On the Alaksa House Race, yes, Young is deep trouble, but he is has a very strong challange from Lt. Gov Sean Parnell. If Parnell wins the primary he will easyly win win the seat because he is associated with popular reformist Gov. Palin and has no connect to these federal investigations. Of course, there is a third minor candidate in the race, so Young (and Democrats) can hope the two split the anti-Young vote.

On Fossella, that poll was taken on May 8th, and it shows Fossella with a 67% approval rating and 53% of his constiuents wanting him to run again. I think that the chances of him surviving this scandal are high despite the moral hypocrisy, he doesn’t have major enemies like Spitzer had.

Also I’m looking foward to your House and Senate rating. I think that at this moment, even as McCain remains competive in the prez constest, the Democrats have increased thier chances of getting of getting at least a net gain of 10 seats in the house. In the senate, with the weakening of a few GOP senators, it is now again possible for a 60 dem majority to happen althrough it is still very unlikely.