Comments on: House ratings: Will the DCCC succeed in putting the third-tier in play? http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/08/17/house-ratings-will-the-dccc-succeed-in-putting-the-third-tier-in-play/ Obsessive political analysis Sun, 21 Mar 2010 06:44:28 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: KELL http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/08/17/house-ratings-will-the-dccc-succeed-in-putting-the-third-tier-in-play/comment-page-1/#comment-3185 KELL Mon, 18 Aug 2008 03:38:43 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=1784#comment-3185 I am pretty confident that Democrats will break into the 240's (thereby gaining a net of at least 4 seats), but I'm hesitant to state they'll get into the 250's. I am hoping that they drop the GOP into the 180's though, meaning getting at least 10 seats. I think the Senate races are getting firmer, with the 5 races that are solid chances for takeover (VA, NM, AK, NH, CO), and there then being three races that are tossup to lean GOP retention in OR, MN, & MS(B). It appears more and more than Collins in ME and Dole in NC are going to be hard to make really competitive. I hope at a minimum it's a DEM+5 to make it 56-44, with potential to get another seat or two. Amazing to think at this day in 2006 it was a 55-45 GOP majority; in three months it most probably will be the exact reverse. I am pretty confident that Democrats will break into the 240’s (thereby gaining a net of at least 4 seats), but I’m hesitant to state they’ll get into the 250’s. I am hoping that they drop the GOP into the 180’s though, meaning getting at least 10 seats.

I think the Senate races are getting firmer, with the 5 races that are solid chances for takeover (VA, NM, AK, NH, CO), and there then being three races that are tossup to lean GOP retention in OR, MN, & MS(B). It appears more and more than Collins in ME and Dole in NC are going to be hard to make really competitive. I hope at a minimum it’s a DEM+5 to make it 56-44, with potential to get another seat or two. Amazing to think at this day in 2006 it was a 55-45 GOP majority; in three months it most probably will be the exact reverse.

]]> By: Joe from NC http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/08/17/house-ratings-will-the-dccc-succeed-in-putting-the-third-tier-in-play/comment-page-1/#comment-3184 Joe from NC Mon, 18 Aug 2008 03:35:59 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=1784#comment-3184 I doubt that forum last night will have that much of an impact. Most people will forget about it soon, especially with the conventions coming up. I doubt that forum last night will have that much of an impact. Most people will forget about it soon, especially with the conventions coming up.

]]> By: mikeel http://campaigndiaries.com/2008/08/17/house-ratings-will-the-dccc-succeed-in-putting-the-third-tier-in-play/comment-page-1/#comment-3183 mikeel Mon, 18 Aug 2008 03:22:57 +0000 http://campaigndiaries.wordpress.com/?p=1784#comment-3183 If McCain does succeed in making the GOP brand less toxic, or there's a higher evangelical turnout (assisted by that cone of silence), the House will have a nearly identical composition in 2009 as it does now. If McCain does succeed in making the GOP brand less toxic, or there’s a higher evangelical turnout (assisted by that cone of silence), the House will have a nearly identical composition in 2009 as it does now.

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