I think that Nate Silver might have offered the best explanation a couple of weeks ago: abnormal Republican enthusiasm is the real factor behind Democrats apparent collapse.]]>
Also, have you guys noticed how far Democrats have sunk in Kansas? Sure, it’s a red state, but two years removed from holding a congressional district and the governorship, Dems have now earned just 23% in an open-seat Senate race. In many west-central counties, their vote was under 10%! This is an epic collapse even in the context of a conservative state.]]>
Thanks for the great job. I was out earlier in the evening, and raced home and read your page first, it is always clear and concise. Just a question, any idea what might be causing the underreporting, especially on the East Coast? They have been closed for 5 or more hours. Are they still using pencils and yellow pads to do their tallies? I though Florida updated so much of their voting equipment.
I am also really curious at how the polling in the Nevada Senate race was so far off base, perhaps we’ll learn more about this in the very near future.]]>