Zoot, 14% of Clinton voters going for McCain isn’t particularly high given what we have been seeing in some other states… That’s especially the case in a state with an open primary like NH (i.e. it’s not like all Clinton voters are registered Democrats).
As to the New Hampshire poll, I clearly should have taken a closer look at those internals.]]>
New Hampshire: I’m pretty sure you peeked at the internals of this poll. They’re using a +7 Republican voter advantage in this poll with Democrats actually suffering a projected net decrease from 2 months ago for some reason. I’m not sure why they’re getting these numbers from. This is a huge partisan change from their previous polls. I’m going to go ahead and ignore this particular “trusted poll” at least until I see some sort of justification for this party breakdown,]]>
The race here is still very much in flux. The poll concluded on Sunday, so the first stages of the economic tsunami were given their initial effect.
The poll also shows that a full 14% of the Clinton voters from the primary will vote for McCain. That’s quite alarming. The top echelon of Clinton supporters has made the move, but if the poll is accurate, the rank and file haven’t. That may come from male voters, Reagan Dems, who favor McCain by a wide margin and presumably don’t respond much to party leadership’s wishes.]]>