Deprecated: Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-settings.php on line 512

Deprecated: Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-settings.php on line 527

Deprecated: Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-settings.php on line 534

Deprecated: Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-settings.php on line 570

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Page::start_lvl() should be compatible with Walker::start_lvl(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1199

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Page::end_lvl() should be compatible with Walker::end_lvl(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1199

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Page::start_el() should be compatible with Walker::start_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1199

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Page::end_el() should be compatible with Walker::end_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1199

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_PageDropdown::start_el() should be compatible with Walker::start_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1244

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Category::start_lvl() should be compatible with Walker::start_lvl(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1391

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Category::end_lvl() should be compatible with Walker::end_lvl(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1391

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Category::start_el() should be compatible with Walker::start_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1391

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Category::end_el() should be compatible with Walker::end_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1391

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_CategoryDropdown::start_el() should be compatible with Walker::start_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/classes.php on line 1442

Strict Standards: Redefining already defined constructor for class wpdb in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/wp-db.php on line 306

Deprecated: Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/cache.php on line 103

Strict Standards: Redefining already defined constructor for class WP_Object_Cache in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/cache.php on line 431

Deprecated: Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/query.php on line 61

Deprecated: Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/theme.php on line 1109

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Comment::start_lvl() should be compatible with Walker::start_lvl(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/comment-template.php on line 1266

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Comment::end_lvl() should be compatible with Walker::end_lvl(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/comment-template.php on line 1266

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Comment::start_el() should be compatible with Walker::start_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/comment-template.php on line 1266

Strict Standards: Declaration of Walker_Comment::end_el() should be compatible with Walker::end_el(&$output) in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/comment-template.php on line 1266

Strict Standards: Redefining already defined constructor for class WP_Dependencies in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/class.wp-dependencies.php on line 31

Strict Standards: Redefining already defined constructor for class WP_Http in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/http.php on line 61

Strict Standards: Non-static method K2::init() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-content/themes/k2/functions.php on line 31

Strict Standards: Non-static method K2::register_scripts() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-content/themes/k2/app/classes/k2.php on line 51

Strict Standards: call_user_func_array() expects parameter 1 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2Options::init() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/plugin.php on line 339

Strict Standards: call_user_func_array() expects parameter 1 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2Header::init() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/plugin.php on line 339

Strict Standards: Non-static method K2Header::get_header_width() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-content/themes/k2/app/classes/header.php on line 8

Strict Standards: call_user_func_array() expects parameter 1 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2::filter_post_comments() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/plugin.php on line 166

Strict Standards: array_filter() expects parameter 2 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2::strip_trackback() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-content/themes/k2/app/classes/k2.php on line 458

Strict Standards: array_filter() expects parameter 2 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2::strip_trackback() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-content/themes/k2/app/classes/k2.php on line 458

Strict Standards: array_filter() expects parameter 2 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2::strip_trackback() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-content/themes/k2/app/classes/k2.php on line 458

Strict Standards: array_filter() expects parameter 2 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2::strip_trackback() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-content/themes/k2/app/classes/k2.php on line 458
2009 February Archive at Campaign Diaries
Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Strict Standards: call_user_func_array() expects parameter 1 to be a valid callback, non-static method K2Header::output_header_css() should not be called statically in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/plugin.php on line 339

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003


Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
Monthly Archive for February, 2009


Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

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In welcoming Sebelius to Cabinet, Dems wave goodbye to Kansas Senate seat

Barack Obama has offered the position of HHS Secretary to Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius, who has reportedly accepted the position. This was expected: Ten days ago, The New York Times had already reported that the Administration was all but certain to tap Sebelius.

(That the appointment is now being confirmed is obviously a major story that deserves to be addressed today, but I did I write an entire post about what the pick would mean when the Times story came out so I used parts of that entry here.)

Sebelius picks makes Senate seat safe GOP hold, perhaps boosts Tiahrt

Sebelius was the only Democrat with any hope of picking-up Kansas’s Senate seat, left open by Sam Brownback’s retirement (a recent poll had Sebelius beating Rep. Moran and Rep. Tiahrt by double-digits). her move to the HHS Department all but guarantees that the seat remain in the GOP’s hands - and that  most certainly offers indescribable relief to the NRSC.

The primary showdown between Reps. Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt is now the de facto general election - and that could have major consequences on the primary’s dynamics. While they share a similar ideological profile, Tiahrt has the reputation of a movement conservative while Moran can be perceived as somewhat more mainstream. If Sebelius had been waiting in the general election, Moran could have benefited from looking more electable; but the Governor’s departure means that electability will not be a factor in the Moran-Tiahrt battle, allowing primary voters to choose whoever they feel closer to. That could prove a major boost for Tiahrt.

Finally: Many Democrats will surely be puzzled that Obama is willing to give up on his party’s shot at the seat; if anything, the past few weeks showed Obama the importance of enjoying a filibuster-proof majority. It is very possible that Sebelius had already decided not to run for Senate, and had informed Obama and the DSCC of her decision, allowing the President to pick her without having to worry about midterm repercussions.

A new Governor

Sebelius’s move to Washington also means that Kansas will have a new Governor: Mark Parkinson, a Democrat who ran as Sebelius’s running mate in 2006. But Parkinson was in the GOP until the spring of 2006, and he held many elected offices as a Republican from the early 90s onwards; he was also the chairman of the state Republican Party! So while Kansas will technically remain in Democratic hands, state governance could move to the right.

This might have consequences in the 2010 gubernatorial race. Sebelius is term-limited out of office in 2010 anyway, so her departure to Washington does not deprive Democrats of her candidacy. Yet, Parkinson’s elevation means that the state now has an incumbent who is allowed to run for re-election, and that could help Democrats keep the governorship. Fortunately for the GOP, it looks like the race will still be an open: Parkinson declared in early January that he would not run for any office next year. Might he change his mind now that he will get used to serving as Governor and would be able to run as the incumbent? And could he win the Democratic primary given that he was the Kansas GOP’s chairman just a few years ago?

A centrist liberals can stand

Sebelius’s nomination would increase the ranks of Cabinet centrists, but it would also come as a relief to progressives, who had come to expect the worse. For starters, Sebelius is a Democrat (which is significant, given some of the Administration’s other appointments…), and she is far less conservative a pick than Phil Bredesen, the health care coverage-cutting Tennessee Governor with deep ties to the insurance industry who looked looked like one of the front-runners for the position.

Sebelius’s ability to awake little passion (for or against her) has always puzzled me, but that is probably what Obama is looking in an HHS Secretary: A wonky, reassuring-looking politician who will ignite as little partisan fire as possible from either side. Indeed, Sebelius has little partisan edge - something that generally frustrates liberals - but she has managed not to develop the reputation of a conservative Democrat. This remarkable equilibrium mirrors Obama’s own ideological positioning, especially when it comes to health care (as we saw in the primary as well as the general election): A centrist, but a non-militant one.

Health care will obviously be one of the biggest issues of Obama’s presidencies, which means that Sebelius could emerge as one of the Administration’s most important players. This could prove perilous, but it is also sure to immensely rewarding - both professionally and personally. (Getting credit for finally realizing some version of health care reform could position Sebelius for bigger things in the years ahead.) And as we learned this week that Obama plans to start pushing for health care reform this year, Sebelius will have to get to work immediately.

Update: The Kansas City Star asks a very good question:

Who will [Parkinson] pick as his lieutenant governor now that he’ll be vacating that position? Why is that significant? Because it’s the Democrats’ last chance to come up with a candidate for governor or the U.S. Senate in 2010.


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House: GOP eyes blue districts, Reichert gets first opponent

The DCCC conquered more than 50 GOP-held seats over the past two cycles, and a significant number of red-leaning districts are represented by Democratic incumbents. We were thus certainly not expecting the GOP to start eying heavily blue districts - but that is exactly what is happening in at least two races.

In HI-01, Rep. Neil Abercrombie is widely expected to run in the open gubernatorial race, sparking an open seat race for his House seat. And while the Hawaii-born Obama crushed McCain in 2008 (70% to 28%), the margin was much closer in 2004: Kerry only prevailed 53% to 47%. In short: Democrats would be heavily favored to keep an open seat, but the right Republican could give the DCCC some heartache.

The GOP believes it has found its ideal candidate: Honolulu city Councilman Charles Djou started raising money for a House race in October 2007, and he has the support of state Republicans, including the Governor. And last week, he met with NRCC officials, who are apparently thrilled enough by Djou’s candidacy that they are already going after Abercrombie with robocalls.

(The NRCC’s willingness to start contesting the seat before Abercrombie announces a gubernatorial run suggests some confidence that Djou could be competitive even if HI-01 did not feature an open race. This looks like wishful thinking: HI-01 is too Democratic a district for the GOP to have a shot at defeating an incumbent, especially an incumbent who is embroiled in no scandal.)

An even unlikelier site for a GOP takeover is RI-01, a heavily Democratic district represented by Patrick Kennedy. Obama won the district 65% to 33%, slightly better than Kerry, who had received 62% of the vote. Kennedy is showing no indication that he will retire, making him the heavy favorite to win re-election.

Yet, Republicans insist that Kennedy’s approval rating is low enough (a recent poll pins it at 38%) that they could at least make his life difficult. The state GOP believes it has found a solution: In response to his party’s insistence, State Rep. John Loughlin, who served in the Army Reserve. Loughlin is telling The Hill that he could jump in the race in the weeks ahead.

Given how easily Kennedy dispatched his past opponents, it is hard to see what more Loughlin could bring to the table. Republicans might be rooting for him to jump in, but Democrats have little to worry about. A Loughlin candidacy would be a GOP coup only by the low standards of Rhode Island’s Republican Party.

Over the past few days, we have also gotten word that two candidates have jumped in House races as Democrats.

In WA-08, Republican Rep. Reichert is still standing in his Democratic district (Obama won 57% to 42%) despite facing two very tough challenges from Darcy Burner. Will the DCCC make him a top-tier target again in 2010, or will Reichert get a pass based on his ability to win a blue district in two overwhelmingly Democratic cycles?

The answer to that question should depend on the quality of Democratic recruitment. This week, Suzan DelBene jumped in the race. Like Burner, DelBene has worked as an executive at Microsoft, where she served as the Corporate Vice President for Mobile Communications. As a businesswoman, she has no political experience. (”I am not a career politician — my focus has always been on creating opportunity,” DelBene wrote in her candidacy statement).

Those who followed the two Reichert-Burner match-ups will recognize that DelBene’s profile problem: the incumbent was very successful in portraying Burner as a political novice who lacked the necessary experience to serve as congresswoman. Reichert is able to hold on to his district because he has developed an image of competence and experience; can DelBerne succeed at undermining that?

Meanwhile, in OH-02, David Krikorian, who got nearly 10% in 2008 as an independent candidate, has announced that he will join the Democratic Party and seek the nomination to challenge Rep. Jean Schmidt. “After careful consideration of both political parties and another independent run, the decision became obvious, the Democratic Party is the party of America today,” Krikorian wrote.

OH-02 might be a heavily Republican district, but Schmidt’s unpopularity has made her a top Democratic target. That said, Schmidt has now won three tough battles, and she is unlikely to face as tough an environment in 2010 (and beyond). It remains to be seen whether any Democrat can mount a competitive run - let alone Krikorian, who has too conservative a profile to appeal to the district’s Democratic base.


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As IL Dems move to unseat Burris, Giannoulias announces run

Roland Burris is finding himself caught between Pat Quinn and Lisa Madigan’s clashing gubernatorial ambitions. The Governor and the Attorney General are trying to position themselves as the truer reformer, and they are working to upstate each other’s statements and gradually toughening up their rhetoric.

Last week, Quinn called on Burris to resign, announcing that he would reform state law to have Burris replaced via a special election. A few days later, Madigan’s office issued a legal opinion that went much further: Even if Burris does not resign, the state legislature can call a special election which would effectively unseat him!

Quinn endorsed Madigan’s opinion yesterday, announcing that he would direct the state legislature to call for such a special election in two weeks if Burris has not resigned by then. This unexpected move opens a new chapter in the Burris saga, and a particularly controversial one.

Madigan and Quinn’s new position clearly contradicts state law, which holds that a Governor can appoint a Senator whose term will last the next regularly-scheduled federal election; but Madigan points to the U.S. Constitution’s 17th amendment:

When vacancies happen in the representation of any State in the Senate, the executive authority of each State shall issue writs of election to fill such vacancies: Provided, That the legislature of any State may empower the executive thereof to make temporary appointments until the people fill the vacancies by election as the legislature may direct.

This amendment is obviously respected in all states. There are states which interpret “temporary” broadly and don’t schedule a contest until the next federal election date, though it is still a special election. (In New York, for instance, Gillibrand will have to run in 2010 even though the seat is not up until 2012.) Other states (like Oregon) understand the term “temporary” appointment in a more restrictive sense, requiring that a special election be held within a few months.

Madigan is not disputing the constitutionality of gubernatorial appointments, nor is she arguing that the 17th amendment requires that a special election be held within a few months of a vacancy. Rather, her claim is that the (1) 17th Amendment expresses a preference for the electoral process over the appointment process; (2) that this means that an elected contender would have a more legitimate claim on a seat than an appointed one; and (3) that Burris’s term would be cut short as soon as someone won a special election.

Even if we grant the first two parts of this argument, the conclusion is obviously quite a stretch: Can the legislature affect the length of Burris’s term after the Senator has already been seated? Is the definition of “temporary” not settled when the appointment is made? And if a special election is actually held, how is the winner going to go about to claim the seat? Burris is now a sitting Senator, and the Illinois state legislature cannot recall him. Only the Senate can exclude him, and they would not do so before holding lengthy hearings to determine whether Burris or the special election winner should be Senator.

Needless to say, the Senate’s eventual decision is sure to be challenged in court - and perhaps work its way all the way to the Supreme Court given that the disagreement centers upon differing interpretations of the 17th Amendment. In short: we are talking about a very long and muddied process that has no guarantee of succeeding.

While Madigan and Quinn are working to upstage each other, other Democrats are positioning themselves for a Senate run.

Yesterday, the first Democrat announced his candidacy: state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, a 32 year-old who played professional basketball in Greece in the late 1990s. Giannoulias is said to be the Democratic establishment’s favored candidate, if for no other reason than his proximity to Obama and his financial abilities. In 2006, he dumped $3 million of his own money to become state Treasurer; how much would he pour in for a Senate run? On the other hand, The Hill points out that Giannoulias has plenty of baggage, including his ties of Blagojevich and his family’s ties to Tony Rezko.

Giannoulias is a formidable enough candidate that his entry could scare away other Democrats, particularly those that have a lot to lose. If there is no special election but only the regularly-scheduled one next year, Rep. Jan Schakowsky and Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. would have to give up their safe House seats to run for Senate; how likely would they be to do so now that they know they would have to face the establishment-favored, Obama-friend and fundraising-powerhouse Giannoulias? (On the other hand, a special election is expected to feature a free-for-all crowded race, as no one would have anything to lose.)

And we just got word that another potential candidate is emerging: former Commerce Secretary William Daley, the brother of Chicago Mayor Richard Daley. Needless to say, the Daleys are one of the country’s most legendary Democratic families, and William would receive the full backing of the powerful Chicago machine, making him a formidable primary contender.

On the one hand, a Daley run could boost Giannoulias, as it would (frustratingly) allow him to position himself as a reformer running against the Chicago machine rather than find himself blasted as the establishment’s favorite. On the other hand, a Daley-Giannoulias showdown could provide an opening for other Democrats, particularly an African-American.


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Recruitment tidbits, from Tyrone Yates to Richard Moore

Ohio’s Democratic primary gets crowded

After Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher and Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, a third Democrat has jumped in Ohio’s Senate race: state Rep. Tyrone Yates has entered the race. Yates, who represents a Cincinnati district, is term-limited out of his office in 2010; that might explain why he is willing to challenge two statewide officials.

Yates undoubtedly starts as the underdog but he should not be underestimated. His political resume goes beyond his work in the state legislature: he served as vice-major of Cincinnati and as the assistant state Attorney General. He has good relationships with the state’s Democratic establishment, and that will complicate the early jostling between Fisher and Brunner.

Furthermore, two factors could give Yates an opening. The first is that Brunner and Fisher are likely to direct their fire to each other; if their opposition gets heated, other candidates could sneak by. The second is that Yates is an African-American; that gives him a natural constituency, but it also could enable him to differentiate himself in a field whose candidates have few obvious ideological differences. However, another African-American Democrat is considering a run: Cuyahoga County Commissioner Peter Lawson Jones.

Burr still has no challenger

Richard Burr might be one of the Senate’s most endangered incumbents, but the North Carolina Senator has yet to draw a challenger. This week, one of the potential Democratic candidates - former Treasurer Richard Moore - strongly suggested that he would not jump in the race. “We’ve just finished one election cycle, and I don’t have any plans right now,” he said. “You know, you never say never, but I don’t have any plans right now.”

Last year, Moore lost a heated gubernatorial primary against now-Governor Beverly Perdue; many Democrats wondered why Moore would not challenge Elizabeth Dole instead, worrying Democrats were wasting two of their top candidates on the same race. Of course, Kay Hagan ended up proving a far stronger candidate than people expected.

With Moore’s departure, all eyes are on Attorney General Roy Cooper, who is known to be considering the race and who would be a strong contender (a recent poll shows him leading Burr). Another potential candidate is Rep. Heath Shuler, one of the House’s most conservative Democrats. Shuler’s opposition to the stimulus could be an indication that he is leaning towards staying in the House, as his vote on the issue could be used against him in the stimulus.

No Smith-Sununu rematch

In 2002, New Hampshire Senator Bob Smith was defeated in the Republican primary by then-Rep. John Sununu, who went on to win the general election. Sununu, who lost his re-election race last year, is now mulling a run for Judd Gregg’s seat - and we learned a few days ago that Smith was considering moving back to New Hampshire to jump in the race as well, mostly to spite Sununu!

Democrats were obviously salivating at the prospect of a Smith-Sununu rematch, which would cause havoc for the GOP, lead to a confusing primary and bruise the eventual nominee (presumably Sununu). We still have not heard about Sununu’s plans, but Smith ruled out the possibility of a move. “I have decided to remain in Florida where I am now a resident and will under no circumstances be a candidate for any office in New Hampshire,” he said. Interestingly, Smith is also said to be considering a Senate run in Florida.

Another Republican mulling run against Vitter

A few days ago, Tony Perkins confirmed that he was considering challenging Senator David Vitter in Louisiana’s GOP primary. We now get word that another Republican is mulling a run against the incumbent: former Rep. John Cooksey, who represented the heavily conservative LA-05 from 1996 to 2002, is said to be very interested in the race - and is even considering dumping up to $200,000 of his own money in the race. (That would not necesasrily get him very far for challenging an incumbent.)

Cooksey ran for Senate in 2002, when his campaign was derailed by racist comments against Arabs. If Cooksey managed to offend people enough to have his campaign crash in the post 9/11 context, it remains to be seen how credible a campaign he can mount.


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Coleman (finally) gets a break

The three judges that are refereeing Minnesota’s election dispute have not been kind to Norm Coleman. But after suffering from a string of unfavorable rulings, the former Republican got a major break yesterday in his month-long effort to increase the universe of valid ballots!

After ruling in early February that Coleman was allowed to challenge the rejection of 4,700 absentee votes, the court outlined 19 categories of rejected absentee ballots two weeks ago and asked the campaigns to argue whether each category should be counted or rejected. Franken wants as few of these ballots to be deemed valid for his lead to be protected, and he gained a first victory on the 13th when the court ruled that 12 of the 19 categories should not be counted.

Seven categories remained, accounting for thousands of rejected ballots. Yesterday the court took up the matter of the “3A Ballots.”

In Minnesota, an eligible citizen can register on Election Day or as he is sending his absentee ballot by including a registration card with their absentee ballot. To do so, the card needs to be placed outside the secrecy envelope that contains the ballot itself rather than inside so that election officials can determine the citizen’s eligibility and the vote’s validity while remaining blind to his voting intent.

In most counties, election officials rejected ballots from non-registered voters if they did not contain a registration card; but in some precincts, officials have been known to open the secrecy envelope to see whether it contains a registration card and count the ballot if it does.

Coleman’s lawyers argued that all counties should be required to use this inclusive technique, and the court partially agreed yesterday, issuing a decision that requires counties to go through all the ballots that were rejected because the voter was not registered. Election officials will have to sort through those that contain a (valid) registration card inside the secrecy envelope and those that do not. (They will reach in the envelope without looking at the ballot itself and feel the interior to see whether there is a card.)

The court stopped short of saying that the ballots with a valid registration card will be counted (they do, after all, seem to violate election statutes) but it would be strange for the judges to order counties to go through these procedures if they are not willing to also tally ballots with completed registration cards.

There is an estimated 1,500 ballots in this situation that will be sorted and then potentially included in the Coleman-Franken count, an obvious opening for Coleman to close some of his deficit.

That said, there is no reason for Democrats to panic that Franken’s lead is endangered . For one, we will be looking at a far smaller final number than 1,500: Many of these will likely not have a registration card within the envelope; other still might have improperly filled cards. Furthermore,  there is no evidence that Coleman would be the one getting an edge out of these 1,500 ballots, quite the contrary: Newly-registered voters tend to vote Democratic, especially in the 2008 cycle. CNN’s exit poll of the Minnesota Senate race shows Franken leading by 18% among voters who had never voted before.

So why am I saying that this ruling is a boost to Coleman? Simply because his only hope is to convince the court to include thousands of still uncounted ballot, and this new ruling is the most clear sign yet that a massive dump of rejected ballots could occur. Sure, counting the ballots could end up boosting Franken, but Coleman is in such a desperate position that he needs to bet on any potentially valid ballots.

After all, Coleman’s entire exercise puts him in a similarly precarious position. Absentee ballots have shown to favor Franken up until now, so Coleman’s only way forward is to advocate the inclusion of ballots that are more likely to favor his opponent.

The other recent development in the trial is much more positive for the Franken campaign, as missteps by Coleman’s legal team have the judges threatening to struck their entire claim about double-counted ballots. (A ruling could come today or Monday). If Coleman were to win this claim, it would close the gap by about 120 votes, so it would not be enough to put him in the lead anyway; but it could still help him get there if combined with gains from the rejected absentee ballots. In short, it would certainly be a blow to the Coleman campaign for this issue to be struck out of the trial.


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As Gillibrand continues to evolve on guns, Senate passes DC bill

On Tuesday, the Senate invoked cloture on the D.C. Voting Rights bill in a 62-34 vote. This afternoon, the bill passed, 61-37. The matter now moves to the House, which is expected to take it up next week.

Besides the number of Republicans Senators voting in favor of DC voting rights (Murkowski and Cochran voted for cloture but against the bill), a major change had been introduced to the text between Tuesday’s and Thursday’s vote: the Ensign Amendment, which strikes down much of Washington’s gun control laws.

After the Supreme Court ruled that D.C. was not respecting the 2nd Amendment last June, the D.C. voting council passed a new set of regulations, but gun control opponents are not satisfied with the changes. As is often the case when it comes to the District, Congress is choosing to take matters in its own hands through the Ensign Amendment, which eases restrictions on firearms, removes registration requirements and repeals the semiautomatic gun ban.

Senator Diane Feinstein, a fierce advocate of gun control, called the amendment a “first new step… to remove all commonsense gun regulations.” “How deep sunk in catering to these interests,” she continued. “For shame.” We also heard protests from the D.C. City Council and by Mayor Fenty. The problem is thus not only the amendment’s anti-gun control orientation, but also the fact that D.C. is not being allowed to set its own policies on such a vital issue.

It is tragically ironic that the Senate is attaching an amendment that overrules decisions made by the D.C. government to a bill that is meant to finally give Washington some representation. It is as ironic that Senators from across the country who have little commitment to urban constituencies get to decide what gun policies to implement in one of the country’s biggest - and poorest - cities. In short: The Amendment’s passage is just another reminder that D.C. (which has more inhabitants than Wyoming) deserves political representation and the autonomy to govern itself.

The Ensign Amendment also serves as a testament to the relative ease with which Republican pass their priorities. Getting a House member for D.C. caused headaches to the Democratic leadership, but the GOP doesn’t have to try very hard to get 62 votes on a controversial amendment when they only control 41 votes.(We will now see whether the House includes a similar amendment in its version of the bill. If it does not, the conference negotiations will be key to decide what happens.)

The long list of Democrats who voted for the Ensign Amendment is a who’s who of the Senate’s centrist caucus. One interesting fact: Of the seven Democrats who were just elected in November, only two voted to let D.C decide what gun laws to implement (Merkley and Shaheen). Five voted in favor of the Amendment: the two Udalls, Hagan, Warner and Begich. Also, Colorado’s Bennet voted “yea,” which is somewhat surprising given that he is a former Superintendent of Schools.

This leaves us with Kirsten Gillibrand, who voted… “nay!” That is right, the Empire State’s infamously anti-gun control Senator has evolved to such an extent in a few weeks that she is now opposed to a bill easing restrictions supported by more than a third of her own caucus. Is this just a reflection of Gillibrand’s worry about a primary challenge, is she actually evolving or was it during her House years that she had taken more conservative positions than what she actually believed?

What is quite extraordinaire is that Gillibrand made headlines for another gun-related issue today: Her change of mind over the Tiahrt Amendment, a controversial piece of legislation that limits the ability of government agencies to share gun trace data. Gillibrand had attracted a lot of criticism for co-sponsoring this amendment last spring while in the House; now, not only is she no longer supporting it, but she has attached her name to a letter of her state’s delegation asking the Obama Administration to roll-back the amendment’s provisions.

Rep. Carolyn McCarthy seems pleased at Gillibrand’s change of heart. Will these moves be enough to keep a top-tier primary challenger away, or will they only embolden Gillibrand’s critics?


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Tedisco is in the lead in NY-20, but stimulus politics are proving perilous

The first public poll of the NY-20 special election confirmed the conventional wisdom about the race: Republican nominee Tony Tedisco has the upper-hand in the race for Kirsten Gillibrand’s old House seat.

The survey, released by Siena, shows Tedisco leading Democratic nominee by double-digit, 46% to 34%.

The poll’s internals suggest that both candidates have room to grow. On the one hand, Republicans are more undecided than Democrats, and that is encouraging for Tedisco. On the other hand, 60% of respondents have no opinion of Murphy, compared to only 34% for the much better-known Tedisco; as Murphy introduces himself to voters by airing ads using his own money, he should improve his name recognition and, Democrats hope, his general election numbers.

Democrats are spinning Siena’s poll as good news, arguing that it shows that Murphy is in a position to win; they point out that Tedisco’s advantage is much smaller than the 31% lead the Republican claimed last month based on his campaign’s internal poll. Both of these points are indisputable; but with less than 5 weeks left before the special election, a 12% lead is no small deficit for a candidate to overcome.

Of course, polls of NY-20 are unreliable because a special election is inherently unpredictable. Turnout will be low, and both sides’ partisans are not likely to be equally excited or participate at the same rate. Unfortunately for Democrats, who have grown used to great special election showings over the past few years, recent signs suggest that turnout patterns could favor Republicans: In LA-02, in LA-04 and in Georgia’s Senate runoff, conservative voters were much more motivated than the Democratic base.

And there is some parallel to Georgia in NY-20’s campaign. Once again, Republicans are mobilizing to win this race with many of the party’s stars traveling to upstate New York, while national Democrats are mostly staying away from the district.

At first glance, NY-20 should not be a lost cause for the DCCC. Sure, Tedisco looked like the favorite as soon as he was chosen by the GOP, the district is always described as conservative, and Republicans have a large registration edge. Yet, Barack Obama won NY-20 by 3% last November, confirming that Democrats can win in this district, and do so even if they are not running a conservative, pro-gun and anti-immigration campaign like Gillibrand did.

The problem for Democrats is that the district’s Republican roots gave the GOP strong candidates to choose from, while Democrats had practically no bench. And even then, I am doubtful Democrats chose their best available candidate. Murphy’s main (only?) asset is his ability to spend his own money to win the race; Is that enough to win such a difficult contest?

If Murphy manages to close the gap, perhaps positioning himself to score an upset and hold the seat for Democrats, it will be due to Tedisco’s mistakes rather than to Murphy’s strength.

Over the past few weeks, Tedisco has been on the defensive over his refusal to say how he would have voted on the stimulus bill. Not only is the Republican dismissing such questions as “hypothetical,” he is also labeling them a “diversion,” contrasting them to what he thinks is the contest’s more pressing issue - the fact that Murphy has missed voting in in eight elections between 2000 and 2008:

“It won’t just be this, it’ll be, ‘How would you vote on the war in Iraq?’ Those are hypothetical. Not walking into a voting booth that’s in front of you is not hypothetical. He really could have voted, and he didn’t.”

To be fair to Tedisco, the eight elections Murphy has reportedly missed are significant ones (one is the 2000 presidential election), unlike those Caroline Kennedy was reproached for skipping. Nonetheless, it is laughable for a politician to dismiss the stimulus and the Iraq War as “diversions” - as if voters are less interested in candidates’ position on these issues than in whether they missed voting in any election.

With upstate New York badly hit by the financial crisis, the economically distraught residents of NY-20 could punish Tedisco for thinking that something as important as the stimulus is a secondary issue - not to mention that Tedisco’s public indecision could help Democrats portray him as a demagogic political insider typical of Albany (Tedisco is the Republican leader of the state Assembly). Tedisco’s non-stance has already drawn scathing editorials in newspapers.

Republicans all over the country are surely watching NY-20 to learn how to deal with the stimulus issue. Republicans tied its fortunes to those of the stimulus by frontally opposing it, but Tedisco’s refusal to own GOP criticism by saying that he would have voted against the bill suggests that Republicans are not so sure that their strategy will pay off at the polls.

If Tedisco pulls off a decisive victory next month, it might embolden GOP opposition to Obama’s economic agenda; but if he loses or only ekes out a narrow victory, it could be enough to convince vulnerable Republican representatives that they need to cooperate with the White House.


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PA and LA: Monitoring the prospect of bruising Republican primaries

Every day is bringing some news about the prospect of bruising Republican primaries to be played out against the backdrop of the GOP’s growing ideological wars.

Pennsylvania

Two days ago, Michael Steele warned that the RNC could back a primary challenge to the three Republican Senators who voted for the stimulus plan - a threat that was clearly targeted at Pennsylvania’s Arlen Specter. Steele had said that he would talk to state Republicans, and that the decision would ultimately be in the hands of Pennsylvania’s GOP.

Well, it did not take long for us to hear from Pennsylvania’s Republican Committee Chairman, Robert Gleason Jr. While Gleason refrained from criticizing Specter, he did leave the door open to the party withholding its support. “Of course, anything is a possibility,” he said. “It is up to the committeemen and committeewomen [next February].” And Gleason went on. “I really can’t make that call right now. That is kind of a what-if question,” he explained. “If he is a candidate, we will cross that bridge when we get there.”

That might seem like a reasonable answer, but don’t forget that Specter is a five-term incumbent and one of the most towering figures of the Senate. A politician like him is supposed to be the de facto leader of his state party, not a pariah that is held at arm’s length.

What is truly remarkable about Steele and Gleason’s comments (and this is something many of you commented on in the post about Steele) is that Specter is not that moderate. He undoubtedly crosses party lines more often than most other Republicans, but his position as one of the most visible Senate moderates is due to the number of centrist GOP Senators who lost re-election over the past decade. Specter is one of the last remaining specimens of the Northeastern Republican, he is a partisan GOPer, and it is unthinkable to imagine him switching parties (unlike, say, Chaffee, Snowe or even McCain).

Louisiana

David Vitter is a reliable conservative, but his involvment with the D.C. Madam’s prostitution ring endangers him, not only in the general election but also in the GOP primary. Vitter’s opponents are trying to recruit a porn star to run against him in the primary and keep the D.C. Madam issue alive, but that alone would not be enough for the Senator to lose the race. Is any credible Republican willing to challenge him?

Secretary of State Jay Dardenne is mentioned as a possible contender, but the first signals of a primary challenge came from Tony Perkins, the head of the Family Research Council.  “I will say this,” Perkins told Politico yesterday, “I have people in Louisiana encouraging me to consider it.” And he went on to take a hit at the Senator: “Can people feel a sense of trust in him to publicly stand with him and support him and help him?”

Perkins is now a full-time activist, but he has held public office before: He served as a state representative from 1996 to 2004, and he ran in Louisiana’s open primary for the 2002 Senate race (he received 10%). He could mount a credible Senate run, particularly if he manages to bring to the fore Vitter’s scandal. A Perkins-Vitter primary would undoubtedly test the power of social conservative activists since Perkins is one of that constituency’s leaders and since the primary would be fought over issues of sexual indiscretion.

It is hard to know how strong Perkins would be in a general election; Louisiana is conservative enough for him to have a chance, but his nomination would undoubtedly give Democrats a big opening to picking-up the seat (provided they have fielded a good candidate of their own).

Missouri

Democrats are clearly enjoying playing on the GOP’s rift, and I will close this post with the priceless statement released by the campaign of Democrat Robin Carnahan in response to Roy Blunt’s request that the two start meeting in candidate forums:

I was quite surprised to receive a voicemail message earlier today from Rich Chrismer of Congressman Blunt’s campaign, who expressed a desire to discuss a plan for candidate forums.  Assuming he had the wrong number, I returned his call and left him a message in which I offered to provide him with a telephone number for Sarah Steelman.

No doubt Carnahan would love to have Steelman and Blunt talk.


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Poll watch: Paterson reaches unbelievable lows, Hutchison strong in Texas

After Quinnipiac found David Paterson massively trailing Andrew Cuomo and tied with Rudy Giuliani, after a SUSA survey showed that Paterson’s approval rating had collapsed by 51% in one month, who would have thought that polls could find a way to get even worse for the New York Governor?

Paterson’s numbers in a new Siena poll are so atrocious that I gasped when I first saw them. Unfortunately for the Governor, he cannot dismiss them as outliers since this is the fourth consecutive poll (after Quinnipiac, SUSA and Marist) to find him sinking:

  • Only 28% of respondents say Paterson is doing an excellent or a good job; and Paterson’s favorability rating is mediocre (40/47), especially when compared to those of other politicians. Andrew Cuomo stands at 69/18, Rudy Giuliani at 53/18. Even Rick Lazio (23/23) and Peter King (23/15) do not have a negative rating.
  • In a hypothetical primary match-up against Cuomo, Paterson is demolished 53% to 27%.
  • But the worst news he gets is in the general election, where he is crushed by Giuliani, 51% to 36%; Cuomo, by contrast, easily dismisses Giuliani 51% to 38%. Paterson manages a lead against Lazio, but he dramatically underperforms: He leads 46% to 28% (under the 50% vulnerability threshold), while Cuomo has a 66% to 16% lead!
  • Siena also matched-up Kirsten Gillibrand against Peter King, finding the Senator leading 40% to 27%. There was unfortunately no poll of a potential Democratic primary.

This is not the first poll to find Paterson losing to the Andrew Cuomo; but it is the first time Rudy Giuliani has a significant lead in a general election match-up. That Cuomo demolishes both Republicans confirms that Paterson’s dismal numbers are due to his own weakness rather than to Giuliani’s popularity or to the GOP’s rebirth. New York Republicans are still moribund - but they could get new life if they face Paterson.

If more polls find Paterson this week in the general election and if the incumbent is unable to turn these numbers around over the next few months, it could increase the threat of a credible primary challenge. State Democrats would get in a state of panic about Paterson’s electability, and Cuomo could find himself being asked to run by prominent politicians.

At least, Paterson seems to be aware of the extent of his troubles, as he ordered extensive staff reorganizations today. Paterson’s new team will have to figure out as quickly as possible just what has gone wrong for the Governor: How can a Senate appointment saga cost Paterson so much? And it can’t just be the state’s budgetary woes, as other states are facing even graver problems without their Governor’s utter political collapse! What looks to have shattered is voters’ faith in Paterson’s compentence; his team has a few months to right the ship.

Meanwhile, PPP released an interesting poll of Texas, testing hypothetical match-ups in the gubernatorial and the senatorial races. First came the GOP’s potential gubernatorial primary, as Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison is considering challenging Governor Rick Perry:

  • There is no contest for now: Hutchison demolishes Perry, 56% to 31%.

This is a somewhat surprising result since Perry’s more conservative profile would be expected to keep him competitive against the challenge of a more moderate Hutchison - especially in a staunchly Republican state like Texas. That Hutchison manages to crush the incumbent Governor is a testament to her stature and her popularity. With the departure of people like George W. Bush and Tom DeLay, Hutchison has become the state GOP’s elderwoman.

Second, the survey tested possible match-ups for Hutchison’s Senate race. (If she decides to resign from her seat, as she is known to be thinking about, a special election would be triggered.) The poll tested two Democrats (Houston Mayor Bill White and former state Comptroller John Sharp) versus three Republicans (Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst, Attorney General Greg Abbott and state Senator Florence Shapiro):

  • Sharp trails Dewhurst 42% to 36%, Abbott 44% to 36%. However, he does leads Shapiro 37% to 34%.
  • White trails Dewhurst 42% to 37%, Abbott 42% to 36%, and Shapiro 37% to 36%.

These numbers are positive for Republicans, as they suggest that they would have the upper-hand in a special election. Yet, the poll is also encouraging for Democrats, as they would undoubtedly have a shot at picking-up this seat. Sharp and White, both of whom have already said that they will run for an open seat, are trailing two of the state’s prominent Republican officers by single-digits - and both Dewhurst and Abbott are held well under 50%.

Furthermore, neither of these Republicans have announced that they will run, and that allows Democarts to keep up hope that they might not have to face one of the strongest Republican; that is why PPP chose to test Shapiro. Yet, this is Texas, a state with a very deep Republican bench; it remains highly unlikely that the GOP would fail to recruit a top-tier candidate.


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Next up: Health care reform, individual mandates and employer tax exclusion

Last night, Barack Obama emphatically stated that the issue of health care has to be tackled as soon as possible. “Let there be no doubt,” he proclaimed, “health care reform cannot wait, it must not wait, and it will not wait another year.”

This is sure to reassure liberal Democrats, some of whom were worried that the economic crisis would lead the Administration to neglect health care reform. And it means that the next few months will see an intense legislative battle that will make the stimulus debate look like a children’s play - though both should be dwarfed when EFCA comes on the table!

Recent news reports had already indicated that Obama’s budget proposal (to be released tomorrow) would lay the groundwork for health care reform and instruct Congress craft the bill according to funding estimates and guiding principles outlined by the Administration.

Obama’s choice not to craft the entire legislation himself goes back to a major issue in his race against Hillary Clinton. Obama repeatedly pounded Clinton for contributing to mismanage the 1993-1994 debate by crafting health care reform behind closed doors and without congressional collaboration, a procedure that isolated the White House when Republicans and the health care industry started to pound on the reform. Given Obama’s characterization of that episode, it is only natural that he is now choosing another path.

Yet, details of the guiding principles that Obama will seek in the health care bill are starting to leak, and two of the most important (individual mandates and the employer tax exclusion) are in complete contradiction with Obama’s rhetoric on the campaign trail. On both issues, Obama has moved to the left since the election, but only after he spent two years blasting proposed reforms with such vehemence as to provide Republicans crucial ammunition in the coming debate.

In the Democratic primaries, the dispute over individual mandates was one of the main (one of the only?) substantive policy differences between Clinton and Obama, and the two candidates pounded each other on issue. Clinton (like John Edwards) favored mandates, while Obama went to great lengths to caricature mandates as a requirement to buy something that is unaffordable and that undermines individual choice.

Obama’s rhetoric infuriated most proponents of health care reform, who responded that mandates is the only way to insure universal coverage and accused Obama of using the Right’s traditional arguments. The worry was that Obama’s own words would be used against Democrats in 2009 when the time came to implement health care reform. This is the issue that led Paul Krugman to repeatedly blast Obama, and it is also the reason John Edwards waited so long before endorsing him - not to mention the reason Elizabeth Edwards did not accompany him.

None of this got Obama to back down, and his campaign went furthest in early February 2008 by sending a mailer that channeled the industry-backed Harry and Louise ads that helped destroy health care reform in 1994:

Now, Ezra Klein reports that Obama favors implementing individual mandates and that his guiding principles will call on Congress to move towards “universality” - something the White House knows will be taken as green light for mandates.

Obama’s switch is not surprising, as many commentators predicted that he would change his mind once the time came to craft a legislation. But it is nonetheless a big turnaround in that mandates were such a huge issue in the Democratic primaries, and one which Obama used mercilessly against his then-rival. Furthermore, this puts Democrats under risk, as Republicans will be able to use Obama’s repeated warnings that mandates would undermine individual choice and be unaffordable working family against his own reform plan. How will Obama maneuver to defend himself against his own very harsh criticism?

If Obama’s old mandate mailers could cause headaches for Democrats, it could be nothing compared to the other health care-related campaign issue on which the President is partly reversing his position: employer tax exclusion.

As Klein eloquently explains, health care benefits are taxed if they are bought by an individual. Yet, they are not taxed if they are obtained through employment due to the employer tax exclusion: benefits are not considered to be income, and neither the employer nor the employee is taxed. This is an unlimited exemption - it applies to $5,000 plans and $500,000 plans alike - which is a regressive scheme that costs the government more than $100 billion a year.

During the general election campaign, Obama seized on John McCain’s proposal to lift this exemption and pounded him in a long series of ads that defined the campaign for weeks. McCain wants to “tax health benefits for the first time ever, meaning hire income tax for millions,” warned one of the most famous spots that told viewers they could lose their insurance as a result:

Health care might not have been the dominant issue in debates and in stump speeches, but this attack was undoubtedly one of the defining issues in the ad wars - and it helped Obama put McCain on the defensive and win the middle-class vote.

Now, Klein reports that Obama wants the congressional plan to include such an exemption! Sure, there are important differences with McCain’s proposal. For one, the tax exclusion might not be removed for plans under a certain amount not to raise taxes on people with lower incomes; second, McCain’s plan would have used the money saved to push people towards individual markets. And many Democrats like Ron Wyden had long suggested reforming the employer tax exclusion.

But these nuances cannot obscure the fact that the principle Obama denounced so vehemently last fall (”taxing health benefits for the first time ever”) could now be implemented with his support - and that turnaround could certainly prove difficult to navigate for the White House. Even if the Administration pushes congressional Democrats to introduce the measure, Obama will not be able to avoid addressing the issue - not to mention the fact that his own warnings, his own attack ads will be used by the bill’s opponents.

Yet, now that Obama has changed his mind, liberals can only celebrate his change of mind. On substantive issues - the fact that a reform will be introduced this year, that Obama is ready to call for true universality and that the tax exemption is being capped - Obama has moved to the left since the election. What remains are procedural complaints - Obama could have made the job easier had he not rallied against these positions so dramatically over the past two years - and the regret that few Democrats are willing to talk about a single-payer system.


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Solis and voting rights: Two important Senate votes

The Senate took a lengthy recess after passing the stimulus bill two weeks ago, but it finally reconvened today to take up two important matters: the nomination of Hilda Solis for Secretary of Labor and the D.C. voting rights act.

Solis finally joins the Cabinet

Rep. Hilda Solis was the only one of Obama’s original Cabinet picks left to be approved by the Senate. (Apart from Labor, only the Commerce and HHS Departments are still leaderless because of the successive withdrawals of Bill Richardson, Tom Dashle and Judd Gregg.) Despite having been nominated in December and having far less issues than Timothy Geithner, Solis was held up by Senate Republicans for two months.

Today, hours before Harry Reid was scheduled to invoke a cloture vote, Mitch McConnell announced he would not threaten a filibuster. The roll call was overwhelming: 80 Senators voted to confirm her, 17 voted against her.

One of the reasons mentioned by the GOP were $6,400 in outstanding tax liens that were owned by her husband’s business; but the delay’s real reason was undoubtedly Solis’s proximity to labor. The California representative is among Obama’s most progressive Cabinet picks, and Republicans zeroed in on her work for American Rights at Work, a pro-labor advocacy organization, and her advocacy for the Employer Free Choice Act.

EFCA is destined to become one of the biggest battlegrounds in the current Congress, and the length to which Republicans went to delay Solis’s nomination confirms how huge a fight card-check will provoke. EFCA is labor’s top priority, and they are heavily lobbying the Administration to get quick proceedings; given that a few Senate Republicans like Arlen Specter have supported EFCA in the past, Democrats will have no excuse not to pass the bill - and labor will certainly not forgive nor forget if Obama recants on his campaign promise.

On the other side, business groups have been mobilizing for months and putting pressure on conservative Democrats (though this is one vote on which Democrats cannot afford to buck their leadership if they come from districts where labor has any strength); and Solis did not help her cause by strangely equivocating during her Senate hearings when asked about her position on card-checks.

Also: Solis’s nomination leaves her district vacant. A special election is expected to be held in May, and most of the action should take place in the Democratic primary. CA-32 is a heavily Hispanic, heavily Democratic district: Obama defeated John McCain 68% to 30%.

D.C. voting rights pass first big hurdle

A similar bill had failed in the previous congress by only three votes, but proponents of D.C. voting rights were heartened by Democrats’ Senate gains and they pushed ahead with a new bill, that adds two House seats to the lower chamber, bringing the total to 437. One is attributed to D.C., granting the District its first political representation ever; the other goes to Utah, which had just missed an extra seat in the round of redistricting at the start of this decade and which will thus have four House districts.

Democrats were confident that they would be able to get the bill past the Senate this year, but there was some margin of uncertainty given that Al Franken has yet to be seated, Ted Kennedy never shows up in the Senate and Kay Hagan flirted with the possibility of a no vote. When all was said and done, the bill passed with 62 votes in favor and 34 against. Two Democrats voted “nay” (Max Baucus and Robert Byrd) while eight Republicans voted “yea” (Hatch, Snowe, Specter, Voinovich, Collins, Cochran, Lugar and Murkowski).

The bill still has a long way to go: It must survive the Senate’s amendment procedure (Republicans are expected to try and load the bill with gun-right provision), pass the House (which looks far more likely) and then survive a constitutional challenge. The bill’s opponents point out that the Constitution allows representation only to the states, and that D.C. can be given voting rights only via constitutional amendment. Yet, the constitution’s other state-only clauses are applied in D.C., whether the right to a trial by jury or the federal income tax. Raw Fisher provides some detail:

The Constitution talks about “the several States” in several places, and nobody has sought to exclude Washington residents from the laws, benefits and responsibilities laid out in those other clauses of the document. Examples: D.C. citizens are subject to the same laws governing interstate commerce as anyone else in the country is, yet the Constitution uses exactly the same words to give Congress the power to “regulate Commerce…among the several States” as it does in the language setting up the House of Representatives. D.C. residents similarly serve in the National Guard and the military despite the Constitution’s reference to “the Militia of the several States.

The bill’s proponents are unlikely to be interested in the constitutional amendment route given that such a path was unsuccessful: Congress passed an amendment in the late 1970s, but only 16 states out of a required 38 ratified the amendment. In any case, federal courts are expected to take up the matter quickly, but this issue could take years to resolve so it remains to be seen whether a final ruling will even be delivered in time for the 2010 midterms.

Another fascinating subplot in this story is the mechanism Utah will use to draw its new congressional district. The House bill calls for this fourth seat to be an at-large seat until the state legislature redraws the map at the beginning of the next decade, as it is scheduled to. But the Senate seat has no such provision. Depending on what the final bill will look like, Utah’s legislature might have to redraw the state’s districts in time for the 2010 midterms, and this could have major repercussions for the sole Democrat of the state’s congressional delegation, Rep. Matheson.

On the one hand, the GOP could make his district even more inhospitable, though that could mean putting Democratic-leaning precincts in the fourth district and potentially opening the door to Democrats seizing newly-created UT-04? Or the GOP could seek to ensure that UT-04 falls in GOP hands, in which case they would be likely to consolidate blue precincts in Matheson’s UT-02, rendering the Democrat far safer than he has ever been.


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GOP’s civil war takes stunning turns: Bunning threatens to sue NRSC, RNC might target Specter

Could the GOP’s top national committees work to defeat two of their own Senators in 2010? That is what is transpiring from Kentucky Senator Jim Bunning’s escalating war against the NRSC and RNC Chairman Michael Steele’s threats against Pennsylvania’s Arlen Specter.

Bunning v. NRSC

We have had a few chances over the past few weeks to get a sense of the animosity between the Republican leadership and Bunning, who insists that he has no plan to retire in 2010. Last month, Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and NRSC Chairman John Cornyn both refused to confirm that Bunning would run for re-election; yesterday, we learned that NRSC officials had met with the Kentucky state Senate President about the latter’s interest in a statewide run, perhaps even a primary challenge!

But nothing could have prepared us for the latest development in this brewing war: Bunning is threatening to sue the NRSC if they support a primary challenger against him!

“If they recruited someone to run in a primary against me, I would sue them because they are not following their bylaws,” Bunning pledged in a conference call held earlier today. His argument is that the NRSC’s purpose is to protect Republican incumbents, and that Bunning would be entitled to file a lawsuit if they actively work to defeat him.

Interestingly, Bunning’s outburst comes as the threat of a competitive primary is dissipating: Kentucky’s Republican Secretary of State Trey Grayson told The Washington Post that he would not challenge his “friend and mentor” Bunning.

And Cornyn took a conciliatory step in that same article, saying for the first time that the NRSC would support the Senator if he filed for re-election. Yet, Cornyn once again implied that Bunning was not sure to run: “My position is that this is Sen. Bunning’s decision to make, and as long as he says he is running I will be supportive of him.”

It is that use of the conditional that probably irked Bunning. The Senator reiterated his plans to seek re-election, blasting Cornyn for pretending not to know that. “I don’t believe anything John Cornyn says,” Bunning said. “He either doesn’t understand English or he doesn’t understand direct: ‘I’m going to run,’ which I said to him in the cloakroom of our chamber.” Needless to say, this is sure to make for very tense meetings of the Senate Republican caucus.

When Bunning first announced he would seek re-election, I was skeptical, explaining that incumbents often signal they will run again unless they are 100% sure they are retiring. But the intensity of Bunning’s insistence leaves little doubt that he is dead serious - not to mention the fact that there is no scandal threatening Bunning, so he is not in the position of recent reluctant retirees like Reps. Ney and Doolittle. When a Senator threatens to sue his own caucus’s electoral committee, we have no choice but to believe him.

Thus, let’s conclude:

  1. Bunning has no plan of retiring, and unless we get some major revelation, we should stop treating Kentucky like a probable open seat.
  2. With Cornyn pledging to support him if he runs and with Grayson saying he will not challenge Bunning, it looks fairly certain that the incumbent will not face major opposition in a primary.

In short, the DSCC can start celebrating.

RNC v. Specter

As if Bunning’s outburst was not enough intra-Republican fighting for one day, RNC Chairman Michael Steele declared in an interview on Fox News that he might support challenges to the three Republican Senators who voted in favor of the stimulus bill: Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins and Arlen Specter.

“Oh, yes, I’m always open to everything, baby, absolutely,” said Steele when asked if he was open to primary challenges. “They’re going to have to go through a primary in which they’re going to have to explain to those Republican voters in that primary their vote.” Steele explained that he would follow the lead of Pennsylvania’s state party.

Of course, Steele’s comments were directed in Specter’s direction. Snowe and Collins both represent Maine, where even Republican primary voters are too moderate to support a primary challenge - not to mention that they are both popular; furthermore, they will not be up for re-election until 2012 and 2004, respectively. Specter, on the other hand, has to face voters next year; he has a history of competitive primaries, and he is not particularly popular among Republican voters.

Steele’s threat are significant. Specter only survived his 2004 primary because President Bush and Senator Rick Santorum pulled out all the stops for him, ensuring that enough conservative voters remained by Specter’s side. Now, Bush is out of office and Santorum is gone: If the RNC takes the dramatic step of opposing Specter, the incumbent could have the entire Republican leaderhsip against him. Of course, that presupposes that a primary challenger emerges - and conservatives have not had much luck for now.



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  • All good things must come to an end

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  • What remains on the table

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    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Confusion in Connecticut (Updated)

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Results thread, part 2: Dems suffer staggering losses in House and legislatives races, limit damage in statewide races

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election Night results thread: Rep. Boucher’s fall first surprise of the night

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Election night cheat sheet

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • Final ratings: Democrats brace for historic losses

  • Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

    Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

    Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55
  • What to watch for down-ballot

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Strict Standards: mktime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 41

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 50

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 52

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 54

Strict Standards: date(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected 'America/New_York' for 'EDT/-4.0/DST' instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/functions.php on line 55

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1002

Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /homepages/33/d214989360/htdocs/wp-includes/kses.php on line 1003

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