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Category Archive for ‘FL-10’ at Campaign Diaries
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Archive for the 'FL-10' Category


Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

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Yet two more breaks for House Republicans

The NRCC was spared two big headaches this week-end: Rep. Bill Young has decided to run for re-election and ex-retiree Rep. Jim Gerlach finally succeeded at clearing his primary field. Not that Democrats are particularly optimistic about their chances of playing offense this year, but these two developments significantly diminish the party’s chances of picking-up either of their districts, rare GOP-held seats the DCCC had been eying.

No open seat in Pinellas County

79-year Bill Young has been in the House for 40 years, which makes him the longest-serving Republican in either chamber of Congress. The former chair of the Appropriation Committee, he used to be one of Washington’s most powerful politicians but is now relegated to the ranks of a largely powerless minority; even if the GOP regains control in 2010, he’d be unlikely to have anywhere near as much influence as he did between 1999 and 2005. This combination of factor has made him a fixture of retirement watches for years now, and there were a lot of reasons to believe Democrats (who have never been able to lay so much as a glove on him) would finally get their shot at the open seat this year.

For one, he explicitly stated he was undecided about whether he’d run. Second, he faced his first credible Democratic challenger in decades, as he at the very least needs to seriously campaign against state Senator Charlie Justice; would he have it in him to do so after 19 re-election races that have nearly all been uncompetitive? Third were his fundraising reports, which were so low that he could only be discouraging contributions: How can the ranking Republican on the Appropriations Committee raise only $750 in the fourth quarter otherwise? The question remains all the more puzzling that he has hasn’t shown animosity to off-year fundraising in the past.

Yet, the open race won’t be for this year. At an event held on Saturday night as a tribute to the congressman, Young announced he would run for a 21st term.

In normal circumstances, an incumbent who represents a district won by the opposing party’s presidential candidate (Obama carried the district by 4%), who has banked only $750 in the latest quarter and who faces a 10-year state Senator would be considered highly vulnerable. But these are hardly normal circumstances and Young is clearly favored to win in November. The electorate is too hostile to Democrats for the party to have a shot at ousting any but the least entrenched Republican incumbents, especially Young whose stature would make it tough for Democrats to defeat him in a favorable environment, let alone in 2010. Furthermore, as a senior member of the Appropriations Committee he should have no trouble quickly filling his campaign coffers. Finally, Democrats have generally been down on Justice since last spring, and whatever confidence they once had Justice could defeat Young has largely evaporated.

While Young’s decision considerably diminishes Democrats’ takeover prospects in a rare district they are targeting, there is a convincing reason (articulated by James L. over at SSP) to think Young’s decision should come as a relief to Democrats: Given that the party has been waiting for his retirement for much of the decade, it could have been a waste to have it come in the one cycle in which open seats are bound to favor Republicans. (In 2006 and 2008, Democrats had no difficulty holding open seats in tough districts like OH-06 and OR-05.) Had Young retired now, the GOP would have been favored to defend the seat whereas in most future cycles an open seat should be no worse than a toss-up for Democrats. Can the DCCC be that unhappy they might have a shot at a Young-less district in 2012 rather than in 2010? (A major caveat: redistricting could alter the district’s boundaries.)

None of this means we should entirely take our eye off of this district this year. Justice remains an experienced politician with a strong foothold in the district while an aging congressman who has not had to seriously campaign for decades is prone to gaffes that can endanger his re-election. Look at IL-08 in 2004, when 36-year incumbent Phil Crane despite the year’s being a tough one for Democrats.

(An other Florida district became the subject of retirement rumors on Friday, when 66-year old Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite announced she’d make a major announcement, which turned out to be that she is getting married. Not that Democrats would have had much of a shot at an open seat here: FL-05 gave Bush and McCain double-digit victories.)

No primary for Gerlach

PA-06 was one of the cycle’s most vulnerable seats until Rep. Jim Gerlach dropped out of the Governor’s race and announced he would seek re-election after all. That was a major blow to Democrats, since they were well-positioned to pick-up an open seat in a district that went for Kerry by 4% and Obama by 17%, but they clung to the hope that Gerlach might not be able to survive the May primary: Gerlach found himself in early January with no campaign structure and next-to-money he could use, whereas two credible Republicans were in the race refusing to drop-out.

State Rep. Curt Schroder lasted less than a week, leaving businessman Steven Welch as Gerlach’s sole GOP opponent. While Welch was clearly an underdog, he had more than $650,000 in the bank at the end of 2009, he was apparently willing to pour in much more from his personal fortune and he was clearly a credible enough candidate that the NRCC was once busy touting his entry as a recruitment coup. At the very least, he would have forced Gerlach to use whatever campaign cash he could come with by May 18th, making him an easier target for Democrats.

But Welch has now ended his campaign, taking with him the millions the DCCC was hoping would indirectly help its cause. (One reason that might have contributed to his decision is that his moderate profile made it impossible for him to hope for the support of the Club for Growth or of Tea Party groups, which might have considered backing a challenge to Gerlach otherwise.) Gerlach is now certain to be the GOP nominee on the November ballot, which considerably increases the party’s chances.

That said, Democrats should not give up on PA-06: With two hotly contested statewide races on the ballot in November, the party will have a full-blown turnout machine working the Philadelphia suburbs, so they might as well work against Gerlach at the same time as they’re working against Toomey and Corbett. Also, Manan Trivedi and Doug Pike had already put together top-tier campaigns before Gerlach’s re-entry and while their chances would have been much higher come 2008, it would be a waste for the party to give up now. After all, the DCCC has to play offense somewhere.

Note that this district was gerrymandered to favor Republicans in 2001. If Democrats have some control over the next redistricting process, they should be able to impose a more favorable redrawing of Philadelphia’s suburbs. Even if Republicans have full control, it’s tough to see how they could make it that much more protected, though depending on the November results they could try to draw PA-07 bluer to get PA-06 redder.


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Retirement clues

Since open seats have played a major role in determining the shape of the cycle, it would be good to take a look as to what shoes might still drop in the coming months.

On the Senate front, the only incumbent who might choose to retire for reasons unrelated to the prospect of a tough loss is 85-year old Dan Inouye, but as I discussed recently the Hawaii senator has certainly dropped no hints he might call it quits so Democrats seem safe. Meanwhile, Harry Reid and Blanche Lincoln are now both regularly fielding questions about whether they intend to stick to their re-election races given their dismal poll numbers; I find it hard to believe either would step aside, and unlike in Connecticut, Democrats have no obvious savior.

On the gubernatorial front, there are already so many open seats it’s tough to come up with any more incumbents who might choose not to run. The only one who might do so is David Paterson, though the New York Governor has looked determined not to leave the field to Andrew Cuomo. There has also been some minimal speculation that Chet Culver and Ted Strickland might retire rather than face the prospect of a loss, but it’s tough to see how Democrats could do better in Iowa given that their trouble come from Terry Branstad’s entry while Strickland’s woes are not pronounced enough for his retirement to make much sense.

That leaves us with House races, in which the number of additional open seats will be decisive in determining how serious a shot Republicans have of regaining the majority. Based on the past few cycles, we are unlikely to get that many more retirements in the coming months but there are many congressmen we should keep an eye on, namely Ike Skelton, Peter DeFazio, Paul Kanjorski, Tim Holden on the Democratic side, Bill Young on the Republican side.

In addition, Democrats like John Spratt and Collin Peterson have ruled out retiring but they are worth still tracking. Finally, surprise retirements are possible, though it is worth noting that most of the Democrats who recently called it quits - Berry, Snyder, Gordon - had at least been mentioned as potential retirees. [Update: I should add the 68-year old Rep. Bill Delahunt, who represents the most Republican district in Massachusetts and who is now being mentioned as a potential retiree.]

Fundraising totals often offer interesting clues as to which incumbents might not be looking to run for re-election. Now that we can parse through the 4th quarter totals, we can glean new hints. To be sure, a congressman raising little money does not mean they are planning to call it quits, nor do big fundraising hauls indicate that they will run again. But they can certainly point us in useful directions; Jodi Rell’s 3rd quarter report, for instance, foreshadowed her decision to retire.

The most eyebrow-raising number once again belongs to 79-year old Bill Young, the longest serving House Republican who represents a swing district and has not committed to seek a 21st term in 2010. Young raised just $750 in the fourth quarter; even lower than the $3,900 he raised in the third quarter. It’s not like Young is averse to soliciting funds, like John Hostettler or Vic Snyder. In 2007, he raised 5 times more than he has in 2009 - and he was not facing a competitive opponent as he is this cycle.

That said, state Senator Charlie Justice has not caught fire, which might encourage Young to think that he would not have to break much more of a sweat than he is used in his largely competition-free38 years in Congress. In early January, speculation mounted that Young was about to call it quits; the fact that he did not do so might also signal he is willing to press ahead.

Other Republicans who had been considered potential (albeit unlikely) retirees are Frank Wolf (VA-10) and Pat Tiberi (OH-12). The former reported raising more than $180,000 while Tiberi is trumpeting the $440,000 he raised in the fourth quarter. With Ohio’s filing deadline looming later in February, the time has come to strike him off our retirement watch. (Note that Tiberi is a rare House Republican to face a top-tier challenge next year.)

On the Democratic side, the number that is producing the most buzz is that of John Spratt (SC-05). While Spratt said in December he would seek another term, the $77,000 he raised in the fourth quarter don’t point to an incumbent who is seriously preparing for the hard fought race Spratt is sure to face; it is also far lower than what Spratt reported in previous cycles.

On the other hand, a number of Democratic incumbents whom the GOP has been ardently hoping will retire are proceeding like they are running. Most significant is 78-year old Ike Skelton’s $492,000, which certainly suggests he is taking his 2010 challenge very seriously. There is also no reason for Democrats to be alarmed at Baron Hill, who reported $251,000. (The filing deadline is looming.) Leonard Boswell (IA-03)’s $180,000 is a higher number than he did in the last three months of 2007 and Colin Peterson topped $100,000, which is not negligeable considering he is not facing a competitive race.

Interestingly: Rep. Marion Berry, who announced his retirement a month after the end of the fourth quarter, reported raising $73,000, which might have been a hint since that was less than he reported in 2007, a cycle in which he was entirely unopposed.


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As three congressmen mull leaving House, a former member wants to return

Two resignations

Neil Abercrombie and Robert Wexler both announced this winter that they would resign in the coming months, the former to run for Governor full-time and the latter to take a job at the Center for Middle East Peace and Economic Cooperation.

On Sunday, Wexler finally made his resignation effective so the House now has 434 members. Since the special election will not be held until April 13th, this means that Democrats will have one less seat in the upcoming health-care vote than they did back in November, when they pushed the bill through on a 219-212 roll call. While some Democrats who voted no are likely to support the final bill, many will not - and they could be joined by progressives angry at the compromises centrists Senators imposed. It’s very highly unlikely this will do anything to derail the bill, but it does mean Nancy Pelosi has slightly less room to maneuver; in particular, it means one less vulnerable Democrat can be allowed to vote ‘no.’

FL-17 is a heavily Democratic seat, so we were expecting a crowded primary. Yet, not only are state Senator Ted Deutch and former Broward County Commissioner Ben Graber the only candidates in the race but the former has snatched so many endorsements that he positioned himself as the clear front-runner with surprising ease. The primary is on February 2nd.

Also this week, Abercrombie tried to create some semblance of order in the bizarre chaos that is surrounding the organization of the HI-01 special election by announcing that he will resign effective February 28th. Hawaii law requires a vacancy to be filled within 70 days, which would mean that the chief election officer would have to call an election some time before May 11th. (A reminder: Hawaii has one-round special elections with no primary, which could give the GOP candidate an opening because there are two Democrats in the race.) But election officials have still not ruled out trying to circumvent the law because of financial problems; they’re also talking about proceeding with a mail-only voting system, but I have trouble believing that such a change in electoral procedures could be implemented over the course of just a few months.

Three potential retirements

While we might still get surprise retirement announcements, there are few congressmen left who have been signaling that they are looking into not running for re-election next year.

One congressman who remained conspicuously silent as the DCCC rounded up longtime Democrats to get them to announce they were running is Rep. Paul Kanjorski (PA-11). That obviously created some retirement buzz around him; after all, this 72-year old is facing tough rematch against Lou Barletta but will also have to get through a viable primary challenge. Yet, the fact that his spokesperson is publicizing the congressman’s new campaign-centric Twitter account suggests that Kanjorski is leaning towards seeking another term. (Note that Pennsylvania’s filing deadline is coming up in February, so Kanjorski would really have to make an announcement right around now if he was retiring.)

While there is room for debate as to which party would be help by a Kanjorski retirement, there is no doubt that it would be a major blow for the GOP if 79 year-old Rep. Bill Young were to not seek re-election in swing FL-10. While we haven’t heard much about Young in recent months, the buzz that he might be looking to call it quits is now picking-up: The St. Petersburg Times cites speculation that he will announce that he is retiring as early as at a luncheon on January 11th.

Finally, Rep. Peter King is aggressively promoting himself as a potential challenger to Kirsten Gillibrand. We’ll talk about the impact he could have on the Senate race if he gets in, but what’s clear is that the NRCC would rather not have to worry about an open seat in NY-03. While on paper the GOP should be slightly favored (Bush and McCain both won it by 5%), New York has been a disaster for Republicans over the past four years - and the streak continued with two 2009 special elections.

One attempt at a comeback

To the horror of environmental groups who targeted him like no other in 2006, former Rep. Richard Pombo’s name was floated in the hours that followed George Radanovich’s retirement announcement. (Pombo used to represent CA-11 rather than CA-19, but such district switches aren’t rare in California.) Less than a week later, the former congressman has officially entered the race, joining a state Senator and a former Club for Growth-protege to set up an explosive GOP primary that could still get more crowded.

While in the House, he rose to a position of power since he served as the chairman of the House Resources Committee from 2002 to 2006. His crusades to ease forest thinning and to rewrite the Endangered Species Act made him environmental groups’ main enemy in Congress, and his 2006 loss against Jerry McNerny was to a great extent due to the millions they poured against him. It looks like these same groups will do all they can to keep him out of the House, even if this time it means providing help to a Republican rather than to a Democrat. Said the Defenders of Wildlife Action Fund spokesperson: “Anything to keep Pombo out of Congress. He is simply too much of a threat to meaningful, common sense conservation policy to do otherwise.”

Pombo has also been ensnared in extensive ethical issues, including connections to the Abramoff scandal and shady payments from his campaign PAC to family members, which contributed to his 2006 defeat. In short: If Pombo emerges as the GOP nominee, Democrats could very well have a stronger opening than they expected… provided, of course, they find a candidate of their own, which they haven’t done yet. Now that it looks Republicans might nominate Pombo, will the DCCC pay more attention to recruiting in this district?


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Fundraising reports hint at Brown’s Senate interest, prompt retirement talk for Young and Rell

Update: Well, that didn’t last long: Brown announced yesterday evening that she would not run for Senate, thus nixing her exploratory committee. The point remains that she fundraised more in recent weeks than in any other point of her House career, which not only means she was taking the possibility of a statewide bid very seriously but also suggests that her decision not to run might have to do with her dissatisfaction at the result: $268,000 might be higher than what she usually raises, but it is a third of what Meek reported this quarter.

Original post: Rep. Corinne Brown occupies as safe a district as a Democrat can hope for, and that has allowed her not to worry about fundraising in the past: She raised $27,000 in 2007’s third quarter - the equivalent quarter of the 2008 cycle - and she raised about $63,000 in this year’s second quarter.

Yet, she suddenly picked-up the pace over the past 3 months, raising more than $268,000. That’s quite a noticeable jump: it’s 10 times superior to what she raised between June and September 2007, 3 times what she raised over the second quarter. And as far as I can tell from the FEC website, Brown’s disclosure report this quarter is the longest she has ever filed since public reporting started in the 1990s.

That’s quite a lot of fundraising movement for a congresswoman who is simply preparing a re-election race. So might this be a sign that Brown is serious about running for Senate in 2010? She opened the door to such a bid a few months ago, and she never ruled it out. Do these fundraising figures suggest Kendrick Meek might soon receive serious competition in the Democratic primary?

Retirement speculation for Rell and Young

Governor Jodi Rell and Rep. Bill Young - two Republicans who are facing top-tier challengers. Yet, they are such formidable incumbents that Democrats cannot be sure there’ll even be able to put their seats on the radar screen next year. Unless they retire, that is: The 3rd quarter’s reports suggest that they aren’t putting much thought in their re-election races.

In Florida, Young raised such a low amount - $3,900 - that it’s hard to believe he’s not seriously considering shutting down his political operation. In the second quarter, he had raised $50,155, which was already taken as a sign that he wasn’t running for re-election. Given Young’s senior role on the Appropriations Committee, whose members hardly have to lift the finger to attract donations, raising this little money must have cost him about as much effort as other representatives spent actively fundraising.

Perhaps most tellingly, Young donated $10,000 of his not particularly impressive cash-on-hand to the NRCC. On his FEC’s disclosure form, he wrote this disbursement’s purpose is the “transfer of excess campaign funds.” Now, it’s obviously no surprise for a senior Republican to transfer money to his party’s campaign committee; but in this case, the contribution is more than double Young’s fundraising haul! Another interesting sign: By this point in 2007, Young had raised 5 times as much as he has in 2009 - and he was not facing a competitive race that year.

If he wanted to, Young could easily pick-up the pace, quickly fill his campaign coffers and remind us why few Democrats have dare challenge him for the past four decades. But that’s exactly what is at stake here: Will he want to? After 38 years spent with only rarely having to think about a re-election race, is Young interested in suddenly hitting the campaign trail and working for votes - in a district that went for Obama no less? Needless to say, Democrats are hoping the answer is no.

In Connecticut, Jodi Rell is a rare two-term governor not to have announced retirement. Many others who were not forced out by term limits voluntarily chose not to run for re-election - Pawlenty, Douglas and Doyle. So will she or won’t? The GOP’s prospects of defending this governorship largely rest on that question: If she runs, she is so popular that the odds (and the polls) will favor her no matter who she faces; if she retires, Democrats have to be considered favored.

A look at her 3rd quarter fundraising is enough to suggest that Rell is considering leaving office: She has raised slightly more than $14,000. In the 2nd quarter, she reported receiving about $20,000. And it’s not like she has so much in the bank she does not what to do with it - $82,000 in cash on hand.

It is true that both will be hard for Democrats to defeat, whether or not they have a well-garnished bank account; that puts them in a different situation from an incumbent like Harry Reid, who has little else to take comfort in than his cash-on-hand. That said, both already know they’ll be facing top-tier competition. SoS Susan Bysiewicz and Samford Mayor Daniel Malloy, among others, for Rell; state Senator Charlie Justice for Young. That they are proceeding as if they were running uncontested can’t give Republican strategists much comfort.

Little else to see among other potential retirees

Among other potential Republican retirees are John Shadegg (AZ-03) and Don Young (AK-AL) - both of which raised enough that we can at the very least say they haven’t already decided to call it quits. In Alaska, Young raised about $117,000, nothing to put him at the top of House fundraisers but certainly enough to suggest he is pressing ahead towards 2010. In Arizona, Shadegg raised about $111,000.

On the Democratic side, we have Rep. Bob Etheridge, who is reportedly still considering a Senate run. You might remember that Reps. Joe Sestak and Charlie Melancon’s big 2nd quarter hauls were strong hints that they were preparing statewide bids - and sure enough, both have by now announced they’ll run for Senate. But there is no such sign from Etheridge: The $153,639 he raised doesn’t suggest he is discretely laying the ground works of a Senate campaign, though he does have more than a $1 million stacked up in the bank should he take on Burr.


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Mixed news for NRCC: No special election in FL-10 but top recruit flaming out in OR-04

There will be no special election in FL-10

A few days after Charlie Crist’s signaled he was interested in appointing Rep. Bill Young to serve the reminder of Mel Martinez’s Senate term, Young said he was not interested. This comes at a disappointment for Democrats, who were hoping to get their first shot at this seat in decades; the district is very competitive, but Young has been too entrenched. For Crist to finally remove him from his seat would have given Democrats a golden opportunity.

Worst still for the DCCC: Young’s decision might also be a signal that he intends to seek re-election next year, once again beating back speculation that he’s about to quit. If he was even just leaning towards retirement, would he not want to his final 16 months in Congress to be spent in the Senate rather in the House? Or would he think that serving as a senior member of the Appropriations Committee gives him more power than he would have as a lame-duck excessively junior senator?

It’s tough to tell, and we might not know for many more months. Democrats are already running a strong candidate of their own: state Senator Charlie Justice. Perhaps Young is waiting for early signs of Justice’s strength to determine whether to retire.

What’s up with Oregon Republicans?

For the second cycle in a row, a highly-touted Oregon Republican is flaming out. In 2008, it was Mike Erickson in OR-05: A series of scandals and controversies made what was supposed to be a competitive open seat into an easy hold for Democrats. This cycle, the action is taking place in the neighboring 4th district, a Democratic seat the NRCC has been curiously sanguine about ever since Springfield Mayor Sid Leiken entered the race.

Leiken’s campaign started to look in trouble in June, when the Democratic Party filed a complaint about a $2,000 payment Leiken made to a company named P&G in exchange for a poll on implementing gas tax. The problem: No one knew much about this company, which was not registered with the state and whose address happened to also be that of his mother’s real estate business… This left Leiken’s own Treasurer casting doubt on whether this was a legitimate payment. “It better be a legitimate company, for crying out loud. I’ll have to believe Sid it is,” he said.

Leiken’s attempted to belie the charges for a few months, but he changed strategies last week: In a tearful press conference, held with his wife by his side (when’s the last time one of those was used to admit to corruption-related charges rather than to confess adultery?), he admitted he did not have the proper documentation to justify the expenditure, apologized to his constituents and to his family and announced he would repay the $2,000 with his own pocket.

This is as disastrous a campaign launch as I can imagine. A politician never apologizes unless he absolutely has to and it generally means it is too late to salvage his reputation - witness Rep. Don Sherwood and Rep. Tom Feeney’s apology ads in the 2006 and 2008 cycles. The press conference led local evening news, voters outside of Springfield were thus introduced to Leiken in a negative light and the controversy will give tons of fodder to the DCCC’s ad-makers next year.

It’s not even like Leiken has put the controversy behind him. He said that he’ll pay his mother directly, but why he was trying to pay her in the first place? His explanation that this was a legitimate transaction for which he cannot find the proper documentation is unconvincing. And before convincing voters, Leiken should worry about placating Oregon secretary of state’s office, which is still investigating the matter. Needless to say, for that investigation to go any further than it already has will sink Leiken’s chances further. Democrats are looking good to keep Oregon’s 4th, whether or not Peter DeFazio runs for re-election.

Could there really be a fifth consecutive Hill-Sodrel match-up?

Republican Mike Sodrel, who lost three of the four previous rounds, is reportedly considering trying yet again in 2010. Perhaps he thinks he’ll have more of a chance now that the environment will no longer be as toxic for his party, but it does seem that voters are through hesitating when presented with these two options: Hill won 58% to 38% in 2008. And let’s not forget that Hill’s one loss came in 2004, a tough cycle for Republicans in which Bush’s coattails boosted Sodrel - and even then the Democrat only lost by 2,000 votes.

On the other hand, it’s not like Republicans have many other options against Hill, who does not look very likely to face a competitive challenge next year. So why not yet again try Sodrel?


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Doyle and Martinez decisions might lead to game of House musical chairs

Will there be a Florida special election?

In late 2008, a number of Governors stumbled over Senate appointments, which makes Mel Martinez’s resignation potentially risky for Charlie Crist. If he chooses a conservative firebrand to appease his base, it could give an opening to Democrats; if he chooses a moderate - and at least one of the names he is considering, former Governor Martinez, has a history of donating to Democrats - it could help Marco Rubio portray him as unsufficiently Republican.

One other thing Crist could do is take David Paterson’s route: create a major headache for his party in the House. While Democrats ended up (barely) holding on to Kirsten Gillibrand’s seat, will the NRCC be able to do so if Crist taps a Republican congressman to finish Martinez’s term?

Last week, we learned that Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart was one of a handful of Republicans who had been asked to submit documents to Crist’s office. Diaz-Balart represents FL-21 since 1992; while his district leans Republican, it has been trending leftward: This is a rare Florida district in which John Kerry improved on Al Gore’s decision, and the 12% swing between 2004 and 2008 is larger than the statewide change. Democrats would be the clear underdogs in a special election, especially as they don’t have a strong bench, but they would nonetheless have a shot at picking-up the seat.

Unfortunately for the DCCC, Diaz-Balart released a statement withdrawing his name from consideration - so it doesn’t look like the Miami region will host a special election this fall.

We are left to wonder why Diaz-Balart’s name even popped up: Why would a longtime congressman want to resign from his job to take a gig that is sure to end in 17-month? To explain Crist’s motivation, Roll Call pointed out that Rubio already represents part of FL-21 - and he could thus leave Crist alone in the Senate race to run for Diaz-Balart’s seat instead. And perhaps we can explain Diaz-Balart initial interest by referring to the 2012 Senate race: Would Diaz-Balart not be better positioned to challenge Bill Nelson if he could introduce himself as a former Senator?

But those who were hoping for a Florida special election should still have hope: Crist is now considering appointing Rep. Bill Young, who represents competitive territory (Obama won FL-10 by 4%, Bush won it by 2% in 2004). It’s easier to figure out what is going on here: Now 78, Young is already considering retiring in 2010. (As the former Chairman of the Appropriations Committee, how much could he be enjoying powerless life in the minority?)

If Young is indeed leaning towards calling it quits, a Senate appointment would allow him to close out a very long congressional career in a more prestigious position without costing him a job he wants to hold on to nor really causing that much of an additional heachache to the GOP. If anything, Republicans might be calculating that a 2009 special election might give them a better chance of holding on to the seat than an open seat in 2010: As turnout would be lower in the former case, the enthusiasm gap could be more consequential.

Wisconsin: Add Ron Kind to list of potential retirees

Barbara Lawton wasted no time before jumping in Wisconsin’s gubernatorial race. Just hours after Jim Dolye confirmed that he would retire, his Lieutenant Governor had announced she would seek to replace him. Yet, it looks like Lawton might face intraparty competition after all: Rep. Ron Kind is now saying he is “considering” the race and will come to a decision “in the weeks to come.”

While Kind has been in the House sine 1997, he is still young: 12-year incumbents tend to be far older than 46. That means that Kind should become senior enough to obtain to powerful House positions without having to wait to reach an insanely old age. (He is now Chief Deputy Whip and a member of the Ways and Means Committee.) Combined with the fact that House Democrats look to have built themselves a durable majority, I would imagine that Kind wouldn’t want to jeopardize his post.

If he does pull the trigger, he would obviously have to leave his House seat. Made up of Southwestern Wisconsin, the 3rd District gave Barack Obama a huge 17% victory but it was far more competitive in past cycles: John Kerry and Al Gore both won the district by only 3%. As such, an open seat should lead to a competitive race; Democrats would start with an edge, but Republicans could hope for an upset if the environment was favorable.

On the other hand, Rep. Paul Ryan ruled out running for Governor; he had already ruled out a Senate run, so we can remove him from the list of potential retirees. His WI-01 is swing territory (it gave Obama a 3% victory last fall) so an open seat could have been highly competitive. Ryan could eye Herb Kohl’s Senate seat, which is up in 2012, but by then redistricting will have changed his district’s demographic.


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Q2 fundraising reports, part 1: Reps signal higher ambition, hint at retirement

Money has a lot of influence on campaign results, not to mention on politicians’ behavior once they are elected, as the health care debate is only confirming: that the member of the Senate’s HELP committee who has received the least amount of money from the health sector is the loudest advocate for a single-payer system is no coincidence. From this blog’s electoral focus, however, too much is read into most candidates’ financial situation. Not every half-a-million difference will matter come 2010; pretending it does only makes contributions more consequential by extending their significance beyond spending inequality.

As such, let’s concentrate on: 1. what these reports reveal about the 2010 plans of those incumbents who have not yet made their plans clear? will they seek higher office, run for re-election or retire. 2. the districts in which the challenger is uncommonly strong and has managed to out raise an incumbent (or has come close to outraising him), such a rare sign of financial strength that it necessarily puts these districts on our midterm map. Here are thus the newsworthy tidbits out of the fundraising reports of House members (more on statewide races later).

You can peruse through Swing State Project’s very useful fundraising chart and through the candidates’ full disclosure statements - with donor lists, names and amounts donated.

Sign of ambition: Melancon and Sestak hint at Senate run

Of all House members running for re-election, only one raised more than $600,000 - and he raised much more: Joe Sestak’s fundraising haul for the second-quarter alone is a staggering $1 million, which brings his total cash on hand (CoH) to $4 million - far above his fellow representatives. This should remove all doubts we might still have that Sestak has bigger things in mind than a re-election race. This type of money can only mean that the sophomore is committed to challenging Senator Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary.

Another representatives who is reporting unusually high sums is Charlie Melancon, whose name you’ll recognize as another prospective Senate candidate. While the $400,000 he raised this quarter alone are impressive, the $1,2 million he has stocked up in the bank suggest he might be thinking about a statewide run more seriously than conventional wisdom suggests. The same is true for Carolyn Maloney, whose $574K second quarter funds and $1,6 million on hand are among the highest of any House member.

Note that we shouldn’t generalize this too much. Reps. Ron Klein, Heath Shuler, Allen Boyd, Gabrielle Giffords and Jon Jim Matheson all have more than $1 million in CoH but none is supposed to harbor statewide ambitions this cycle. Boyd and Shuler ruled out Senate bid, Klein endorsed Meek’s candidacy and Matheson is sitting in such conservative territory that he could find himself vulnerable with a moment’s notice. (If anything, this suggests that Klein was very seriously considering the Senate race until Charlie Crist got in.) That leaves Giffords, who is sometimes mentioned as a senatorial candidate; no one thinks it likely, but could she jump in?

Inversely, Rep. Mike McIntyre and Rep. Bob Etheridge, North Carolina Democrats who are mentioned as potential Senate candidates, have second quarter hauls under $200,000. That’s not surprising since neither is expected to face a competitive re-election race, but it does suggest neither is covertly planning a Senate run.

Outraised incumbents: 3 in Q1, 7 in Q2

While I am weary of dismissing a challenger because he had a lousy fundraising quarter, a challenger outraising an incumbent is undoubtedly a sign of electoral strength - one that is so rare that it will get the attention of the national party and attract funds from the NRCC and DCCC. This occurred in 7 districts:

  • 4 where GOP-held districts: CA-03 (Ami Bera over Rep. Dan Lungren), CA-45 (Stephen Pougnet over Rep. Mary Bono Mack), DE-AL (Joe Carney outraised Rep. Mike Castle 2:1) and FL-10 (Charlie Justice over Bill Young).
  • 3 where Dem-held districts: CA-47 (Van Tran over Rep. Loretta Sanchez), NY-19 (Greg Ball over Rep. Hall) and PA-12 (Bill Russell over Rep. Jack Murtha)

Particularly noteworthy are Stephen Pougnet and Van Tran’s hauls. As far as I can tell, neither is benefiting from obvious corporate ties and neither is on the list because their opponent didn’t spend much time fundraising. Neither CA-45 nor CA-47 is generally considered a top-tier race, and this suggests the NRCC and DCCC will take closer attention to their candidacies than they might have had Pougnet and Tran come up shorter.

Let’s also note four challengers who almost outraised their opponents. In TX-10, Jack McDonald outraised GOP Rep. Mike McCaul 3:1 in the first quarter; while the two are now at parity, McDonald raised more than $300,000, making him one of the best funded challengers in the country. Also: Frank Guinta, Cory Gardner and Maureen Reed stayed in contact with Reps. Carol Shea-Porter, Betsy Markey and Michelle Bachmann, respectively.

Retirement watch: Castle and Young don’t seem committed to running

For many cycles, we have been looking at Mike Castle and Bill Young’s fundraising hauls to see whether they are finally leaning towards retiring; and while both politicians typically bring in small hauls, prompting speculation that they’re heading out, they have yet to do so. But this cycle is different since both men are facing top-tier opposition. As such, it’s much harder to dismiss Young’s $50,155 and Castle’s $125,000 - only 11% of which was raised through individual contributions.

Castle’s haul is particularly noteworthy since the Delaware congressman is also considering a Senate race. If he was really leaning towards seeking Joe Biden’s former seat, would his team not be spending a bit more time fundraising? Delaware might be a small state, but Castle does face the prospect of a clash with Attorney General Beau Biden. Or is Castle certain that the vice-president’s son will pass on the race, as is sometimes speculated?


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Fundraising: A few noteworthy Q1 reports

Regular readers of this blog have presumably noticed that I rarely talk about fundraising strength at the congressional level. While money has obviously a lot of influence on electoral results, I do believe that too much is read in candidates’ financing reports, especially given how early we are in the cycle: That Jerry Moran outraised Todd Tiahrt by $100,000 in the first quarter of 2009 will not be a big factor in the identity of the next Kansas Senator. To the extent that small fundraising differences do play a role in campaigns, they are largely due to the media’s choice to play them up: The more press coverage Moran gets for slightly outraising Tiahrt, the more Republican donors will view him as the establishment’s consensus choice.

That said, there are interesting stories buried in the fundraising reports - and here are those I think are important enough to be signaled.

Outraised House incumbents

While I am weary of dismissing a challenger because he had a lousy fundraising quarter, a challenger outraising an incumbent is undoubtedly a sign of strength - one that is so rare that it will get the attention of the national party. Based on Swing State Project’s very useful fundraising chart, this has only happened in 3 House races:

  • TX-10: It remains to be seen whether the district has drifted leftward enough to be open to voting for a Democrat, but Jack McDonald - a wealthy high-tech executive who supported George W. Bush’s campaigns and who is expected to self-fund his campaign - will certainly have the financial resources to test Rep. McCaul: The Republican incumbent raised $98,000 compared to $311,000 for McDonald.
  • OH-01 and CA-48: The differential in those districts is nowhere as big as in TX-10, but Democratic Rep. Steve Driehaus and Rep. John Campbell found themselves slightly outraised. That is less significant in OH-01, where Republican Steve Chabot is running for the seat he lost in 2008 and thus already has a strong fundraising network, than in CA-48, where former Irvine Beth Krom is more of an unknown.

All eyes were on Jim Bunning

For the past few months, the Kentucky Senator has been warning that his fundraising will be lousy and preemptively laying the blame on the NRSC’s mixed signals and on Mitch McConnell’s monopolizing Kentucky’s fundraising networks. Well, we now know the numbers: Bunning raised $263,000 in the first quarter and he has $375,000 of cash-on-hand. While most observers are describing the total as weak (sure, he was outraised by Dan Mongiardo), I do believe his report could have been far worse (there was talk of 5-figure sum). Bunning might not have the most daunting of war chests, but he certainly has sufficient funds to pursue re-election - and that is the relevant metric in this race.

If Republicans are hoping to force Bunning to retire by keeping his contributions down, they will need to send stronger messages to GOP donors. And it looks like they are trying: McConnell is scheduled to host a fundraiser in Kentucky for Senator John Thune, who is as safe as can be in South Dakota. That is quite a diss for Bunning, who was already complaining that it was difficult for him to raise funds because McConnell was already asking for donations for his 2014 campaign. Will Bunning throw another fit?

Less than $1,000 for Burris

Above, I wrote that I was weary to dismiss a candidate because he had a lousy fundraising quarter, but that candidate still needs to have enough funds to start a campaign! Illinois’s embattled Senator Roland Burris has only raised $845 in the first quarter of 2009. Sure, Burris has faced a disastrous start to his Senate tenure, but he certainly has enough supporters that he would have been able to raise more than that amount had he tried. More than Burris’s ability to win next year’s primary, his fundraising report should make us question whether the Senator has any intention of seeking a full term in 2010.

Young stays on the “retirement watch”

Rep. Bill Young, now the longest serving Republican in the House, has never faced a competitive re-election race. It is thus not surprising to see him put no effort in fundraising - only $1,000 raised in the first quarter. But do not take this as sign that Democrats will be able to swamp Young financially now that they finally recruited a credible opponent: Young has a healthy $412,000 of cash-on-hand and he could easily raise a lot of money in a short time span - a lot of people would love to donate to the ranking Republican member of the Appropriations Committee.

On the other hand, Young’s fundraising report certainly solidifies his place on the list of potential retirees. Now that Young has drawn a threatening opponent and the DCCC has set its sight on him, Young has to get in the mood of a serious campaign. While he can raise money, will he want to? Will he accept the fact that he now needs to solicit funds - after decades in which raising $1,000 was enough? We shall see in the upcoming months.

Frontline Democrats

Just as in the past cycle, the DCCC is clearly pushing its most endangered members to fundraise, fundraise, fundraise. Most members of the “Frontline program,” which regroups vulnerable Democratic incumbents, posted very strong fundraising numbers - many of them over $300,000 (especially John Adler, Gary Peters). While Carol Shea-Porter is attracting some criticism for posting the lowest number in the group, her six-figure haul is nothing to be ashamed of. Shea-Porter beat the odds twice in 2006 against high-profile and far better-funded opponents; in 2008, many once again saw her as a goner based on her weak fundraising. But Shea-Porter’s ability to mobilize grassroots support should no longer be doubted.

Pennsylvania’s Senate primary

Three Democratic representatives are mentioned as possible Senate candidates. While all raised significant sums in the first quarter - from $364 for Patrick Murphy to $535 for Joe Sestak - cash-on-hand totals are widely different. Sestak, who was first elected in 2006, has an eye-popping $3.3 million stocked up in the bank; Schwarz has $2.1 million; and Murphy “only” has $252,000. If these Democrats challenge Arlen Specter, they would be able to transfer these funds into their new Senate war chest. That would give Sestak and Schwarz a 15:1 and 10:1 head-start over Murphy; and it would also allow them to start at the same level as Specter.

Meanwhile, Joe Torsella (the only Democrat to have already declared his candidacy) reported raising nearly $600,000 since he jumped in the race in February. I have argued before that Torsella should not be underestimated - and his first fundraising report certainly confirms that he has what it takes to mount a very credible bid for the Democratic nomination.


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Dems score two huge recruitment coups against entrenched GOP congressmen

For years, the DCCC been dreaming of picking up DE-AL, which gave Barack Obama 62% of the vote, and FL-10, a swing district that narrowly voted for Al Gore in 2000 and for Barack Obama in 2008.

Yet, Reps. Mike Castle and Bill Young are so entrenched that they haven’t so much as faced a credible Democratic opponent in as long as anyone can remember. Castle, who was elected to the House in 1992 after serving two terms as Governor, has never won by less than 12% - and that was in his first race. Young, who joined the House in 1971 and is now the longest serving Republican in the House, has never received less than 65%!

Democrats have been impatiently waiting for Castle, 69, and Young, 77, to retire, and the two Republicans are indeed on everyone’s list of potential retirees. But why would either of them retire when they do not have to worry about winning re-election and they know they can prolong their tenure by two years without lifting a finger (Castle has been barely fundraising as of late)?

Yet, that is about to change. In major and back-to-back developments, Democrats recruited top-tier candidates to run against both Republicans - arguably the first time this has occurred in either district in decades.

In Delaware, former Lieutenant Governor John Carney announced that he would run for the House. After easily winning two terms as Lieutenant Governor, Carney had a bad 2008: He lost a very tight gubernatorial primary before seeing his hopes to join the Senate crushed when the outgoing Governor appointed Ted Kaufman, a placeholder for Beau Biden, to the Senate seat left vacant by Beau’s father Joe. (Carney’s candidacy also has major implications for the state’s 2010 Senate race, which I discuss at the end of this post.)

Meanwhile, state Senator Charlie Justice, who joined the state House in 2001 and the state Senate in 2010, announced that he would challenge Young in FL-10. Democrats did their best to recruit Justice two years ago, and it is interesting that Justice chose to run this year instead. He did not have to run for re-election last year but he does next year - which means that he would have nothing to fall back on if he loses the House race.

A huge word of caution: While Carney and Justice are more determined contenders than Castle and Young are used to seeing and while Obama won both DE-AL and FL-10, it will be tough for either Democrat to unseat the incumbents. Both Republicans are well-known in their district, they are accustomed to winning the support of Democratic voters, and Young is the ranking Republican on the Appropriations Committee - a very powerful electoral argument.

On the other hand, Carney and Justice will be able to use their opponents’ age against them - and they can hope that Castle and Young have so lost the habit of competitive races, of stumping and of fundraising that they prove to be inept candidates.

Most notably, Democrats can hope that the sudden appearance of determined opponents pushes the Republican incumbents - at least one of them! - to leave the House. Open seats in either district would be a gift to the DCCC. Democrats would be heavily favored to pick-up DE-AL, and while FL-10 would be far less of a sure thing, it would be a toss-up race at worst.

Democrats have finally put the pressure on Young and on Castle. Now, all eyes turn towards these Republicans. (Democrats pulled off this maneuver in 2008, when they successfully nudged two veteran Republicans towards the exit by recruiting top-tier challengers early on. In NJ-03 and in OH-16, Jim Saxton and Ralph Regula announced that they would retire shortly after state Senator John Adler and state Senator John Boccieri announced they would run. Adler and Boccieri went on to win the open seats.)

Not only does Carney’s decision impact the House contest, but it also has major implications for Delaware’s open Senate race:

1. Democratic primary: Attorney General Beau Biden is considered a probable Senate candidate; after all, his father, former Governor Ruth and Senator Kaufman pulled off an outrageous maneuver to keep the seat open for him to grab in 2010. Carney was mentioned as a potential primary opponent for Biden, and their contest could have been a bruising affair. Now that Carney is sure not to run for Senate, it is unlikely another Democrat could make a worthy opponent for Biden. The Vice-President’s son thus becomes the heavy favorite for the Democratic nomination.

2. Castle’s Senate plans: Carney’s decision to run for the House is good for Democrats at the House level, but it could come back to haunt the party in the Senate race. Castle is the GOP’s best (if not only) hope of contesting the Senate race, even leading in a poll released last month. Until now, it looked unlikely that Castle would jump in a heated Senate race since the alternative was to safely run for re-election. Yet, the House seat is no longer safe and Castle is now sure to face his biggest political battle in 18 years whatever he does. That increases the odds that he fully retires - but it also increases the odds that he jump in the Senate race.


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Good week-end news for House Democrats

A few days after Democrats recruited state Senator Ethan Berkowitz to run against tainted Alaska Representative Don Young, a new poll by pollster Ivan Moore shows Young trailing the Democrat in this reliably Republican state: 51% to 45.5%.

This appears to come both from Young’s weakness in the wake of allegations of unethical conduct (his favorable rating is at 43% only) and from Berkowitz’s strength. The Democrat has strong name-recognition (only 15% of voters do not recognize him). The AK-AL seat is not supposed to be particularly competitive - Democrats have not had much luck in the state lately. But with the state’s entire congressional delegation under scrutiny, it is not good to be a Republican there these days, and Democrats might very well take advantage.

Meanwhile, another Republican representative named Young might be headed for retirement. Florida’s 10th district’s Bill Young recently released his fundraising numbers for the third quarter, and he only reported 29,000 dollars raised in the past three months. Young was raising much more money earlier in the year. Young has served in the House for 36 years, and he sits on a very competitive district that voted for John Kerry in 2004 by two points. He knows that he has a target on his back and that he needs to campaign more actively to avoid defeat, so the drop-off could indicate he is no longer planning to run for re-election. An open seat in FL-10 would be yet another terrible blow for Republican hopes in the House, as they already have so many vulnerable open seats to defend.

Finally, Nancy Pelosi relieved many today by saying the Kyl-Lieberman amendment on Iran would not make it to the House floor for a vote. Pelosi objected to the labeling of the Revolutionary Guard as a terrorist organization. More than anything, this proves that Obama is not a staunch opponent of the bill as he claims, since he openly supports such a label.

Naturally, this momentum for House Democrats would completely reverse if the GOP managed to snatch away MA-05 in the special election taking place in 36 hours. There are many indications that the race is much more competitive than it should be.



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    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • All good things must come to an end

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • What remains on the table

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Confusion in Connecticut (Updated)

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Results thread, part 2: Dems suffer staggering losses in House and legislatives races, limit damage in statewide races

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election Night results thread: Rep. Boucher’s fall first surprise of the night

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election night cheat sheet

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Final ratings: Democrats brace for historic losses

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • What to watch for down-ballot

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EST/-5.0/no DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

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