Comments on: Morning polls: In latest Q-pac release, Big Three go opposite directions but McCain gains among indies

By: Guy

Guy — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 19:22:45 +0000

I agree the debates will be crucial and will be focused on issues - also Palin will have to speak for herself (a revelation thus far). This will help the Dems.

By: Guy

Guy — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 19:22:01 +0000

Any financing advantage Palin could have brought is cancelled out by McCain accepting taxpayer subsidy (or public financing). So he is stuck with his $84 million. Yes people can donate to the RNC but I wouldn’t expect as many to do that.
The Ohio poll is very promising for Obama with him at 49% with a 5% lead. Get Ohio and keep the other Kerry states and you win the election. Bearing in mind Iowa and New Hampshire look good also you easily get to 280 EV’s.

By: Jaxx Raxor

Jaxx Raxor — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 17:28:39 +0000

In my mind, I think that it is very possible that McCain’s bounce will last for this entire month, at least in the swing states (his national bounce will probably recede, and it may be receding a bit for now). The enthusiasm the GOP now has the worrys among Democrats both in terms of financing and in votes will probably keep McCain-Palin ahead until the debates (the first I think starts September 26th). As the debates will (should) be about the issues, it will be then in which Obama (and Biden in the VP debate) hopes he will turn the election around.

By: Mike

Mike — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 16:55:14 +0000

I fully expect McCain’s bounce to subside. I would then expect Obama’s monetary advantage and the the ability of having 5 newsworthy surrogates (Obama, Michelle, Biden, Hillary and Bill) compared to one on the GOP side (McCain, Cindy and Palin travel all together - maybe Cindy doesn`t trust John alone with Palin!) to have a positive effect.
I think alot of people are shocked how low McCain is going to get elected with no thought on governing.