Comments on: What a surprise: Jan Brewer, R.T. Rybak and Roxane Conlin running

By: Nikki

Nikki — Thu, 14 Jan 2010 01:10:36 +0000

I really hope Brewer does not win. She just continues to strip away programs and money away from those who need it most. She a part of the wealthy, privledged crowd and has no idea about what it’s like with regular people. She was never voted in to begin with - she got the position by default and I hope she’ll be gone very soon!

By: Maurice

Maurice — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 03:59:26 +0000

Well, the filing deadline in Illinois slipped past me, at least.

10th district: Democrats Hamos and Seals will face off, with several minor candidates. Republicans Coulson, Bob Dold and Dick Green will face off, with several minor candidates.

In the 7th, ten Democrats apart from Davis are in; I have no idea how many would back out if he ran.

I’m fairly sure a Biggert retirement can be ruled out now in the 13th.

Foster will avoid another big primary in the 14th (whew).

Nobody is unopposed, but Rush only has D and G opposition and Gutierrez only G.

By: Maurice

Maurice — Sat, 07 Nov 2009 19:50:09 +0000

Goddard will be the next Governor, and I hope he brings some more Democrats to the legislature (McCain’s did a good job last year: he increased the Republican majorities to a 3:2 ratio in both Houses).

But I really hope Flake or Franks isn’t their next Senator. They’re the most libertarian members of Congress (other than Paul, of course). Napolitano could win it, of course, and somebody like those two would help. However, if it’s going to be a Republican, I hope its somebody like Lisa Keegan, for instance.

By: Cliff

Cliff — Sat, 07 Nov 2009 17:05:14 +0000

I seriously doubt Brewer will win the primary. Signing a bill raising taxes after a long, drawn out battle is one thing. Fighting with the GOP legislature to raise taxes is something else entirely. Especially with the focus on economic issues among the Republican base, she doesn’t stand a chance.

Flake’s expressed interest before and his maverick, against the Leadership style would sell well in ‘10, as would his fiscal conservative hard line stances. That said, I don’t expect him to run. I think he wants to stay in Washington. I expect he’ll run for Senate when (presumably) McCain retires in ‘16, or possibly if Kyl doesn’t run again in ‘12 (highly unlikely). But I do think he’s likely the most formidable candidate Republicans could put up. Low-profile statewide offices don’t usually make great candidates for Governor, at least not as good as a Rep with decent visibility. There are exceptions but in general I think it’s correct.

By: Jaxx Raxor

Jaxx Raxor — Sat, 07 Nov 2009 15:18:32 +0000

Cliff:
Roxane Conlin is not a top tier candiate (in deed the only candidate who could really challange Grassley would be Tom Vilsack, but of course he is Agricultural secretary now) but at least she is a credible contender. To hold Grassley to 58% of the vote would indeed be quite an accomplishment after his history of winning by 60% or more. I think in 2004 Grassley won with over 70% of the vote. I would say that if Grassley slips up then Conlin is well positions to take advantage but I agree that as for now this barely manages to be a 2nd tier race, let alone a 1st tier one.

On Arizona I agree that Goddard is the strong favorite if the recent polls are anything to go bye. I don’t know why you think Flake would be stronger than another Republican, doesn’t the GOP have other statewide officals would could be just as strong if not stronger against Goddard than Jeff Flake? On the other hand, with Brewer running for reelection its unlikely someone promient will try to challange her, so that may be a moot point.

By: Cliff

Cliff — Sat, 07 Nov 2009 15:09:10 +0000

I don’t understand why anybody is taking a 65 year old never was (as opposed to has been) like Roxane Conlin seriously. She doesn’t stand a chance in hell of beating Grassley. If she’s lucky she’ll hold him to 58% of the vote. A trial lawyer who’s only other claim to fame is losing to the guy who’s probably going to beat Chet Culver for Governor is not an attractive resume, no matter how much money all of the John Edwards crew gives to her.

On the other hand, I think Goddard is likely to smash anybody the Republicans put up for Governor. Brewer is totally incapable of beating him and none of the other candidates have anywhere near the stature of Goddard. If Jeff Flake changes his mind and decides to run…Goddard would still be the heavy favorite, but he might make the race competitive. But absent that, Goddard will win easily. And he’ll probably win even if Flake does run.