news for House Republicans if King were to leave the lower chamber; the seat is a blue-trending swing district and Democrats would love the chance of an open seat race. You can expect the NRCC to be lobbying King to remain in the House just as furiously as Cornyn is trying to seduce him into a statewide run.)


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Appointment headaches for Democrats

As of this morning, the Blagojevich scandal did not threaten the Democrats’ hold on Obama’s Senate seat - at least in the short-term - since the state’s Lieutenant Governor is also a Democrat.

In the space of a few hours, however, the situation changed drastically as the state legislature is preparing to strip the Governor of its appointment powers - and Republicans might now be salivating at a chance to increase their Senate ranks.

State observers view it as unlikely that Blagojevich would voluntarily resign. Impeachment procedures would last weeks even if they were started today, meaning that Lieutenant Governor Pat Quinn would not be in a position to appoint Obama’s successor until January - after the 111th Congress convenes - which would leave the current Governor weeks to appoint a successor and thus embarrass Democrats .

After the state’s senior Senator Dick Durbin called for the state legislature to repeal the governor’s right to appoint a replacement (”no appointment by this governor under these circumstances can produce a credible replacement,” he said), the state legislature quickly acted. Both the state House Speaker and the state Senate President are already convening a special session of the legislature to pass such a bill!

This could mean a Senate special election in the spring of 2009 - a year-and-a-half before Obama’s successor was meant to first face voters. The reasons this could be a remarkable opportunity for Republicans are numerous:

  1. It would force Democrats to defend an open seat just months after suffering from such a major scandal instead of having a two-year incumbent defend his seat two long years after Blagojevich’s arrest.
  2. It would lead to a crowded - and most probably bloody - Democratic primary, as all Democrats who entertained Senate dreams would jump in and then have to quickly turn around to face the GOP. Jesse Jackson Jr., Danny Davis, Jan Schakowky, Lisa Madigan, perhaps Tammy Duckworth: the list is long.
  3. Republicans like Rep. Kirk of IL-10 will surely realize they have nothing to lose in a Senate run (they would not have to give up their seat) and thus jump in the race - something they would be unlikely to do in 2010 when they’d have to give up the House. And now that the taint of scandal has been transferred back to state Democrats, the Republican nominee - especially if he has a moderate profile - could campaign on a reformist message.
  4. From a governance perspective - rather than an electoral one - it would cost Democrats a reliable Senator for the first few months of 2009, complicating their attempts to overcome Republican filibusters.

On the other hand, for a Democrat to be appointed would undoubtedly taint him - even if he was appointed by Pat Quinn - since his name would necessarily be associated with Blagojevich’s scandal. That Democrats are now pushing so rapidly toward a special election also suggests that they want to turn the Blagojevich page as fast as they possibly can.

In New York, meanwhile, the prospect of a 2010 special election to fill the reminder of Hillary Clinton’s term (until 2012) will force Democrats to play defense - and one top Republican has already hinted he might jump in the field.

Rep. Peter King, a Republican who represents a Democratic-trending district on Long Island, said that he is “seriously considering the race for Hillary Clinton’s seat,” adding that he had already talked to leaders of the Republican Party and of the Conservative Party.

It is of course impossible to handicap the race before knowing who Governor Paterson will appoint, but there aren’t many Republicans left in New York who could mount a credible campaign, meaning that Democrats only have to worry about a few potential contenders.

While King is not strong enough to give Democrats nightmares and while he has a fairly conservative profile, his candidacy could make the race competitive - especially if Paterson chooses a weak Democrat or a place-holder.

At the very least, Democrats would then have a shot at New York’s blue-leaning third district in what would be a very tough open seat for Republicans.



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  • All good things must come to an end

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  • What remains on the table

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  • Confusion in Connecticut (Updated)

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  • Results thread, part 2: Dems suffer staggering losses in House and legislatives races, limit damage in statewide races

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    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election Night results thread: Rep. Boucher’s fall first surprise of the night

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election night cheat sheet

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Final ratings: Democrats brace for historic losses

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • What to watch for down-ballot

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

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