NH is very volatile and on a bad night, McCain, Sununu and Bradley could all win their races. Lynch is enormously popular but is very cautious about using that for other candidates. Like many other states, at the moment the inchoate rage against the bail-out could migrate in about a dozen different directions. With the late news that McCain may have cratered the earlier agreement and sided with the House rebels on a very different bill, its impossible to guess where public sentiment will take this.
The Maine Senate race numbers show that the Democrats have failed to make the race competive, despite having a popular congressman of one of only two districts. Probably a big dissapointment, but unlike Chafee, Collins is very popular compared to just ok, and unlike Rhode Island, Maine isn’t a Democratic Strong hold. That polls have been showing Obama in single digits in Maine is testement to this fact, althrough both of Maine’s district are similar in partisan leanings, so the second district isn’t likely to fall to McCain with Obama taking the rest of the state unless polls consistenly show Obama with only a 2 point margin. A 4 point margin allows Obama to barely make it in Maine’s second district.]]>