Comments on: Jim Bunning, Dennis Moore say they will run for re-election http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/12/10/bunning-moore/ Obsessive political analysis Fri, 12 Mar 2010 18:32:24 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: Jaxx Raxor http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/12/10/bunning-moore/comment-page-1/#comment-5101 Jaxx Raxor Wed, 10 Dec 2008 18:05:31 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=4729#comment-5101 If Ben Chandler runs against Bunning, then Bunning will likely lose easily, only doing a bit better than how Rick Santorum did in 2006 against Casey Jr. in PA. However, if Chandler doesn't run (and I believe that the common wisdom is that Chandler is inclinded NOT to run) then Bunning would still be in a toss-up because he is such a weak incumbnet. A retirement would only help Republican's marginally, as while the state is trending away from the Democrats at the Presidential level, the Democrats are much stronger at the congressional level and down, and if McConnell could win against a perosn with no political expericnce only in the single digits, then a open seat that will almost attract a much stronger Democrat will be hard. Taniel, it is true that Bush won Moore's seat by double digits, but I have looked at Kansas blogs and some of the bloggers give out specfic numbers saying that Obama may have actually won the KS 3rd district by a narrow margin, so KS 3rd may not be as tough for Democrats to hold as you may think, althrough him running for reelection means that the seat will likely be safe in 2010. I do think that since Sebelius refused to be in Obama's cabinent and that she is term limited in 2010 from running again, she will be under extreme pressure to run in the open Senate seat, and I think it is slightly more than 50-50 that she runs, as she somes somewhat ambitious and not right ready to go into the background after she is finished with her term. As a statewide winner, she might even be a slight favorite against either of the two Kansas U.S. House members who have already announced a bid, but if she doesnt' run then the Democrats will have almost no chance. If Ben Chandler runs against Bunning, then Bunning will likely lose easily, only doing a bit better than how Rick Santorum did in 2006 against Casey Jr. in PA. However, if Chandler doesn’t run (and I believe that the common wisdom is that Chandler is inclinded NOT to run) then Bunning would still be in a toss-up because he is such a weak incumbnet. A retirement would only help Republican’s marginally, as while the state is trending away from the Democrats at the Presidential level, the Democrats are much stronger at the congressional level and down, and if McConnell could win against a perosn with no political expericnce only in the single digits, then a open seat that will almost attract a much stronger Democrat will be hard.

Taniel, it is true that Bush won Moore’s seat by double digits, but I have looked at Kansas blogs and some of the bloggers give out specfic numbers saying that Obama may have actually won the KS 3rd district by a narrow margin, so KS 3rd may not be as tough for Democrats to hold as you may think, althrough him running for reelection means that the seat will likely be safe in 2010. I do think that since Sebelius refused to be in Obama’s cabinent and that she is term limited in 2010 from running again, she will be under extreme pressure to run in the open Senate seat, and I think it is slightly more than 50-50 that she runs, as she somes somewhat ambitious and not right ready to go into the background after she is finished with her term. As a statewide winner, she might even be a slight favorite against either of the two Kansas U.S. House members who have already announced a bid, but if she doesnt’ run then the Democrats will have almost no chance.

]]> By: Anonymous http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/12/10/bunning-moore/comment-page-1/#comment-5102 Anonymous Wed, 10 Dec 2008 16:40:07 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.com/?p=4729#comment-5102 I've never cared for Bunning's abrasive approach during various Senate hearings. I always felt that Greenspan made Bunning look like a fool when Bunning started hammering him on various issues. Bunning was also one of the guys voting against the appointment of Robert Gates as Secretary of Defense. I wouldn't be surprised if this comes back to haunt him. I’ve never cared for Bunning’s abrasive approach during various Senate hearings. I always felt that Greenspan made Bunning look like a fool when Bunning started hammering him on various issues.

Bunning was also one of the guys voting against the appointment of Robert Gates as Secretary of Defense. I wouldn’t be surprised if this comes back to haunt him.

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