And looking back, the reason you changed the rating in the first place was off a single poll (that was conducted during the flooding) and the report that McCain was airing more ads in the state than Obama. Yet we still get polls that disagree on who is in the lead there.

It’s clear Missouri is going to be interesting, as is NH. Obama has already dedicated a huge grassroots organizational effort in the state. My point last rating was that you’re underestimating the organizing that’s going on there, and that I’m not sure that Missouri is quite as safe (or lean) as you do.

But again, like last time, nobody should be sweating this much, as we’re just now about to enter August and there’s still a lot of work left to be done. Just trying to challenge your assumptions.

The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC). The bill would take effect only when enacted, in identical form, by states possessing a majority of the electoral vote — that is, enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538). When the bill comes into effect, all the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).

Because of state-by-state enacted rules for winner-take-all awarding of their electoral votes, recent candidates with limited funds have concentrated their attention on a handful of closely divided “battleground” states. Two-thirds of the visits and money were focused in just six states; 88% on 9 states, and 99% of the money went to just 16 states. Two-thirds of the states and people have been merely spectators to the presidential election.

Another shortcoming of the current system is that a candidate can win the Presidency without winning the most popular votes nationwide.

The National Popular Vote bill has been approved by 21 legislative chambers (one house in Colorado, Arkansas, Maine, North Carolina, and Washington, and two houses in Maryland, Massachusetts, Illinois, Hawaii, California, New Jersey, Rhode Island, and Vermont). It has been enacted into law in Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, and Maryland. These states have 50 (19%) of the 270 electoral votes needed to bring this legislation into effect.

See http://www.NationalPopularVote.com

thx for the Work you are doing here - one off the best sites to the Elections i have found so far. keep up the good work.

But i think you have two mistakes in the map you made. Georgia is colored Safe McCain but according to the ratings it is likely McCain. Delaware is colored Safe Obama but according to your Rankings list is likely Obama.