Comments on: MN-Sen and NC-Sen: Franken looks to put his catastrophic spring behind him, Dole struggles http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/08/22/mn-sen-and-nc-sen-franken-looks-to-put-his-catastrophic-spring-behind-him-dole-struggles/ Obsessive political analysis Wed, 17 Mar 2010 01:01:22 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: Jaxx Raxor http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/08/22/mn-sen-and-nc-sen-franken-looks-to-put-his-catastrophic-spring-behind-him-dole-struggles/comment-page-1/#comment-3280 Jaxx Raxor Sat, 23 Aug 2008 02:53:21 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=1914#comment-3280 Both Coleman and Dole seem to be weakening after alot of polls have shown them becoming super strong. If Franken can get voters to stop paying attention to his past, and make the race about both candidates, then he will have a chance and will start making Coleman sweat again. And NC in particular could be in danger as the Democratic Senatorial commite spending seems to be helping Hagen get back up to pariaty and the now lack of funds Dole will get will make it much harder for her to defend the seat. I do agree that if the RNC tries to make a firewall, it will be in distant 2nd tier races like Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and maybe another GOP leaning race in order to have a firewall of at least 41 seats to prevent a Democratic filibuster majority. Oregan is probably that as both New Hampshire and Colorado lean for the Democrats, while Oregan leans GOP (for now). On the VP news, we still don't know who Obama's VP pick is, but AP is reporting that both Kaine and Bayh have been notified that Obama has not picked them. In additon there is reports of alot of activity around Biden's home. Therefore I now think that there is a 70% chance that Biden will be Obama's VP choice, with Kathleen Seibleus a distant second at 10% Texas Congressman (President Bush's) Chet Edwards at 7%, and Hillary Clinton at 3%. Speaking of Chet Edwards he would be an intersting choice considering that he is from the House of Representives,but his selection would leave his district into an almost sure GOP pickup because Edwards represents one of most GOP districts represented by a Democrat. Both Coleman and Dole seem to be weakening after alot of polls have shown them becoming super strong. If Franken can get voters to stop paying attention to his past, and make the race about both candidates, then he will have a chance and will start making Coleman sweat again. And NC in particular could be in danger as the Democratic Senatorial commite spending seems to be helping Hagen get back up to pariaty and the now lack of funds Dole will get will make it much harder for her to defend the seat. I do agree that if the RNC tries to make a firewall, it will be in distant 2nd tier races like Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and maybe another GOP leaning race in order to have a firewall of at least 41 seats to prevent a Democratic filibuster majority. Oregan is probably that as both New Hampshire and Colorado lean for the Democrats, while Oregan leans GOP (for now).

On the VP news, we still don’t know who Obama’s VP pick is, but AP is reporting that both Kaine and Bayh have been notified that Obama has not picked them. In additon there is reports of alot of activity around Biden’s home. Therefore I now think that there is a 70% chance that Biden will be Obama’s VP choice, with Kathleen Seibleus a distant second at 10% Texas Congressman (President Bush’s) Chet Edwards at 7%, and Hillary Clinton at 3%. Speaking of Chet Edwards he would be an intersting choice considering that he is from the House of Representives,but his selection would leave his district into an almost sure GOP pickup because Edwards represents one of most GOP districts represented by a Democrat.

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