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Poll watch: Senators Dodd, Burr and Gillibrand improve their standing at Campaign Diaries
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Poll watch: Senators Dodd, Burr and Gillibrand improve their standing

Chris Dodd no longer looks like dead man walking

Earlier this spring, a series of polls helped drive the narrative of Chris Dodd’s collapse - none more so than Quinnipiac’s early April survey that found the Connecticut Senator down a shocking hole.

That poll was conducted at the height of the fallout over AIG bonuses, during which Dodd was attracting daily bad press. Nearly two months have passed and Quinnipiac finally revisted Dodd’s electoral standing, finding that the senator is still vulneralbe but that his situation has improved:

  • In a match-up with former Rep. Rob Simmons, Dodd trails 45% to 39%. (In early April, he trailed by a dramatic 50% to 34%.) Simmons leads by 23% among independents; Dodd only gets 67% of the Democratic vote.
  • Against state Senator Sam Caligiuri, Dodd is narrowly ahead 41% to 39%; in Quinnipiac’s previous survey, Dodd trailed by 4%.
  • Most fascinating are Dodd’s numbers in a Democratic primary: When matched-up with Mystic businessman Merrick Alpert, he only leads 44% to 24% - as clear a mark of vulnerability as any.
  • When asked what they do not like about Dodd, 24% voters who disapprove of him cite his “overall dishonesty or lack of integrity” and 17% “his failure to deal with banking industry problems.”

It would be a stretch to call this poll good news for the Connecticut Senator. The poll’s bottom line is that Dodd is still trailing Simmons, a politician who has not held elected office for three years and who never represented more than a fifth of the state - not to mention that he fails to muster a significant lead against an unknown state Senator. All in all, a five-term Democratic incumbent from a blue-leaning has no excuse to be stuck between 39% and 41% and Dodd remains one of the most vulnerable incumbents of the cycle.

That said, there is no question that Democrats will be relieved by Quinnipiac’s latest survey: Dodd is no longer a dead man walking and it is now possible to envision him surviving his re-election race. Quinnipiac’s previous survey had left Dodd looking like the Democrats’ version of Jim Bunning - so vulnerable that we started to wonder whether the party would try to push him out. That’s the sort of question we can ask of an incumbent who is trailing by 16%; not when he is behind by 6%.

One problem for Dodd is that Simmons and Caligiuri have both already declared their candidacy, so he cannot rely on failed Republican recruitment to win re-election; on the other hand, this also means that he will not be taken by surprise and he will have time to raise money and work on his re-election strategy while Democrats look for way to boost his image. Obama did just that last week when he credited Dodd with passing the credit card bill.

Burr scores double-digit leads against long series of Democrats

PPP’s monthly North Carolina poll confirms that Senator Richard Burr got a major break when Attorney General Roy Cooper announced he would not run in 2010: While PPP had twice found Cooper in the lead, no other Democrat even come closes.

Burr leads by double-digits against six Democrats - some of whom are quite prominent; PPP had tested only one of these match-ups before and the trendline shows that the incumbent has improved his position:

  • Burr leads Rep. Heath Shuler 44% to 28%; earlier this year, PPP found Burr leading 39% to 28%.
  • All the other match-ups have been tested for the first time: Burr leads Elizabeth Edwards 46% to 35%, state Senator Dan Blue 44% to 33%, former Treasurer Richard Moore 47% to 34%, Rep. Bob Etheridge 47% to 31% and Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton 48% to 29%. (I am not counting the match-up including state Senator Cal Cunningham, since PPP decided to include a two-sentence positive bio about him.)
  • Most of the Democrats have a mediocre-to-bad favorability rating, starting with Dalton (24-29), Blue (24-31) and Shuler (25-25). Only Etheridge (31-27) and Moore (36-25) have a positive rating.

Sure, Burr is under 50% in all match-ups - and that keeps him in the list of vulnerable incumbents. But it is silly to make this the take-home lesson of this poll, as do PPP and other websites in their analysis. (I have already criticized PPP’s tendency to spin its otherwise-serious and reliable polls into good news for Democrats.) The 50% threshold might be interesting to point out, but the bottom line is that that no Democrat is able to keep Burr within single-digits - even the one who managed to do so a few months ago.

Sure, Burr is not guaranteed an easy ride to re-election but Democrats are by no means certain to make this race a competitive one. That even Moore, a popular politician who has won statewide before and ran in a high-profile gubernatorial primary, is unable to come within 13% of Burr is not a good sign for Democrats - not to mention Burr’s 19% dominance over the state’s sitting Lieutenant Governor. Add to this the fact that none of these Democrats are even looking that interested in running and the situation gets trickier for the DSCC: The political environment is unlikely to be as favorable in 2010 as it was in 2008 and it will be that much harder to carry a low-profile lawmaker to victory.

Gillibrand improves re-elect numbers, but poll did not test her within Democrats

Not only is Kirsten Gillibrand looking stronger as potential rivals announce they will not run, but it also looks like her poll numbers are improving. Last month, 20% of New Yorkers said they would vote for her in a Siena survey while 39% said they wanted someone else; the latest Siena poll shows that many voters have changed their mind:

  • 27% want to re-elect her while 39% would prefer someone else. These numbers are by no means satisfactory - any incumbent with a re-elect of 27% is vulnerable - but they do suggest an improvement of Gillibrand’s prospects.
  • But other measures of Gillibrand’s popularity did not bulge: Her favorability rating remained the same (33% to 21%), as did her numbers when matched up with two potential Republican opponents: She leads Rep. Peter King 48% to 26% (47% to 23% last month) and she is tied to Governor George Pataki, 43% to 43%.

Unfortunately, Siena did not test Gillibrand just within her party. It would have been most interesting to see whether her re-elect numbers has improved among Democratic voters and how she would fare in a hypothetical primary against Carolyn Maloney or Carolyn McCarthy.

The poll also tested David Paterson, who remains in as dreadful a situation as ever: The Siena poll finds him crushed 70% to 19% by Andrew Cuomo in a Democratic primary and 59% to 31% in by Rudy Giuliani in a general election. (Cuomo leads Giuliani by 12%). At least, Pterson has stopped the bleeding: 27% approve of his performance - which is exactly the same as in last month’s survey. In fact, his re-elect numbe has slightly improved: 15% say they want to vote for him in 2010 while 71% disagree.

In an other important question, New Yorkers divide equally on same-sex marriage: 46% to 46%. This is a setback for gay right proponents, as last month’s survey had respondents approve of gay marriage 53% to 39%.


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11 Responses to “Poll watch: Senators Dodd, Burr and Gillibrand improve their standing”


  1. 1 Ron

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    May 27, 2009 at 4:22 pm

    Taniel, you could not be more right on the North Carolina race. Many Democrats think that race will be an easy pickup, but I have long believed otherwise. One reason is that North Carolina is a state where I think the “divided government” arguement by Republicans will work greatly in Burr’s favor. Another reason is that there will not be anywhere near as high black turnout as there was in 2008, which helped Obama eke out a win and was the reason why Hagan won by such a large margin.

  2. 2 Jaxx Raxor

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    May 27, 2009 at 4:56 pm

    I disagree that Democrats are not guranteed to make the NC race competive. The fact of the matter is that Dole had much stronger numbers in the summer of 2007 against opponents than Burr does, and that even if the Democrats are stuck with a a generic buisnessman/women or state offical, they will put alot of money in the race and the race will almost certainly significnaly tighten. Altho I do agree that Burr’s biggest argument to getting reelected is to keep the Democrats from having too much power, which very well may be his best way to get reelected.

    I have nothing to really say on New York, but in Connenicut, this poll is good news, as he is no longer guarenteed to lose. Of course, Democrats will have to spend alot of effort to defend Dodd in a state that shouldn’t even be on the map, but at least Dodd is doing better than Jim Bunning (on the other hand, Jim Bunning is much more likely to retire, althrough he seems as defiant as ever).

  3. 3 Joe from NC

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    May 27, 2009 at 5:44 pm

    I think one thing that is hurting the Dems’ chances in NC could be the ethical problems of former governor Easley and his wife Mary. This could also have influenced Cooper’s decision not to challenge Burr. He announced he wasn’t running just days after Easly came under investigation.

  4. 4 John

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    May 27, 2009 at 9:09 pm

    If his potential challengers had a feeling that they could beat Burr, they would have announced by now.

  5. 5 Guy

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    May 27, 2009 at 9:24 pm

    Joe - I disagree that Easley’s alleged issues would effect Cooper or some other candidate. They would stand or fall on their own merits.
    With regards black turnout helping Obama and Hagan (as Ron mentioned above) - this is certainly true but Hagan won by over 8% whereas Obama and Purdue had much tighter races. So there is a pool of I would assume white voters happy to vote Democrat for Senate whilst voting McCain for President or McCorey for Governor.

    I would expect Obama to help campaign in this state - both to get an extra senator and to lay the groundwork for 2012. He, Michelle and Biden together have been to the state at least 8 times this year alone! They mean business about keeping NC in the Democratic corner in 2012.
    John - when did Hagan declare? I don`t think you can say that any serious opponents would declare one year before the primary and 18 months before the election. There is plenty of time to get a candidate. I wish Cooper would reconsider.

  6. 6 Anonymous

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    May 27, 2009 at 9:33 pm

    I would also add that NC is a relatively cheap state to advertise in and a lot of the main cities and Democratic areas are close together (Triangle and Triad areas and then Charlotte).
    Also NC flirts with both parties at the Senate level as witnessed by this seat flipping in each of the past 5 times. Even Jesse Helms only won 52/53% victories. NC does not do blow-out margins (such as 60-40 victories) which some other states like Oklahoma or Vermont do.
    Hagan actually recorded one of the largest victories, in part because of Dole’s disgraceful “godless” ads. She paid the price, thankfully.

  7. 7 John

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    May 27, 2009 at 10:15 pm

    Guy- I’m just assuming that is Burr is perceived as weaker than Dole than people would be jumping at the opportunity. Heath Schuler and Cooper were probably the best chances, but for reasons unknown they decided to play it safe. There must be a reason.

  8. 8 Joe from NC

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    May 27, 2009 at 10:52 pm

    It could be that one of the reasons Dole lost was because she and the state’s GOP were caught off guard. Maybe many NC Dems think that Burr will be more prepared and will put up more of a fight.

  9. 9 John

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    May 28, 2009 at 6:23 am

    Joe- I think you’ve hit the nail on the head.

  10. 10 Guy

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    May 28, 2009 at 6:57 am

    John - I understand where you are coming from, since Burr is weaker (lower approval ratings and many more unknowns than Dole). I agree the state GOP will be better prepeared but they can only do so much. I don`t know why Cooper didn`t run - it has been said he wants to be Governor but that position is closed off for another 7.5 years. Maybe he has some health or scandal issues which may come out. I don`t know. There is though still time to get a competitive candidate which at the very least forces the GOP to spend money defending a seat. Putting the GOP on the defensive again (third cycle in a row) makes a net Dem pick up of seats likely.

  11. 11 MSW

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    May 28, 2009 at 8:12 am

    Being from North Carolina, I can assure you that most of the electorate is in a holding pattern regarding the 2010 US Senate election. North Carolina has changed considerably in the last 10 years, but the skepticism about our politicians still remain. Jesse Helms never won more than 54.5% of the NC electorate, and that was 30 years ago. I personally believe that Burr will be more vulnerable against a younger candidate as opposed to an established politician. Most of the Democrats polled either have low name recognition (Etheridge, Dalton, Cunningham, Shuler) or have a considerable amount of political baggage (Moore–nasty primary against Perdue, Blue–attempted coup against Jim Black, and Elizabeth Edwards–her interview with Oprah wasn’t taken very kindly with many people plus her life with John Edwards).

    Once the Democrats settle on a candidate–we will have a candidate, the DSCC will be able to display the candidate to the North Carolina electorate in an expedient manner much like what happened with Kay Hagen.

    At this point, Burr is definitely in the drivers seat. However, his voting record will be exposed come election time, and if he does survive, it won’t be more than 4-7% over the Democrat.

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    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election night cheat sheet

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Final ratings: Democrats brace for historic losses

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • What to watch for down-ballot

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

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