Comments on: Democrats concentrate on Nevada, as Obama gets major endorsements and Richardson withdraws

By: Robert

Robert — Fri, 11 Jan 2008 02:27:00 +0000

Oh Steve, poor thing! Some people never learn. If I was Rasmussen I would lay off the polling business for a few days. How much embarrassment can a pollster endure? Two things about SC:
1. Obama wins. Not by much. And watch that African American gap close once Bill gets to work there.
2. Bradley effect redux.
3. Hillary silent vote: the woman has be so badly maligned by the press, that I believe is almost fashionable for some folks to say that the don’t like her or wont support her when polled on the issue. Then on election day they go and vote for her. Something to look at! It happened in her first NY senate run. On election eve there was a sense she could win, but the polls were close. Then she wins by 15 points.

By: Steve

Steve — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 17:10:00 +0000

I hate to get off topic, but Roll Call has just released some very positive news for the Republicans in Congress:

The scandal-plagued GOP Congressman John Doolittle is retiring today, strongly boosting the GOP’s chances of retaining his seat.

By: Steve

Steve — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 15:42:00 +0000

HOT RASMUSSEN POLL:

No bounce for Hillary in SC: Obama still leads 42%-30%

Mcain overtakes Huckabee to lead 27%-24% in South Carolina. Romney trails far behind with 16% and Thompson with 12%.

By: C.S.Strowbridge

C.S.Strowbridge — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 07:38:00 +0000

Doesn't Michigan come first? I think Clinton is the only one left on the ballot, which gives her an advantage.

I wonder if...

1.) Her winning will give her a noticeable boost.
2.) Her being the only one on the ballot will hurt her.
or

3.) Anyone one will even know there was a vote there.

By: Andy

Andy — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 05:39:00 +0000

I’d also give Clinton the edge in NV. Much of the voting is completely unknown, because the state is simply a nonfactor most of the time. Thus, Clinton’s establishment backing could carry the day. Regardless, I don’t think anyone knows what will really happen there because the state is so new to the early game.

Nevada certainly isn’t do or die for Obama though. South Carolina sets up much better for him and a split of the early contests makes the nomination attainable.

In the end, though, it looks like Feb 5 will be the real decider.

By: Anonymous

Anonymous — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 05:23:00 +0000

I would not be so sure of Obama being the favorite in Nevada. It is clear that you do not know nor understand the state. Even when the Culinary Union is quite significant, almost 50% of it members are immigrants, mostly without voting rights. That plus the fact that the Hispanic community in Nevada has great antipathy for Senator Obama! That is not secret. I have live in Nevada for many years and I do not know if your assessment is correct. Careful with the predicting game. Remember New Hampshire!

By: Anonymous

Anonymous — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 05:22:00 +0000

Nevada is almost a do or die for Obama. If he does not win there after his NH loss, he is in very big trouble. He needs a win badly.