Comments on: Nevada does not like its incumbents http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/ Obsessive political analysis Sat, 31 Jul 2010 04:11:40 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: testAuthor_86 http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-50713 testAuthor_86 Sat, 16 Jan 2010 10:03:47 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-50713 testComment_86 testComment_86

]]> By: testAuthor_86 http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-50602 testAuthor_86 Fri, 15 Jan 2010 15:17:29 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-50602 lkasd fkas dfkj k dfk adf ladfkl lkadf testComment_78 lkasd fkas dfkj k dfk adf ladfkl lkadf testComment_78

]]> By: Guy http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-36949 Guy Tue, 13 Oct 2009 01:18:19 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-36949 Jaxx - I didn`t mention Lincoln and agree with your synposis of her situation. Reid does have money but apathy is not a good thing to have when you are behind (witness the current VA governors race). Jaxx - I didn`t mention Lincoln and agree with your synposis of her situation. Reid does have money but apathy is not a good thing to have when you are behind (witness the current VA governors race).

]]> By: Maurice http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-36947 Maurice Tue, 13 Oct 2009 00:56:43 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-36947 I have to say Goodman would have a coast to election. He's been in his current office for over a decade, he already is in a governing position for one in 4.5 Nevadans. (If you count all of his region, which is fairly familiar with him, it's two thirds.) Reid has five in six, but his name is poisonous as that candidate last year-was it Manlove? And I'm fairly sure he'd run as a Democrat, but I don't think it would matter if he ran as independent as long as he got the Democratic nod. If he can muster a probable 58-33 lead already, who knows. And since he's been a spotlight man for over a decade, and he has no large scandals to claim, he's in good shape in NV; moreso than a Democratic AG would be. And Sandoval has his load; Nevada wants to get away from that. As a side note, what's with all the older people seeking Governorships? Now that Minner's gone in DE, Abercrombie, Goodman, Brown would all be the oldest Governors in the country. I have to say Goodman would have a coast to election. He’s been in his current office for over a decade, he already is in a governing position for one in 4.5 Nevadans. (If you count all of his region, which is fairly familiar with him, it’s two thirds.) Reid has five in six, but his name is poisonous as that candidate last year-was it Manlove? And I’m fairly sure he’d run as a Democrat, but I don’t think it would matter if he ran as independent as long as he got the Democratic nod. If he can muster a probable 58-33 lead already, who knows. And since he’s been a spotlight man for over a decade, and he has no large scandals to claim, he’s in good shape in NV; moreso than a Democratic AG would be. And Sandoval has his load; Nevada wants to get away from that.

As a side note, what’s with all the older people seeking Governorships? Now that Minner’s gone in DE, Abercrombie, Goodman, Brown would all be the oldest Governors in the country.

]]> By: Jaxx Raxor http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-36926 Jaxx Raxor Mon, 12 Oct 2009 20:33:38 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-36926 Well Obama was all about "post-partisan" rhetoric and won the Dem nomination (and to a lesser extent the general election) based on that but is clearly a Democrat and never wanted to leave the party. I'm not sure on Goodman's leanings either (I'm a Marylander, not a Nevadan) but as the Mayor of Las Vegas, I would likely assume he is a socially liberal but ecnomically conservative/business friendly Democrat, a nice profile that pretty much sums up Nevada. Guy, I'm not sure how apathy that Democratic activists and bloggers feel about Reid would really hurt him. For one Reid already has alot of money so he doesn't really the millions that out-of state people would bring in, and as the Majority Leader he has alot of influnce with national leaders. The same thing with Lincoln but to a different degree: the average Democrat in Arkansas is much more conservative than the average blogger so protests on her not being a reliable vote probably won't figure into as much. Also the Arkansas Democratic party is very strong, a lot more than in more liberal states like Connenicut, New York, California and many others. Apaty from out of state wont hurt Lincoln, its the conservative Democrats and indepedents who despise Obama that will hurt her. Well Obama was all about “post-partisan” rhetoric and won the Dem nomination (and to a lesser extent the general election) based on that but is clearly a Democrat and never wanted to leave the party.

I’m not sure on Goodman’s leanings either (I’m a Marylander, not a Nevadan) but as the Mayor of Las Vegas, I would likely assume he is a socially liberal but ecnomically conservative/business friendly Democrat, a nice profile that pretty much sums up Nevada.

Guy, I’m not sure how apathy that Democratic activists and bloggers feel about Reid would really hurt him. For one Reid already has alot of money so he doesn’t really the millions that out-of state people would bring in, and as the Majority Leader he has alot of influnce with national leaders. The same thing with Lincoln but to a different degree: the average Democrat in Arkansas is much more conservative than the average blogger so protests on her not being a reliable vote probably won’t figure into as much. Also the Arkansas Democratic party is very strong, a lot more than in more liberal states like Connenicut, New York, California and many others. Apaty from out of state wont hurt Lincoln, its the conservative Democrats and indepedents who despise Obama that will hurt her.

]]> By: Taniel http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-36888 Taniel Mon, 12 Oct 2009 15:42:54 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-36888 Guy, it looks like a lot of Democratic activists (at least nationally) feel the same way so it will be very interesting to see how that affects Reid's reelection prospects. Same goes - perhaps to a lesser degree? - about Lincoln. Jaxx, I confess I do not know much about Goodman's views, but from what I have been reading as to why he might run as an independent he seems to be all about post-partisan rhetoric. Looking at the general election numbers when Goodman is tested, it does look like he gets a fair amount of support from GOP-leaning voters. Guy, it looks like a lot of Democratic activists (at least nationally) feel the same way so it will be very interesting to see how that affects Reid’s reelection prospects. Same goes - perhaps to a lesser degree? - about Lincoln.

Jaxx, I confess I do not know much about Goodman’s views, but from what I have been reading as to why he might run as an independent he seems to be all about post-partisan rhetoric. Looking at the general election numbers when Goodman is tested, it does look like he gets a fair amount of support from GOP-leaning voters.

]]> By: Jaxx Raxor http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-36887 Jaxx Raxor Mon, 12 Oct 2009 15:38:31 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-36887 I agree Taniel, it would be very useful to see Goodman running as the Dem nominee. While he has said he would run as an indepedent, if he is a registered Democrat and has center-left views, it may be prudent for him to run for the Dem nomination after all. Indeed, he does better than Reid as an indepedent and ties Sandoval in a 3 way race. Seeing how poorly Reid is doing in the general election, it wouldn't be hard for Goodman to convince NV Demcorats that Rory Reid is unelectable and win the nomination with fairly little effort, and he would probably have a clear advantage over Sandoval if you assume that the support Reid would get in 3 way race would mostly go to Goodman if he was the Dem nominee in a 2 way race. I agree Taniel, it would be very useful to see Goodman running as the Dem nominee. While he has said he would run as an indepedent, if he is a registered Democrat and has center-left views, it may be prudent for him to run for the Dem nomination after all. Indeed, he does better than Reid as an indepedent and ties Sandoval in a 3 way race. Seeing how poorly Reid is doing in the general election, it wouldn’t be hard for Goodman to convince NV Demcorats that Rory Reid is unelectable and win the nomination with fairly little effort, and he would probably have a clear advantage over Sandoval if you assume that the support Reid would get in 3 way race would mostly go to Goodman if he was the Dem nominee in a 2 way race.

]]> By: Guy http://campaigndiaries.com/2009/10/12/nevada-does-not-like-its-incumbents/comment-page-1/#comment-36885 Guy Mon, 12 Oct 2009 15:26:26 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=10185#comment-36885 It would not be a great loss if Reid lost in NV. The Dems would still have a large majority and would likely choose a much more effective majority leader. It would not be a great loss if Reid lost in NV. The Dems would still have a large majority and would likely choose a much more effective majority leader.

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