http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/09/29/battleground-watch-discussing-the-bradley-effect-preparing-for-early-voting/ Obsessive political analysis Sat, 31 Jul 2010 04:12:56 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/09/29/battleground-watch-discussing-the-bradley-effect-preparing-for-early-voting/comment-page-1/#comment-5731 Coco Mon, 29 Sep 2008 18:58:39 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=2832#comment-5731 Sarah Palin Endorses Hamas: http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/09/sarah_palins_terrifying_ignora.php Sarah Palin Endorses Hamas:
http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/09/sarah_palins_terrifying_ignora.php

]]> http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/09/29/battleground-watch-discussing-the-bradley-effect-preparing-for-early-voting/comment-page-1/#comment-5734 Anonymous Mon, 29 Sep 2008 17:47:41 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=2832#comment-5734 Taniel, my posting of the headline on McCain's gambling was meant to illustrate his election gamling. Ultimatley, he will lose. Taniel, my posting of the headline on McCain’s gambling was meant to illustrate his election gamling. Ultimatley, he will lose.

]]> http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/09/29/battleground-watch-discussing-the-bradley-effect-preparing-for-early-voting/comment-page-1/#comment-5733 fritz Mon, 29 Sep 2008 17:20:16 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=2832#comment-5733 I think there will be a Bradley effect of some sort in certain regions and demographic groups; how large we won't know until after the election. The Obama campaign feels this will be balanced by an large increase in the black vote. This will be expressed in newly registered black voters and in black voters that would, in any other election, vote Republician. Also there is the expected increase in the youth vote, which is much less racially polarized. Lastly, although there is still racism in America it is much less than it was 20 years ago. Being black could even be an advantage if the black vote is much larger than expected and is 90%-95% Democratic; although this is unlikely. I think there will be a Bradley effect of some sort in certain regions and demographic groups; how large we won’t know until after the election. The Obama campaign feels this will be balanced by an large increase in the black vote. This will be expressed in newly registered black voters and in black voters that would, in any other election, vote Republician.
Also there is the expected increase in the youth vote, which is much less racially polarized.
Lastly, although there is still racism in America it is much less than it was 20 years ago.
Being black could even be an advantage if the black vote is much larger than expected and is 90%-95% Democratic; although this is unlikely.

]]> http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/09/29/battleground-watch-discussing-the-bradley-effect-preparing-for-early-voting/comment-page-1/#comment-5732 Anonymous Mon, 29 Sep 2008 16:57:36 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=2832#comment-5732 The Bradley effect is more of a myth than a possibility this election. For one, Obama and Bradley come from strikingly different backgrounds and may appeal to different segments of the electorate. Also, this is an election in which Democrats ahve to lose, so it may minimize the so-called Bradley effect. On a personal note, why would racists feel afraid to let their choice of candidate be known? And if Hispanics may be reluctant to vote for Barack, they would have selected Richardson long ago. Otherwise, racial identity seems to be of utermost concern to bigoted minds in this country than the real issues facing this coutnry. Bigotry is so entrenched in our culture and institutions, so it will be a big challenge fo an African American (I am white) to overcome this reality. The Bradley effect is more of a myth than a possibility this election. For one, Obama and Bradley come from strikingly different backgrounds and may appeal to different segments of the electorate. Also, this is an election in which Democrats ahve to lose, so it may minimize the so-called Bradley effect.
On a personal note, why would racists feel afraid to let their choice of candidate be known? And if Hispanics may be reluctant to vote for Barack, they would have selected Richardson long ago. Otherwise, racial identity seems to be of utermost concern to bigoted minds in this country than the real issues facing this coutnry. Bigotry is so entrenched in our culture and institutions, so it will be a big challenge fo an African American (I am white) to overcome this reality.

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